2:30 Roscommon
A 15-runner Flat contest over 7f111y at Roscommon (2:30), on Soft going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
Two or more habitual front-runners — the pace looks strong and could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Ella's Gold KTB Selection59/100
Limited filly who has shown bits of form here without winning, including a placed effort on soft ground. She drops back in trip from 1m2f to a distance at which she has been placed twice, and first-time headgear is now tried. Trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Roscommon but the jockey's 4% record from a big sample is modest.
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2The Bear Trap58/100
Limited performer who has shown little spark in two starts this year and finished only sixth when tried here last season. Drops back from a mile to a trip he has won at in the past but his overall record is modest and the recent form offers little encouragement. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Roscommon.
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3Monocle Rocket57/100
Limited performer who has shown mixed form across six starts and was well held when last seen. Drops back in trip today having been placed once at this distance without winning. Trainer continues in good form at this track with a 25% strike rate while the jockey holds a solid 15% record here.
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4Watercraft57/100
Limited performer who has shown little in four starts to date. Drops back in trip from a wide draw today and the recent form offers no encouragement. Trainer has a solid record at the track but the jockey's strike rate is modest.
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5Buttermere Ridge50/100
Limited performer who has shown little spark this year and finished well down the field in both runs at this track. Drops back from a mile to a trip he has won at before and has handled soft ground in the past. Trainer has a modest record here while the jockey has no previous course experience.
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6Alex Belardo50/100
Limited performer who has run well at this track once but is 0-23 at today's trip despite two wins over it.
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7Goldrush Kid49/100
Limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and was pulled up on his penultimate outing.
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8Little Wing45/100
Little Wing has shown very little in five runs to date and remains a limited performer on the balance of her form and ratings.
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9Dark Willow44/100
Limited performer who has shown very little spark in recent starts and finished last on her only previous visit to Roscommon.
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10Master Garvey43/100
Limited performer who has been placed once in two runs at this track.
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11Zarenakarena41/100
Limited performer who has shown very little in three starts to date.
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12Blue Orquidea39/100
Limited performer who has failed to build on a promising debut and now tries first-time headgear after four modest runs.
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13Sunday Sovereign35/100
Limited performer who has placed twice in three runs at this track but has failed to win in 50 career starts.
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14Tamazu34/100
Limited performer who has shown very little spark in recent starts and was well held when fifth on his only previous visit to this track.
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15Kayamite29/100
Kayamite is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and carries a poor recent form line of 87-080.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Ella's Gold on a Fit Score of 59/100. On our numbers the main dangers are The Bear Trap and Monocle Rocket.
KTB Selection Ella's Gold
This is the narrative read of the 2:30 Roscommon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Roscommon racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Roscommon results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Roscommon racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 2:30 at Roscommon?
Ella's Gold tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 59/100.
How many runners are in this race?
15 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 2:30 at Roscommon?
The going is described as Soft.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 7f111y.
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