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Trainer profile

Gerald Geisler

138 runners in the lifetime window · 60 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–138
Wins / Runs
5.8%
Strike rate
n=138
34 (25%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=136 · 0.74 incl. margin
−5.30
£1 level stake
n=137 at SP · −3.9%
£178k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 138 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (2.7% over 37 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Debutants struggle at 2.7% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (9.5%, n=42). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 2.8% over 36 runners, 3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.3%−0.5
n=57 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −26.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.8
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Debutants · first career start
2.7%−3.1
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.8
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 9.5% vs 5.8% · n=42
At Chantilly (FR) 2.7% vs 5.8% · n=37
With debutants 2.7% vs 5.8% · n=37
Over 1m – 1m1f 2.8% vs 5.8% · n=36
On Soft going 8.6% vs 5.8% · n=35
Off a break of 180+ days 3% vs 5.8% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 38 2 5.3% +13.00
Soft 35 3 8.6% +12.70
Good to Soft 29 3 10.3% +4.00
Good 20 0 0% −20.00
Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00
Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 37 1 2.7% −31.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 23 2 8.7% +19.20
Saint-Cloud (FR) 20 0 0% −20.00
Longchamp (FR) 14 0 0% −14.00
Deauville (FR) 10 1 10% +22.00
Nancy (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Strasbourg (FR) 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 4 1 25% +15.00
Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Lyon Parilly (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Vittel (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00
Aix-Les-Bains (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
2nd–3rd fav 18 2 11.1% 0.77 −6.50
4th–6th fav 27 3 11.1% 0.99 +12.20
7th+ in betting 86 3 3.5% 1.06 −5.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mojo Boy (FR)from A S & D Allard 10 2 3 7 Jul 21
Tres Rock Danon (FR)from Waldemar Hickst 8 0 3 30 Oct 15
A Sunday Dream (FR) 6 1 3 13 Oct 18
Aerion (GER) 5 0 1 11 Jan 25
Hallo Wien (GB) 5 0 0 18 Nov 20
Hautot (FR)from P Sogorb 5 0 0 6 Nov 19
Sunset Sail (IRE)from Richard Hannon 5 0 1 16 Aug 18
Leoderprofi (GER) 5 0 1 17 Aug 17
Be A Wave (GB) 4 0 2 16 Sep 19
Tricky Tiger (AUT) 4 1 3 13 May 14
Sanjii Danon (GER)from Waldemar Hickst 4 0 0 17 Apr 14
Koelle (IRE) 3 0 0 1 Nov 26
All 60 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Vermeulen (2) and Gianluca Bietolini (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for U Schwinn (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
033005002210380
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Bertrand Flandrin 16 2 12.5% +8.50
Antoine Hamelin 10 1 10% +2.20
Alexandre Chesneau 9 0 0% −9.00
Mickael Barzalona 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Corentin Berge 8 0 0% −8.00
Christophe Soumillon 7 0 0% −7.00
Theo Bachelot 6 1 16.7% +10.00
Clement Lecoeuvre 6 1 16.7% +24.00
Cyrille Stefan 5 1 20% +27.00
Fabrice Veron 4 0 0% −4.00
Pierre Bazire 4 0 0% −4.00
Maxime Guyon 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
8
Archived wins
£178k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
A Sunday Dream (FR) — Prix de la Moselle (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Nov 2017
£11,248
Tricky Tiger (AUT) — Prix Cloture Du Meeting De Clairefontaine (Handicap) (Turf) Clairefontaine · Aug 2013
£10,569
Daliapur (GER) — Prix Jean-Gabriel Domergue (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Feb 2025
£9,091
Notable horses
Mojo Boy (FR) A Sunday Dream (FR) Tricky Tiger (AUT) M'glamour (FR) Daliapur (GER) Vizindi (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pedro The Great (USA) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,238 runs since 2017 (160 horses).
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Areion (GER) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,318 runs since 2008 (177 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.6% from 144.
Tertullian (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,007 runs since 2008 (113 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.8% from 251.
Big Shuffle (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (134 horses).
Kamsin (GER) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.7% of 847 runs since 2015 (110 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.9% from 186.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 138 · newest first

The latest 50 of 138 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 May 2011 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Koelle (IRE)J: Pierre Bazire Prix De LunevilleClass 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 12/1
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Daliapur (GER)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix De LunevilleClass 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 10/1
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Minuty (GER)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Saturne (asso Avenir)15f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 7/2
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Endorphin (GER)J: Mr Kevin Braye Prix Droit Divin12f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 11/2
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Vizindi (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix De ConfluenceClass 4 · 10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 7/2
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Endorphin (GER)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix Henri Dory10f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 11/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) M'glamour (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix "Eperon De Nancy"Class 3 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 14/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Koelle (IRE)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix Du Journal "Paris Turf"Class 4 · 12.5f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 22/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Marakana (FR)J: Mr Kevin Braye Prix Coupe De L'est10.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 14/1
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Vizindi (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix Du BouscatClass 4 · 10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 18/1
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Glam Light (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Yumpal10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 11/2
20 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Endorphin (GER)J: Hugo Boutin Prix Recco Expertise Comptable (Prix Du Maire Chretien Glass)10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 22/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Koelle (IRE)J: Pierre Bazire Prix De La Zorn10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 18/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Beethoven (GER)J: Pierre Bazire Prix Maxi-flash (Prix Aquarelliste)15f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 28/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) M'glamour (FR)J: Michael Cadeddu Prix Maxi-flash (Prix Aquarelliste)15f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 10/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Glam Light (FR)J: Pierre Bazire Prix Credit Mutuel (Prix Des Vosges)10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 16/1
27 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Beethoven (GER)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix De L'hippodrome De Strasbourg12f · Good · 12 ran 5th 4/1
25 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Tierna Estrellita (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Gerard Samoun12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 40/1
25 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Zamnesia (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix De Montaigu-le-blin (Prix De La Pastille)Class 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 11/8F
23 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) M'glamour (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix De ChouvignyClass 3 · 14f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gerald Geisler's strike rate?
Gerald Geisler has won 8 of 138 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gerald Geisler do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 37 runners (2.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Gerald Geisler in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Gerald Geisler's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 136 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).