4:35 Navan
The 4:35 at Navan is a 19-runner Ladies Handicap Hurdle over 2m5f on good ground. A competitive field where the KTB numbers highlight a clear top pick on 74 while the remainder cluster between 59 and 42, suggesting a race with one standout on the figures but plenty of depth among the remainder. Recent form is mixed across the board, with several runners showing placed efforts but few in strong current winning sequences, and the first-time headgear on a couple of key players adds an extra layer of interest.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a natural leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being handy should pay. With the vast majority of the field, including all five principals, tending to be held up and produce their effort late, the early fractions are likely to be modest. The key question is whether the race will develop enough pace for the closers to be delivered effectively or whether those able to edge into a more forward position can steal an advantage in a race where positioning looks crucial.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Magic Day KTB Selection74/100
Magic Day arrives with the highest KTB Fit rating of 74 and is the clear selection. A 7-year-old with recent form of 03-624, he has shown enough to be competitive at this level without yet winning. The trainer has a solid 10% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 1.36, while the jockey boasts a 13% strike rate here with an A/E of 3.32. He has been placed on two of four starts on good ground and has course form of 3rd and 4th from two runs at Navan. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he now tries first-time headgear which could sharpen him up in a steadily-run affair.
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2Knocknagoran Lady59/100
Knocknagoran Lady is rated second on KTB Fit with 59. A 7-year-old showing progressive recent form of -61141, she arrives in good heart having won three of her last five starts. The trainer has yet to strike at Navan from seven runs with an A/E of 0, but the jockey has a 13% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 3.03. She boasts a strong record on good ground with three wins from eight starts and four further places. Lacking any course form on record, she is another who is usually held up and comes late with her effort.
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3Lucy Wang56/100
Lucy Wang is next on the KTB Fit scale with 56. The 6-year-old has recent form of 3313-0 and has shown useful placed form in the past. Emmet Mullins has a strong 21% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 1.6, though the jockey is yet to score from her one ride here. She is unproven on good ground having had two runs without placing, and her sole course effort resulted in a 10th-place finish. Usually held up, she now sports first-time headgear which may help her produce a sharper effort in this tactical contest.
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4Costanuci54/100
Costanuci holds a KTB Fit of 54 as a 9-year-old with form of 5P-852. He has been competitive of late without quite getting his head in front. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 0.72, though the trainer-jockey combination reads 0/18 with an A/E of 0.00. He has two wins from nine starts on good ground and five placed efforts, but has no course form to speak of. Typically held up with high confidence in that run-style, he will be looking to pounce late if the race falls his way.
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5Toor Khov54/100
Toor Khov completes the principals with a KTB Fit of 54. An 8-year-old whose recent form reads 51F24-, he has shown ability on his day and has placed form at this track. The trainer has a 0% strike rate at Navan from 21 runs with an A/E of 0. He has had only one run on good ground without placing, but boasts course form of 5th and 2nd from two starts here. Usually held up with high confidence, he will be another looking to come from off the pace in what is expected to be a steadily-run race.
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6Latopix54/100
Latopix has a KTB Fit of 54 and recent form of 38-22P. Trained by Henry de Bromhead who has a 10% strike rate at Navan, he typically settles in midfield and now tries first-time headgear. He has been placed once from three runs on good ground and finished 8th on his only previous start here.
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7Can Happen53/100
Can Happen is rated 53 on KTB Fit with form of 3P0-19. The trainer-jockey combination shows a 3/52 record with an A/E of 1.19. Usually held up, he has one win from four starts on good ground and two places, but has no course form on record.
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8Ottoman Style52/100
Ottoman Style holds a KTB Fit of 52 and recent form of /P-4PP. A 10-year-old, he is usually held up and has been placed once from five runs on good ground. He has one previous run at Navan which resulted in a pull-up.
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9Diamond Tipp50/100
Diamond Tipp is on 50 KTB Fit with form of -8P270. Usually held up with high confidence, the trainer has an 8% strike rate at Navan. He has one win from ten starts on good ground and five places but no course form.
