Brendan Maurice Walsh
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).
The record is strongest at Thurles (8.6%, n=35), clear of the yard's 4.2% baseline. It is weakest at Clonmel (0% over 50 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −94.00 to a £1 stake over 119 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Darragh O'Keeffe rides 19% of the entries and beats the yard's average (9.3% vs 4.2%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (8%, n=88) and off a 31-60-day break (7.4%, n=95). The stable star of the record: Rochestown (IRE) — 5 wins from 17 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 402 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 402 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 November 2022 to 12 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Brendan Maurice Walsh's strike rate?
- Brendan Maurice Walsh has won 17 of 402 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Brendan Maurice Walsh do best at?
- Thurles by strike rate: 3 wins from 35 runners (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Brendan Maurice Walsh?
- Darragh O'Keeffe, with 75 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.3%).
- Is Brendan Maurice Walsh in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Brendan Maurice Walsh's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 402 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.