What is Shane Gray's strike rate?

Shane Gray has won 451 of 4,921 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane Gray do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 32 wins from 237 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane Gray ride most for?

Kevin Ryan, with 1,156 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 128 (11.1%).

Is Shane Gray in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Shane Gray's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 4,900 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane Gray

4,921 rides in the lifetime window · 2,471 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

451–4,921

Wins / Runs

9.2%

Strike rate

n=4,921

1,210 (25%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=4,900 · 0.90 incl. margin

−916.01

£1 level stake

n=4,921 at SP · −18.6%

£5.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 260 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (458 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,921 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 36.7% when favourite Kevin Ryan: 11.1% from 1,156 LTO winners: 15.9% Group/Graded: 13.6% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (19.2%, n=78), clear of the rider's 9.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.9% (n=458, Fair A/E 1.08), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=925, Fair A/E 0.82). Kevin Ryan supplies 23% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.1%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bet MGM Challenge Cup at Ascot (Oct 2024, £92,772). The standout partner of the record: Jez Bomb (GB) — 6 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.3%−0.9

n=2,471 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −515.55

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.9%+6.7

n=458 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −120.41

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.8%−1.4

n=688 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −107.24

When favourite

36.7%

n=286 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +10.26

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9%−0.2

n=995 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −409.56

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.2%−5.0

n=925 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −528.32

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.6%+4.4

n=88 · A/E 1.83 · £1 +53.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Charlie Appleby 31.6% vs 9.2% · n=57

With Sam England 22.6% vs 9.2% · n=53

With Ed de Giles 24.2% vs 9.2% · n=33

With K R Burke 19% vs 9.2% · n=158

At Lingfield (AW) 19.2% vs 9.2% · n=78

On last-time-out winners 15.9% vs 9.2% · n=458

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,920 451 9.2% −915.01

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,557 161 10.3% −163.00

Good 1,132 90 8% −236.65

Good to Firm 971 77 7.9% −438.02

Good to Soft 575 56 9.7% +42.69

Soft 528 53 10% −88.52

Heavy 150 13 8.7% −27.13

Firm 7 1 14.3% −4.38

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 608 54 8.9% +45.70

Wolverhampton 371 41 11.1% −135.36

Redcar 276 24 8.7% −55.72

Hamilton 276 37 13.4% +143.16

Thirsk 258 20 7.8% −110.90

Southwell (AW) 240 27 11.3% −39.04

Musselburgh 237 32 13.5% +62.01

Beverley 225 21 9.3% −17.23

Ayr 211 11 5.2% −99.25

Catterick 190 18 9.5% −18.17

York 186 10 5.4% −81.25

Doncaster 185 11 5.9% −115.23

Ripon 158 17 10.8% −40.39

Carlisle 150 17 11.3% +22.02

Dundalk (AW) 138 11 8% −11.63

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,484 135 9.1% −384.70

Class 6 1,201 111 9.2% −53.61

Class 4 915 95 10.4% −201.91

Class 2 385 34 8.8% −49.00

Class 3 356 36 10.1% −29.74

Class 1 88 12 13.6% +53.00

Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 345 115 33.3% 1.19 −11.98

2nd–3rd fav 867 149 17.2% 1.06 −59.53

4th–6th fav 1,570 123 7.8% 1.03 −252.50

7th+ in betting 2,139 64 3% 0.92 −592.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,181 180 8.3% −566.76

1m – 1m1f 972 85 8.7% −252.82

Under 6f 887 95 10.7% −183.95

1m2f – 1m4f 692 72 10.4% −12.02

1m5f – 2m 175 17 9.7% +93.79

2m1f – 2m4f 12 2 16.7% +7.75

2m5f – 3m 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2010 2 0 0% −2.00

2011 176 9 5.1% −93.75

2012 180 11 6.1% −74.88

2013 160 10 6.3% −84.42

2014 199 22 11.1% −58.31

2015 493 65 13.2% −68.25

2016 354 30 8.5% −46.39

2017 316 17 5.4% −131.52

2018 325 23 7.1% −61.66

2019 411 34 8.3% −124.42

2020 362 28 7.7% −90.63

2021 340 28 8.2% −0.18

2022 283 17 6% −40.79

2023 404 34 8.4% −151.71

2024 337 41 12.2% +2.13

2025 290 36 12.4% +56.49

2026 289 46 15.9% +54.28

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,531 321 9.1% −476.77

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,661 179 10.8% −99.32

11-13 runners 1,469 106 7.2% −210.62

5-7 runners 811 118 14.5% −62.95

14-16 runners 642 29 4.5% −365.32

17+ runners 283 10 3.5% −163.00

2-4 runners 55 9 16.4% −14.80

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bronze Beau (GB) 30 5 10 22 Sep 19

