What is Tom Eaves's strike rate?

Tom Eaves has won 1,122 of 14,302 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Eaves do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 70 wins from 641 rides (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tom Eaves ride most for?

Kevin Ryan, with 2,091 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 216 (10.3%).

Is Tom Eaves in form?

In the last 14 days: 21 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 7.8% since 2008.

What is Tom Eaves's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 14,210 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tom Eaves

14,302 rides in the lifetime window · 5,831 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,122–14,302

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=14,302

3,400 (24%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=14,210 · 0.79 incl. margin

−4,794.88

£1 level stake

n=14,302 at SP · −33.5%

£13.4m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 750 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (1,149 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 14,302 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Apr 34.5% when favourite Kevin Ryan: 10.3% from 2,091 LTO winners: 12.3% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Goodwood (0% over 57 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.3% (n=1,149, Fair A/E 0.88), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=2,136, Fair A/E 0.90). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −2,392.26 to a £1 stake over 5,655 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 21 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 7.8pts below the 7.8% baseline). Kevin Ryan supplies 15% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.3% vs 7.8%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.2%, n=870). 37 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Commonwealth Cup at Ascot (Jun 2024, £411,573). The standout partner of the record: Tangerine Trees (GB) — 12 wins from 46 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.1%−1.7

n=5,655 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −2,392.26

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.3%+4.5

n=1,149 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −323.64

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%−1.5

n=2,101 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −882.96

When favourite

34.5%

n=753 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −52.01

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.5%−3.3

n=2,136 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −731.29

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.9%−0.9

n=419 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −121.22

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 12.3% vs 7.8% · n=1,149

At Goodwood 0% vs 7.8% · n=57

With John Wainwright 1% vs 7.8% · n=99

Off a 0-7-day break 12.2% vs 7.8% · n=870

With horses switching code 3.1% vs 7.8% · n=295

At Newmarket 1.6% vs 7.8% · n=61

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 34% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 4,997 438 8.8% −1,499.62

Good 3,035 220 7.2% −985.76

Good to Firm 2,982 220 7.4% −1,084.58

Good to Soft 1,627 111 6.8% −716.56

Soft 1,284 101 7.9% −350.45

Heavy 321 25 7.8% −147.62

Firm 56 7 12.5% −10.29

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 1,813 148 8.2% −674.05

Southwell (AW) 1,402 138 9.8% −313.84

Newcastle (AW) 1,164 85 7.3% −419.37

Redcar 805 58 7.2% −337.39

Ayr 759 61 8% −224.83

Hamilton 726 69 9.5% −294.48

Beverley 716 48 6.7% −282.69

Thirsk 703 49 7% −166.80

Musselburgh 641 70 10.9% −87.01

Catterick 566 44 7.8% −169.49

York 541 23 4.3% −252.75

Doncaster 536 31 5.8% −226.22

Carlisle 495 34 6.9% −228.67

Haydock 459 38 8.3% −116.13

Pontefract 451 32 7.1% −158.52

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 5,174 435 8.4% −1,799.12

Class 6 4,072 302 7.4% −1,426.14

Class 4 2,622 212 8.1% −1,030.17

Class 3 1,042 78 7.5% −209.67

Class 2 876 61 7% −181.56

Class 1 419 29 6.9% −121.22

Class 7 90 5 5.6% −20.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 931 297 31.9% 1.10 −76.05

2nd–3rd fav 2,431 369 15.2% 0.95 −404.36

4th–6th fav 4,736 294 6.2% 0.81 −1,577.87

7th+ in betting 6,204 162 2.6% 0.79 −2,736.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 6,017 454 7.5% −1,937.91

1m – 1m1f 2,888 208 7.2% −1,194.20

Under 6f 2,684 272 10.1% −563.39

1m2f – 1m4f 1,971 137 7% −854.85

1m5f – 2m 681 47 6.9% −212.03

2m1f – 2m4f 56 4 7.1% −27.50

2m5f – 3m 5 0 0% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 866 87 10% −288.95

2009 1,013 87 8.6% −413.36

2010 911 81 8.9% −239.74

2011 1,033 94 9.1% −238.11

2012 942 76 8.1% −301.01

2013 997 76 7.6% −346.49

2014 852 66 7.7% −368.59

2015 844 67 7.9% −139.04

2016 840 71 8.5% −151.16

2017 856 69 8.1% −192.34

2018 496 31 6.3% −240.85

2019 547 41 7.5% −104.65

2020 631 31 4.9% −399.13

2021 621 37 6% −293.75

2022 494 27 5.5% −221.91

2023 660 52 7.9% −167.05

2024 738 69 9.3% −188.44

2025 625 43 6.9% −300.69

2026 336 17 5.1% −199.62

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 9,862 743 7.5% −2,909.73

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 4,980 423 8.5% −1,406.99

11-13 runners 4,496 257 5.7% −1,874.68

5-7 runners 2,486 305 12.3% −736.57

14-16 runners 1,488 75 5% −445.04

17+ runners 648 22 3.4% −286.25

2-4 runners 204 40 19.6% −45.35

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tangerine Trees (GB) 46 12 21 17 Oct 16