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10Midleton Rare48/100
Midleton Rare has a KTB Fit of 48 and form of 1P-902. The trainer-jockey partnership reads 0/13 with an A/E of 0.00. Usually held up, he has been placed once from six runs on good and finished third on his only previous start at Navan.
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11The Monkey Pole48/100
The Monkey Pole is rated 48 on KTB Fit with recent form of 4-4P35. Usually held up with high confidence, he has been placed twice from five starts on good ground but has no course form on record.
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12Sammy Smart47/100
Usually held up and produces its effort late.
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13Tippinaway47/100
Tippinaway holds a KTB Fit of 47 and form of 041/6-. Usually held up, he has been placed once from two runs on good ground but has no course form.
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14Moonlight Paradise47/100
Moonlight Paradise is on 47 KTB Fit with form of 0-4P51. Usually held up with high confidence, the trainer has a 7% strike rate at Navan. He has one win from three starts on good ground but no course form.
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15Seeitoldya46/100
Seeitoldya has a KTB Fit of 46 and recent form of U0-6P8. Usually held up with high confidence, the trainer has a 7% strike rate at Navan. He has had seven runs on good ground without winning or placing and has no course form.
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16Pourquoi Poi46/100
Pourquoi Poi is rated 46 on KTB Fit with form of 63B302. Usually held up, he has been placed twice from seven starts on good ground but has no course form on record.
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17Sallap45/100
Sallap holds a KTB Fit of 45 and recent form of -01155. The trainer-jockey combination is 0/9. Usually held up with high confidence, he has two wins from ten starts on good ground and two places, but finished 17th on his only previous run at Navan.
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18Coolboy Christy43/100
Coolboy Christy is on 43 KTB Fit with form of 484505. Usually held up with high confidence, the trainer has a 4% strike rate at Navan. He has been placed once from eight starts on good ground but has no course form.
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19Kazbek42/100
Kazbek has the lowest KTB Fit of 42 and recent form of 3P4P-P. Usually held up, the trainer has a 6% strike rate at Navan. He has had six runs on good ground without placing and pulled up on his only previous start here.
KTB verdict
Magic Day stands out clearly on the KTB numbers with a Fit rating of 74 and is duly the selection. He has shown consistent placed form, boasts strong jockey course statistics, has performed well at Navan before and now tries first-time headgear in a race that should suit his late run-style. The steadily-run nature of the contest gives scope for him to be delivered with a well-timed challenge. The main dangers are Knocknagoran Lady, who arrives in excellent form with three wins from her last five starts and a good record on good ground, and Lucy Wang, who represents a trainer in strong form at the track and could improve for first-time headgear. Costanuci and Toor Khov, both with placed course form or good recent efforts, complete the main contenders in what remains a competitive handicap.
KTB Selection Magic Day
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 19 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Magic Day | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Knocknagoran Lady | 9/2 | Dragon Bet |
| Lucy Wang | 10/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Costanuci | 10/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Toor Khov | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Latopix | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Can Happen | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Ottoman Style | 50/1 | Bet365 |
| Diamond Tipp | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Midleton Rare | 12/1 | Dragon Bet |
| The Monkey Pole | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Sammy Smart | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Tippinaway | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Moonlight Paradise | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Seeitoldya | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Pourquoi Poi | 8/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Sallap | 14/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Coolboy Christy | 14/1 | BetTom |
| Kazbek | 33/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 4:35 Navan. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Navan racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Navan results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is the KTB Selection and what is its Fit rating?
Magic Day is the KTB Selection with a Fit rating of 74.
What is the expected pace shape of the race and how many principals are held-up runners?
The race lacks a leader and is likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair; all five principals are described as held-up runners.
Which runners are wearing first-time headgear?
Magic Day, Lucy Wang and Latopix are all wearing first-time headgear.
Which horse has the strongest trainer record at Navan among the principals?
Lucy Wang’s trainer Emmet Mullins has a 21% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 1.6.
How many runners in the full field have previous winning form on good ground?
Knocknagoran Lady (3 wins), Costanuci (2 wins), Can Happen (1 win), Diamond Tipp (1 win), Moonlight Paradise (1 win), Sallap (2 wins) and several others with placed form on good ground are noted, but exact total wins are as listed per runner.
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