Aberama Gold (GB) 27 5 9 1 Jan 26

We Never Stop (IRE) 23 5 8 13 May 26

Venture Capital (GB) 22 5 8 31 Oct 26

Jez Bomb (GB) 22 6 12 10 Oct 26

Sir Benedict (IRE) 18 2 7 1 Sep 25

Heir of Excitement (IRE) 17 2 6 5 Jul 18

Heir To A Throne (FR) 17 2 8 13 Oct 17

Rum Runner (GB) 16 1 2 13 Aug 25

Leap Year Lad (IRE) 16 1 6 7 Feb 25

Deolali (GB) 16 4 5 22 Feb 23

Northern Society (IRE) 15 3 4 12 Oct 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,471 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 14

Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1111149798108101110

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKevin Ryan

23% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.11

TrainerRWSR£1

Kevin Ryan 1,156 128 11.1% −118.26

David O'Meara 373 36 9.7% −9.65

Keith Dalgleish 373 37 9.9% −41.18

Ann Duffield 216 18 8.3% +23.00

Michael & David Easterby 189 12 6.3% −115.13

K R Burke 158 30 19% −22.25

Phillip Makin 124 4 3.2% −91.25

Stella Barclay 115 8 7% +68.83

Kristin Stubbs 105 7 6.7% −37.00

T Stack 85 9 10.6% −32.25

Craig Lidster 62 3 4.8% −45.00

Richard Fahey 59 6 10.2% +3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

451

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.23m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 65 wins

Volterra (IRE) — Bet MGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Oct 2024 · Class 2

£92,772

We Never Stop (IRE) — BetUK All-Weather Sprint Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 2

£77,310

Washington Heights (GB) — BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3) Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · Oct 2026 · Group 3

£42,000

Notable horses

Jez Bomb (GB) Bronze Beau (GB) Aberama Gold (GB) We Never Stop (IRE) Venture Capital (GB) Frosty Berry (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 3.6% · 4–111

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.5% · 8–94

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Showcasing (GB) 8.2% · 6–73

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,664 runs since 2014 (1,000 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Acclamation (GB) 15.2% · 10–66

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Mehmas (IRE) 8.3% · 5–60

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,243 runs since 2020 (755 horses).

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.6% · 8–59

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,921 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,921 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 December 2010 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Bay Colony (IRE)T: J A Stack Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 14th 50/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Knightbolt (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 28/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh India Gold (IRE)T: Gay Kelleway Thank You For The Fun Gweedore Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 22/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Cavallo Pazzo (IRE)T: Daragh Bourke Hibernian FC Emerald Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 15/2

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Neddies Boy (IRE)T: Daragh Bourke Joe Fanning Fond Farewell Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 20/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Eagles Dream (IRE)T: Tristan Davidson Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 8/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Unlawfilly (IRE)T: Chris Timmons British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 50/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Alnofoor (GB)T: Ms Claire O'Connell Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 6/4F

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Venture Capital (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 7/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Cavallo Pazzo (IRE)T: Daragh Bourke AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 85/40F

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Great (GB)T: Sam England Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 4/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Kody B (IRE)T: Craig Lidster Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 11/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Full Of Magic (IRE)T: Daragh Bourke All-weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 125/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Gainsbourg (GB)T: Daragh Bourke Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 50/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) West Tyrone (GB)T: Lizzie Quinlan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Habari (IRE)T: Daragh Bourke Bet At racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 15/2

27 Oct 26 Catterick Quercus (IRE)T: Ann Duffield Remembering Kevin Lumb AKA Burnley Kevin Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 33/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Kumharas (GB)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Racing To School EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 14/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Washington Heights (GB)T: Kevin Ryan BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 5/2F

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Tipsy Tiger (GB)T: William Stone CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 5, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 1) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Shane Gray's strike rate?: Shane Gray has won 451 of 4,921 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Gray do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 32 wins from 237 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Gray ride most for?: Kevin Ryan, with 1,156 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 128 (11.1%).
Is Shane Gray in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Shane Gray's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 4,900 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.