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Trainer profile

Chelsea Banham

921 runners in the lifetime window · 74 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
90–921
Wins / Runs
9.8%
Strike rate
n=921
233 (25%)
Placed
1.09
n=918 · 0.93 incl. margin
−309.68
£1 level stake
n=921 at SP · −33.6%
£565k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
19.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 921 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 39.1% when favourite Joey Haynes: 9.7% from 867 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (15.4%, n=162), clear of the yard's 9.8% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.00). Joey Haynes rides 94% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.7%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22.4%, n=49) and at trips under 6f (15.7%, n=223). The record reads poorly on Good going — 2.3% over 44 runners, 7.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Admirable Lad (GB) — 7 wins from 57 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7%−2.8
n=128 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −45.05
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.5%−5.3
n=44 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.8
n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.7%−2.1
n=26 · A/E 1.65 · £1 −6.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.3%−3.5
n=48 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −24.00
When favourite
39.1%
n=64 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +6.56
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.7%−2.1
n=26 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −18.92
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 25% vs 9.8% · n=92
Off a 0-7-day break 22.4% vs 9.8% · n=49
With debutants 0% vs 9.8% · n=33
At trips under 6f 15.7% vs 9.8% · n=223
At Lingfield (AW) 15.4% vs 9.8% · n=162
On Good going 2.3% vs 9.8% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 920 90 9.8% −308.68
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 746 77 10.3% −240.89
Good to Firm 85 9 10.6% −1.79
Good 44 1 2.3% −39.00
Good to Soft 23 1 4.3% −18.50
Soft 19 1 5.3% −10.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 1 100% +3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 253 25 9.9% −75.73
Lingfield (AW) 162 25 15.4% −1.22
Chelmsford City (AW) 132 17 12.9% −40.64
Kempton (AW) 117 6 5.1% −68.13
Southwell (AW) 76 3 3.9% −58.67
Yarmouth 64 4 6.3% −30.50
Leicester 20 2 10% +21.00
Nottingham 13 0 0% −13.00
Lingfield 12 2 16.7% −2.50
Bath 12 2 16.7% −3.17
Beverley 7 0 0% −7.00
Brighton 6 0 0% −6.00
Windsor 6 1 16.7% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 6 1 16.7% +3.50
Thirsk 5 1 20% +0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 618 69 11.2% −130.27
Class 5 207 13 6.3% −130.54
Class 4 73 6 8.2% −37.87
Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 7 5 2 40% +7.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 77 27 35.1% 1.30 +2.89
2nd–3rd fav 184 35 19% 1.19 +7.93
4th–6th fav 271 22 8.1% 1.03 −65.50
7th+ in betting 389 6 1.5% 0.55 −255.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Admirable Lad (GB) 57 7 20 14 Mar 25
Makambe (IRE)from Paul Howling 45 4 16 20 Oct 22
Bankrupt (IRE) 43 6 9 30 Jun 25
Watermelon Sugar (IRE)from Archie Watson 35 4 9 21 Jul 26
Handel (USA)from A P O'Brien 35 1 7 11 Nov 24
Munificent (GB)from Paul & Oliver Cole 31 4 11 17 Jul 24
Independence Day (IRE)from Paul Howling 31 2 13 29 Aug 22
Toplight (GB) 30 3 8 14 Mar 24
Twilight Fun (GB) 27 6 10 3 Nov 26
Law Of Average (GB) 26 7 9 12 Sep 26
War Zone (IRE) 26 2 5 30 Aug 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 74 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Howling (11) and Michael Appleby (3); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Jo Hughes (2) and Tony Carroll (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
121641465111089159
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJoey Haynes
94% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 1.08
RiderRWSR£1
Joey Haynes 867 84 9.7% −281.01
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
90
Archived wins
£565k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 17 wins
Twilight Fun (GB) — Bet Responsibly With SBK Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Feb 2026 · Class 4
£18,319
Law Of Average (GB) — William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Lingfield · May 2024 · Class 5
£10,468
Twilight Fun (GB) — It's Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Feb 2025 · Class 4
£5,757

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bated Breath (GB) 9.8% · 13–132
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,181 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 857.
Pearl Secret (GB) 17.2% · 11–64
Progeny have won 9.8% of 898 runs since 2020 (73 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 131. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.6% from 308. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.6% from 337.
Dark Angel (IRE) 7.4% · 4–54
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Twilight Son (GB) 17.3% · 9–52
Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,669 runs since 2020 (284 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.9% from 621.
Adaay (IRE) 14.3% · 7–49
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,968 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.
Sir Percy (GB) 7.3% · 3–41
Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,154 runs since 2011 (473 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 921 · newest first

The latest 50 of 921 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 August 2019 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chelsea Banham's strike rate?
Chelsea Banham has won 90 of 921 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chelsea Banham do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 25 wins from 162 runners (15.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chelsea Banham?
Joey Haynes, with 867 runners since 2008 — 94% of the total. That pairing has won 84 (9.7%).
Is Chelsea Banham in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Chelsea Banham's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 918 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).