8:00 Dundalk (AW)
This 7f maiden at Dundalk on standard ground features a field of 17, the majority of whom are modest performers with limited wins to their names. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Emiza just heading the list on 53, closely followed by Brigids Charm and Dandymaria on 52. Overall the numbers point to a race where previous course experience and a return to this trip could prove influential, though the uncontested pace shape adds an extra layer of complexity.
How the race shapes up
With a lone leader likely to enjoy an uncontested lead according to the pace shape, the race is set to be run at a steady gallop that could prove difficult for those held up in rear to bridge the gap. Most of the field, including the top five in the KTB Fit rankings, are held-up types who will be looking to produce their effort late. The key question is whether any of the closers can reel in the uncontested front-runner or whether the leader will prove hard to peg back in what looks a race that could be won from the front.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Emiza KTB Selection53/100
Emiza is a modest performer who has shown some ability in three starts, finishing second over this trip on her penultimate outing before a fair effort dropped to 1m last time. She has already placed here at Dundalk from a wide draw and now returns to 7f which looks suitable on balance. The trainer has a 12% strike rate at Dundalk from 727 runs while the jockey operates at 10% from 1741 rides, both solid if unspectacular. She is placed once from one run on standard ground and was second on her only previous visit to the course. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is drawn in stall 15. The KTB Selection.
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2Brigids Charm52/100
Brigids Charm showed little on her two starts to date, finishing seventh on this track last time. The drop back from 1m1f to 7f asks a new question while the low draw could help. The trainer and jockey both hold an 11% strike rate at Dundalk from sizeable samples. She has one run on standard ground with no win or place to her name and was seventh on her only previous visit here. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is drawn in stall 1. Her recent form figures read 70 and she is a 3-year-old with a KTB Fit of 52.
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3Dandymaria52/100
Dandymaria is a modest performer who has shown some ability on this track. Placed once at today's 7f trip from two attempts but was well held when last seen over a mile. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey's 7% record from over 1,500 rides is more modest. She is unproven on standard ground and has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing her effort late with high confidence, she is drawn in stall 9. Her recent form figures read 4036 and she carries an official rating of 69.
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4Ready To Mingle50/100
Ready To Mingle is a modest performer who has shown some consistency here, finishing placed on both previous visits to Dundalk without winning. She drops back from 1m2f to a trip where she has been placed once in three starts, though this is only her sixth career run and the first-time headgear adds an unknown. The trainer holds a 12% strike rate from 416 runs at the track while the jockey is operating at 13% from 85 rides. She is placed twice from two runs on standard ground and has been placed on both her course visits. Usually held up and producing her effort late with high confidence, she is drawn in stall 8. Her recent form figures read 5023-4 and she carries an official rating of 65.
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5Eleanor Shelby48/100
Eleanor Shelby is a modest performer who has shown some ability on her two starts at this trip, finishing placed once. Drawn widest of all in stall 16 which will make life difficult from the front. The trainer has a solid 15% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey's record is more modest at 6%. She has one run on standard ground with no win or place and has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing her effort late with medium confidence, she is a 3-year-old with an official rating of 69. Her recent form figures read 7236- and she has a KTB Fit of 48.
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6Near Perfection48/100
Near Perfection is lightly raced with just two runs this year and a modest 50 on the formline. Drops back from 1m2f to an untried 7f today which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a solid 19% strike rate at Dundalk from 141 runs while the jockey is operating at 9% from 622 rides here. She is unproven on standard ground and has no course form on record. Typically settles in midfield and is drawn in stall 10.
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7Tribal Belle47/100
Tribal Belle has shown little in two starts to date, finishing sixth then last over 6f. She now steps up to 7f for the first time with headgear applied, which asks a fresh question of a horse with only a modest pedigree and low-level form. The yard's modest 7% strike-rate at Dundalk from a large sample adds little encouragement here. She is unproven on standard ground and has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is drawn in stall 3.
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8Little Sure Shot47/100
Little Sure Shot is a modest performer who has shown a bit of ability on his better days but has been below form on his last two starts. Drops back to 7f today having been placed at the trip earlier in the year. The trainer has a 9% strike rate here from 326 runs while the jockey is 7% from 44 rides. He has one run on standard ground with no win or place and was fifth on his only previous visit here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is drawn in stall 5.
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9Chosen One47/100
Chosen One is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on his better days but has failed to land a blow in two runs at this track. Dropping back from 1m2½f to an untried 7f poses a fresh question while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer holds a solid 19% strike rate here from 141 runs though the 7lb claimer has managed only 5% from 44 rides at Dundalk. He has two runs on standard ground with no win or place and has been unplaced on both his course visits. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is drawn in stall 13.
