7:00 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 6 handicap over 1m 142y on the standard all-weather surface at Wolverhampton features a field of thirteen three-year-olds, most of whom are limited performers with modest recent form. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Tago Mago heading the numbers on 62, followed by Call Alert on 51 and Yazoo on 49. Overall the race looks competitive on paper yet lacking real depth, with the majority of runners yet to prove themselves at this trip or on the surface.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner in a muddling and tactical pace shape, the race is expected to be run with horses positioned close to the pace holding the key. Call Alert and Nautical Sky are the two most likely to race prominently, while the remainder of the field are predominantly held-up types who will look to produce their efforts from off the pace. The key question is whether those ridden handily can dictate matters or if the race will fall to a closer in what could develop into a sprint for the line from some way out.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Tago Mago KTB Selection62/100
Tago Mago is a limited horse who has shown little in four starts since a fair debut third. He steps up in trip for the first time today while wearing first-time headgear, both unknowns, yet the yard has a solid 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 50 runs with an A/E of 1.57. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 2/6 (33%) record, and the horse is placed once from two runs on standard going though remains without a win. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has one previous run here when finishing seventh. Despite his limitations he tops the KTB Fit ratings and is the selection in a race short on proven quality.
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2Call Alert51/100
Call Alert is a limited horse who has shown only modest form in three runs to date, finishing fifth of nine on his most recent start. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question of him, and he remains unproven on standard ground with no course form on record. Dropping in class is a positive, and the yard has a solid 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 146 runs with an A/E of 0.91. The trainer and jockey show an 11% strike rate with an A/E of 0.91, while the jockey himself has a 12% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.96. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, he could be well placed in a muddling tactical affair.
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3Yazoo49/100
Yazoo is a limited performer who has shown little in four starts, including an eighth and a fall two outings back. He steps up sharply from 5f to beyond a mile today which asks a fresh question of him, and he remains unproven on standard ground with no course form on record. Dropping in class may help, and the trainer has a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 168 runs with an A/E of 0.67. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 14% strike rate with an A/E of 0.95, while the jockey has an 11% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.93. Usually held up and producing his effort late on limited evidence, he could be suited if the race develops a strong pace up front.
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4Miss Mambo48/100
Miss Mambo is a limited performer who has shown only modest form in eight runs this year. She has been beaten a fair way on both previous starts at Wolverhampton and has never won on the all-weather, though she is placed once from four runs on standard ground. The step up in trip today asks a fresh question of her, and she has two course runs when finishing sixth and seventh. The trainer has a 12% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 1077 runs with an A/E of 0.91, while the trainer and jockey show a 17% strike rate with an A/E of 1.29. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she has been competitive without winning.
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5Rajendra47/100
Rajendra is a limited performer who has failed to build on an encouraging handicap debut and has looked stretched by longer trips of late. He drops back to 1m today having shown little at that distance on his only previous attempt, and he has two runs on standard going without a win or place. The trainer continues in solid form at Wolverhampton with a 14% strike rate from 935 runs and an A/E of 0.85. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 15% strike rate with an A/E of 0.99, while the jockey has a 12% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.92. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he remains modest but is not without each-way claims if the trip suits.
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6Marveling45/100
Marveling is a limited performer on his six starts to date and has failed to build on an encouraging fourth at this track in June. He drops back in trip today having last run over 1m2f and that represents a fresh question, while the yard has a 9% strike-rate here from 217 runs. Usually held up with high confidence, he is dropping in class but has two runs on standard going without a win or place.
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7Ten Sixty Six43/100
Ten Sixty Six is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last four starts and showed little when ninth on his only previous visit here. He drops back in trip today having been well held over longer last time but is still without a win at this distance either. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 1138 runs, and the jockey has a 15% strike rate here. Usually held up, he has one run on standard going without a win or place.
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8Claytons Kolatonic43/100
Claytons Kolatonic is a limited performer who has shown little since a placed effort over C&D in January and has failed to build on that run in four starts since. He looks vulnerable from stall 4 in a race with plenty of pace on paper, and the trainer records a steady 9% strike rate here from a large sample. Usually held up with high confidence, he has three runs on standard going without a win or place and two course runs when third and sixth.
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9Ernie McCrew42/100
Ernie McCrew is a limited horse who has shown only modest form in nine runs this year and has twice run respectably without threatening at this track. He has been competitive on standard ground without winning, and dropping back from 1m2f to 1m poses a fresh question while the yard's modest 9% strike-rate here from a large sample adds no encouragement. Usually held up, he is placed once from six runs on standard.
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10Crown The Future40/100
Crown The Future is a limited horse who has shown little spark in recent starts and now steps up in trip for the first time. He did win over course and distance in the past but that was off a much higher mark and his current form leaves him with plenty to find. The trainer's modest 10 percent strike rate here from a huge sample is another negative, though he has one win from eight on standard and has won here from five runs.
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11Nautical Sky40/100
Nautical Sky has shown mixed form over 7f here with a second and a fourth from four runs but has failed to build on that in recent starts. He steps up in trip today having already placed once at a mile without winning, and the yard holds a solid 20% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a large sample. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, he is placed once from five on standard and has been placed from four course runs without winning.
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12Fenay Bridge39/100
Fenay Bridge is a limited sort who has shown little in three runs to date, finishing no better than seventh. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him, and the trainer has a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 560 runs. Usually held up on limited evidence, he has three runs on standard going without a win or place and is dropping in class.
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13Lordsbridge Bay37/100
Lordsbridge Bay is a limited performer who has struggled since early promise, finishing no better than seventh in six starts this year. He has run just once at Wolverhampton when fifth, and the trainer holds a solid 18% strike rate here from 227 runs. He steps up in trip for the first time today and remains unproven on this ground after six runs without a win or place. Usually held up on limited evidence.
KTB verdict
Tago Mago tops the KTB Fit ratings and is taken to land this modest Class 6 contest. The selection has shown little since a fair debut third but steps up in trip in first-time headgear for a yard that has a solid record at Wolverhampton, and he can capitalise on what looks a weak race. Call Alert is the most obvious danger as a prominent runner dropping in class, while Yazoo, Miss Mambo and Rajendra are the other principals who could feature if the muddling pace shape plays into their hands.
KTB Selection Tago Mago
This is the narrative read of the 7:00 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is making its first start in headgear?
Tago Mago is wearing first-time headgear.
How many previous runs has the selection had at Wolverhampton?
Tago Mago has run once at Wolverhampton, finishing seventh.
Which two horses are most likely to race prominently?
Call Alert and Nautical Sky are the two most likely to race handily on or close to the lead.
Which horse has a win over course and distance on its record?
Crown The Future won over course and distance in the past.
What is the trainer strike rate at Wolverhampton for the yard of the selection?
The trainer of Tago Mago has a 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 50 runs with an A/E of 1.57.
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