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Jockey profile

Tabitha Worsley

1,670 rides in the lifetime window · 580 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Rides today 99% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
77–1,670
Wins / Runs
4.6%
Strike rate
n=1,670
256 (15%)
Placed
0.85
n=1,667 · 0.74 incl. margin
−655.76
£1 level stake
n=1,670 at SP · −39.3%
£914k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (81 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,670 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 24.3% when favourite Georgie Howell: 1.1% from 273 LTO winners: 13.6% Claiming: 4.7% Rides the favourite in 2% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Stratford (10.1%, n=79), clear of the rider's 4.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.97). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 5.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.48 and +120.00 to a £1 stake over 176 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −234.90 to a £1 stake over 483 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Georgie Howell supplies 16% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (1.1% vs 4.6%, A/E 0.40). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (17.8%, n=45). The standout partner of the record: Steel Wave (IRE) — 6 wins from 24 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.8%−0.8
n=580 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −95.97
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.6%+9.0
n=81 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −23.56
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.3%−1.3
n=483 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −234.90
When favourite
24.3%
n=37 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −10.54
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.7%+0.1
n=1,454 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −564.38
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.1%+0.5
n=176 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +120.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 17.8% vs 4.6% · n=45
On last-time-out winners 13.6% vs 4.6% · n=81
With Gary Hanmer 12.2% vs 4.6% · n=98
At Stratford 10.1% vs 4.6% · n=79
With Nick Gifford 9.2% vs 4.6% · n=119
With L J Morgan 9.4% vs 4.6% · n=64
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 957 40 4.2% −484.21
Chase 606 32 5.3% −239.65
NH Flat 94 4 4.3% +79.00
Flat 13 1 7.7% −10.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 808 45 5.6% −344.21
Good to Soft 392 11 2.8% −262.40
Soft 316 15 4.7% −86.25
Heavy 97 2 2.1% −67.00
Good to Firm 44 2 4.5% −37.40
Standard (AW) 13 2 15.4% +141.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell 143 7 4.9% −91.65
Uttoxeter 117 3 2.6% −94.50
Plumpton 110 6 5.5% −28.25
Huntingdon 109 5 4.6% −23.00
Southwell 104 3 2.9% −55.50
Worcester 97 4 4.1% −60.12
Market Rasen 82 6 7.3% −41.40
Ludlow 81 2 2.5% −37.00
Stratford 79 8 10.1% −30.29
Warwick 73 6 8.2% +16.50
Hereford 68 2 2.9% −42.00
Fakenham 66 4 6.1% −48.13
Bangor-on-Dee 63 1 1.6% −58.00
Lingfield 44 1 2.3% −37.00
Chepstow 37 0 0% −37.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 906 47 5.2% −286.06
Class 4 578 19 3.3% −336.55
Class 3 112 7 6.3% −14.00
Class 2 34 2 5.9% +15.00
Class 6 30 2 6.7% −24.15
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 51 13 25.5% 0.96 −7.46
2nd–3rd fav 155 24 15.5% 0.99 −28.30
4th–6th fav 531 27 5.1% 0.82 −202.00
7th+ in betting 933 13 1.4% 0.66 −418.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.8% completed · 1,563 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 606 72.1% 12 12 137 1 7
Hurdle 957 83.1% 17 9 135 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Black Lightning (IRE) 32 3 6 7 Jun 24
Mawlood (IRE) 29 1 2 16 Oct 25
Betterlatethanneva (IRE) 25 0 2 29 May 21
Tis But A Scratch (GB) 24 0 3 10 Sep 26
Steel Wave (IRE) 24 6 13 9 Oct 23
Ballywood (FR) 19 0 3 3 Nov 26
Bright Sunbird (IRE) 19 3 9 18 May 25
Risk And Roll (FR) 19 2 5 18 Nov 24
Occasionally Yours (IRE) 19 4 6 3 Jun 18
Houseparty (GB) 17 1 3 8 Sep 19
Eliza Dolittle (IRE) 15 3 5 14 Nov 26
Dontworrywegotthis (GB) 14 0 0 13 Jun 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 580 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
522675943543
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
16% of all rides
1.1% SR · A/E 0.40
TrainerRWSR£1
Georgie Howell 273 3 1.1% −222.00
Nick Gifford 119 11 9.2% −43.00
Gary Hanmer 98 12 12.2% +69.83
Robin Dickin 83 5 6% −11.00
Max Young 70 0 0% −70.00
Richard Rowe 67 4 6% +103.00
Sarah-Jayne Davies 66 1 1.5% −57.00
L J Morgan 64 6 9.4% +24.00
Cynthia Woods 63 2 3.2% −28.00
Jake Thomas Coulson 53 1 1.9% −36.00
Diana Grissell 43 1 2.3% −32.00
James Evans 43 2 4.7% −0.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
77
Archived wins
£914k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 13 wins
Top Wood (FR) — Randox Health Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase (National Course) Aintree · Apr 2019 · Class 2
£26,685
Go West Young Man (IRE) — Mackie's Summer Sundaes Handicap Chase Perth · Jul 2018 · Class 3
£13,126
Risk And Roll (FR) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Huntingdon · Jan 2022 · Class 2
£13,008

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–43
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,901 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Passing Glance (GB) 0% · 0–35
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,585 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Westerner (GB) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,874 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Kayf Tara (GB) 5.9% · 2–34
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,772 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,047 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Whitmore's Conn (USA) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 9% of 1,102 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.8% from 329.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,670 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,670 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2012 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 30 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tabitha Worsley's strike rate?
Tabitha Worsley has won 77 of 1,670 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tabitha Worsley do best at?
Stratford by strike rate: 8 wins from 79 rides (10.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tabitha Worsley ride most for?
Georgie Howell, with 273 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (1.1%).
Is Tabitha Worsley in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tabitha Worsley's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 1,667 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).