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10Carry The Dream47/100
Carry The Dream is a modest performer who has shown little in three starts to date and was well held when eighth on his only previous visit here. The drop back to 7f is an unknown and the wide draw in stall 14 adds to the difficulties. The trainer and jockey both have solid records at Dundalk that are slightly above the expected level. He has one run on standard ground with no win or place. Tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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11Jallaaf46/100
Jallaaf is lightly raced with just two runs this year and both at this track where he finished sixth and ninth. Drops back from a mile to 7f today which asks a fresh question. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate here from a big sample and low data confidence mean this one is best approached with caution. He has two runs on standard ground with no win or place and has been unplaced on both his course visits. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is drawn in stall 6.
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12Coasting46/100
Coasting is a modest performer on the balance of his four runs and has yet to show he can win. He ran respectably when fourth over a mile here on his most recent start but that was still some way off the required level. The trainer and jockey both hold a 10% strike rate at Dundalk while the drop back to 7f is an unknown. He has one run on standard ground with no win or place. Typically settles in midfield and is drawn in stall 11.
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13Ocean Echo44/100
Ocean Echo is a modest performer who has shown a bit of ability on turf, including a placed effort at this trip. First run at Dundalk on standard ground asks a fresh question and he steps up from 6f today. The trainer has a solid 11% strike rate here from a big sample. He is unproven on standard ground and has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he is drawn in stall 7.
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14Purely42/100
Purely is a modest performer who has failed to build on an encouraging debut and now has four modest efforts in a row. Drops back from 1m to 7f having looked one-paced at the longer trip last time, though the shorter distance remains a question mark. The trainer has a solid 23% strike rate at Dundalk while the jockey operates at 11%. He has one run on standard ground with no win or place and was seventh on his only previous visit here. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he is drawn in stall 4.
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15Mooncoin42/100
Mooncoin has shown very little in two starts so far and was well beaten on her only visit to this track. The trainer's record at Dundalk is modest at 2% from 45 runs while the jockey has a solid 10% strike rate here from a big sample. With only two career runs the form is hard to weigh up and she remains open to improvement but has plenty to find on what she has shown. She has one run on standard ground with no win or place. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is drawn in stall 12.
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16Gonirianbotharleat39/100
Gonirianbotharleat is lightly raced with a poor recent record of 9-80 and no win or place from three runs at this track. The yard has a modest 4% strike rate here from 74 runs while the jockey operates at 5% from a big sample of rides. Data confidence is low so this one is best treated with caution. She has three runs on standard ground with no win or place. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is drawn in stall 2.
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17Bear Right38/100
Bear Right is a modest performer with a string of consistent minor honours on turf but now making its first appearance at Dundalk on standard ground where it is completely unproven. The yard records a 9% strike rate here from a large sample while jockey Nathan Crosse is operating at 5%. Trip looks about right having been placed three times at 7f without winning. He is unproven on standard ground and has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he is drawn in stall 17.
KTB verdict
Emiza is the KTB Selection and she brings the most encouraging profile, having already shown ability over this trip and placed at Dundalk from a wide draw. A return to 7f looks suitable on balance and the combination of trainer and jockey with solid if unspectacular records at the track adds to her claims. She is likely to be held up towards the rear and will need the pace to collapse or the leader to come back to her in a race where the uncontested leader could prove hard to peg back. The main dangers are Brigids Charm, who could be helped by the low draw and a drop in trip, and Dandymaria, who has shown some ability on this track and is placed at the trip. Ready To Mingle and Eleanor Shelby are next in the KTB Fit order and cannot be entirely dismissed.
KTB Selection Emiza
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 2 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Emiza | 7/4 | Bet365 |
| Brigids Charm | 100/1 | BetTom |
| Dandymaria | 5/1 | BetTom |
| Ready To Mingle | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Eleanor Shelby | 17/2 | William Hill |
| Near Perfection | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Tribal Belle | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Little Sure Shot | 16/1 | BetTom |
| Chosen One | 11/1 | BetTom |
| Carry The Dream | 28/1 | BetTom |
| Jallaaf | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Coasting | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Ocean Echo | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Purely | 7/1 | BetMGM |
| Mooncoin | 66/1 | BetTom |
| Gonirianbotharleat | 150/1 | BetTom |
| Bear Right | 13/2 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 8:00 Dundalk (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Dundalk (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Dundalk (AW) results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has already placed at Dundalk over this trip?
Emiza has already placed here at Dundalk from a wide draw and now returns to 7f which looks suitable on balance.
How many of the principals are held-up types?
All five principals are held up, with Dandymaria and Ready To Mingle having high confidence in that run-style.
Which horse is the only one to have shown placed form at 7f on this surface?
Ready To Mingle has been placed once at today's 7f trip from three starts and is placed from two runs on standard ground.
What is the trainer strike rate at Dundalk for the yard of the KTB Selection?
Trainer D K Weld has a 12% strike rate at Dundalk from 727 runs.
Which runner is making its first appearance at Dundalk on standard ground after consistent turf form?
Bear Right has a string of consistent minor honours on turf but is completely unproven at Dundalk on standard ground.
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