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Jockey profile

Toby Moore

178 rides in the lifetime window · 143 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–178
Wins / Runs
10.7%
Strike rate
n=178
49 (28%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=177 · 0.72 incl. margin
−75.77
£1 level stake
n=178 at SP · −42.6%
£303k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.9%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (30 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 178 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance LTO winners: 13.3%
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.41). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 9.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −66.02 to a £1 stake over 143 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well in Class 4 (18.8%, n=48). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 35 rides, 10.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.8%−0.9
n=143 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −66.02
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.3%+2.6
n=30 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −19.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.3%−4.4
n=16 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −13.12
When favourite
30.8%
n=26 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −4.27
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.6%−0.1
n=170 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −73.77
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.3%−8.4
n=43 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −40.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 2 0% vs 10.7% · n=35
In Class 4 18.8% vs 10.7% · n=48
In Class 5 4.3% vs 10.7% · n=47
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 7.1% vs 10.7% · n=42
Off a 31-60-day break 7.1% vs 10.7% · n=42
Off a 15-30-day break 13.5% vs 10.7% · n=74
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 55 7 12.7% −25.37
Good to Firm 40 4 10% −25.12
Good 30 3 10% −16.38
Soft 22 2 9.1% −12.90
Good to Soft 21 2 9.5% +3.00
Heavy 10 1 10% +1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 24 4 16.7% −12.87
Doncaster 22 1 4.5% −18.25
Lingfield (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Newmarket 12 2 16.7% +10.62
Ascot 11 0 0% −11.00
Goodwood 8 0 0% −8.00
Newmarket (July) 8 2 25% −0.62
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 1 14.3% −2.00
Southwell (AW) 7 2 28.6% +6.50
Haydock 7 2 28.6% +6.10
Chester 7 0 0% −7.00
Sandown 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Yarmouth 6 0 0% −6.00
Nottingham 5 1 20% +2.00
York 4 2 50% +2.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 48 9 18.8% +12.12
Class 5 47 2 4.3% −31.50
Class 2 35 0 0% −35.00
Class 6 29 4 13.8% −14.25
Class 3 16 4 25% −4.14

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 26 8 30.8% 1.02 −4.27
2nd–3rd fav 43 6 14% 0.80 −17.00
4th–6th fav 55 3 5.5% 0.60 −32.50
7th+ in betting 54 2 3.7% 1.04 −22.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Havana Smile (GB) 5 0 2 20 Oct 26
Platinum Prince (GB) 4 0 1 22 Oct 26
Happier (IRE) 4 1 2 21 Oct 26
City Queen (IRE) 4 2 4 27 Jun 26
Oj Lifestyle (IRE) 3 0 1 10 Sep 26
Man Of Vision (GB) 2 1 1 31 Oct 26
Big Bard (GB) 2 0 0 29 Oct 26
Shielas Well (IRE) 2 0 1 28 Oct 26
Yaa Min (GB) 2 1 1 16 Oct 26
Into The Light (GB) 2 0 0 9 Oct 26
Fifty Nifty (IRE) 2 0 1 19 Sep 26
Tycoon (GB) 2 0 1 16 Sep 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 143 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 10
Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·001410136121797·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Charlie Appleby 26 8 30.8% +0.23
Gary & Josh Moore 24 0 0% −24.00
Ian Williams 9 2 22.2% −1.00
Kevin Philippart De Foy 8 0 0% −8.00
Ed Dunlop 7 0 0% −7.00
Martin Keighley 5 1 20% −2.00
Hugo Palmer 4 0 0% −4.00
Jamie Moore & Josh Moore 4 0 0% −4.00
Kevin Ryan 4 0 0% −4.00
A Fabre 3 0 0% −3.00
Michael Appleby 3 0 0% −3.00
K R Burke 3 1 33.3% +0.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
19
Archived wins
£303k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 16 wins
Green Sky (IRE) — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) York · Jul 2026 · Class 4
£12,885
Inspired (IRE) — Coopers Marquees Apprentice Handicap Stakes York · Sep 2026 · Class 4
£12,885
Man Of Vision (GB) — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes Newmarket (July) · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£10,308
Notable horses
City Queen (IRE) Happier (IRE) Clansman (GB) Yaa Min (GB) Valdorcia (IRE) Man Of Vision (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dubawi (IRE) 45.5% · 5–11
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,995 runs since 2009 (1,531 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Havana Grey (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,612 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.
Kingman (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,533 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 8.9% from 123.
Profitable (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,450 runs since 2021 (358 horses).
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Gleneagles (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,579 runs since 2019 (447 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 284.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 178 · newest first

The latest 50 of 178 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 October 2025 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Doncaster Uncle Don (GB)T: Robert Cowell Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 8th 11/1
07 Nov 26 Doncaster Too Soon (GB)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 2nd 22/1
07 Nov 26 Doncaster Golden Strike (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 6/1
07 Nov 26 Doncaster Ghisa (IRE)T: Charlie Fellowes Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 9/2
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Just Queen High (IRE)T: Ian Williams racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 13/2
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Pole Star (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 6/1
31 Oct 26 Newmarket Mister Bluebird (GB)T: Heather Main Munich's Allianz-grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 28/1
31 Oct 26 Newmarket Princess Lottie (GB)T: Philip McBride Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 14/1
31 Oct 26 Newmarket Man Of Vision (GB)T: Charlie Appleby Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 13/2
30 Oct 26 Newmarket Fiorella Princess (IRE)T: Robert Cowell 157 Grosser Preis Von Baden Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 20/1
29 Oct 26 Bath Big Bard (GB)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Bristol Motor Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 17/2
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Shielas Well (IRE)T: Ian Williams Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 66/1
26 Oct 26 Leicester Dannick (GB)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Hamish's Birthday Countdown Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 6/1
26 Oct 26 Leicester Little Tiger (GB)T: William Stone Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 11/2
22 Oct 26 Newmarket Platinum Prince (GB)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 4/1
22 Oct 26 Newmarket Mo Of Cairo (GB)T: Kevin Ryan CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 5/1
21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Happier (IRE)T: Martin Keighley Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 4th 10/1
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Rambuso Creek (IRE)T: Michael Herrington Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 7/1
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Havana Smile (GB)T: Gary & Josh Moore Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 15/2
17 Oct 26 Ascot Persica (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 14th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Toby Moore's strike rate?
Toby Moore has won 19 of 178 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Toby Moore in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Toby Moore's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 177 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).