Brando (GB) 41 6 18 16 Oct 21

Bergerac (IRE) 38 5 12 27 Aug 26

Kodebreaker (IRE) 34 2 12 31 Oct 25

Anif (IRE) 34 4 9 10 Apr 25

Nickel Silver (GB) 32 6 15 18 Oct 12

Bay Of Naples (IRE) 31 3 13 20 Apr 25

Kiwi Bay (GB) 31 3 8 18 Nov 16

Smalljohn (GB) 30 7 12 24 Oct 13

Oriental Relation (IRE) 28 7 12 13 Jan 17

Rathbone (GB) 27 3 11 23 Jun 24

Kind Review (GB) 27 7 13 28 Oct 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 5,831 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 17 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 21 0% · −7.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

Lifetime base7.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

912101077887679

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKevin Ryan

15% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Kevin Ryan 2,091 216 10.3% −551.66

Bryan Smart 1,624 171 10.5% −477.63

Keith Dalgleish 649 76 11.7% −84.84

Michael Dods 633 52 8.2% −86.40

Michael Herrington 622 52 8.4% −159.85

James Given 482 42 8.7% −109.96

Brian Ellison 482 32 6.6% −275.21

Linda Perratt 267 20 7.5% −57.67

Tracy Waggott 220 19 8.6% −100.87

Ian Semple 216 15 6.9% −115.05

Ivan Furtado 215 9 4.2% −104.62

Nigel Tinkler 208 13 6.3% −88.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,318

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.0m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 94 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Inisherin (GB) — Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2024 · Group 1

£411,573

Brando (GB) — LARC Prix Maurice de Gheest (3yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2017 · Group 1

£185,583

Glass Slippers (GB) — Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (2yo+) (Sprint Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2019 · Group 1

£180,171

Notable horses

Tangerine Trees (GB) Chookie Royale (GB) Chookie Hamilton (GB) Smalljohn (GB) Oriental Relation (IRE) Kind Review (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 10.8% · 31–288

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Acclamation (GB) 6.9% · 17–248

Progeny have won 10% of 19,716 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 11.6% · 28–242

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 7.7% · 18–235

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,982 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 9% · 18–201

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Kyllachy (GB) 9.3% · 17–182

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 16,636 · newest first

The latest 50 of 16,636 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Master Of My Fate (IRE)T: John & Sean Quinn Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 22/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Ziva's Star (GB)T: Simon Whitaker AWC Season 14 Has Begun Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 22/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Uncertainty (IRE)T: Simon Whitaker Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Haltonwood (IRE)T: Ivan Furtado All-Weather Championship Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 28/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Another Festival (GB)T: Craig Lidster AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 50/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) March Lilly (GB)T: Kevin Ryan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 6/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Lilac Dandy (GB)T: Alan Brown All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 150/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Straight Ahead (GB)T: Craig Lidster Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 10/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Didaar (IRE)T: Gihan Arnolda AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 16/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Not Me (GB)T: Alan Brown Thank You For The Fun Gweedore Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 14/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Quiet Resolve (IRE)T: Alan Brown Hibernian FC Emerald Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 50/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Charlie Darling (FR)T: Alan Brown Joe Fanning Fond Farewell Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 11/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Talora (IRE)T: Ivan Furtado British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 150/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Wish This (GB)T: Alan Brown AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 9/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Coramento (GB)T: Ray Craggs Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 6/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Adrestia (GB)T: Simon Crisford Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 9/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Urban Road (GB)T: Alan Brown Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 12/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Belsito (GER)T: Kevin Ryan Remembering Kevin Lumb AKA Burnley Kevin Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 7/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Snuggle (GB)T: Thomas Faulkner Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Ravenswell (FR)T: Thomas Faulkner Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tom Eaves's strike rate?: Tom Eaves has won 1,122 of 14,302 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Eaves do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 70 wins from 641 rides (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tom Eaves ride most for?: Kevin Ryan, with 2,091 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 216 (10.3%).
Is Tom Eaves in form?: In the last 14 days: 21 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 7.8% since 2008.
What is Tom Eaves's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 14,210 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.