What is John David Riches's strike rate?

John David Riches has won 44 of 632 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John David Riches do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 13 wins from 92 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John David Riches?

Sean Kirrane, with 80 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (12.5%).

Is John David Riches in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is John David Riches's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 629 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John David Riches

632 runners in the lifetime window · 42 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 94% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

44–632

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=632

139 (22%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=629 · 0.92 incl. margin

−13.42

£1 level stake

n=632 at SP · −2.1%

£293k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (357 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 632 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug Sean Kirrane: 12.5% from 80 Claiming riders: 8.7%

The read

The record is strongest at Catterick (14.1%, n=92), clear of the yard's 7% baseline. It is weakest at Newcastle (AW) (2.1% over 48 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=106, Fair A/E 1.03). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +126.08 to a £1 stake over 357 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Sean Kirrane rides 13% of the entries and beats the yard's average (12.5% vs 7%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (10.7%, n=187). The stable star of the record: Rain Cap (GB) — 7 wins from 77 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.8%−3.2

n=106 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −46.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.4%−3.6

n=29 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −14.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.0

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.1%+0.1

n=14 · A/E 4.95 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.4%−2.6

n=45 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −25.50

When favourite

17.4%

n=23 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −8.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.7%+1.7

n=357 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +126.08

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Catterick 14.1% vs 7% · n=92

With Ethan Tindall 14.7% vs 7% · n=34

With Paddy Mathers 0% vs 7% · n=35

With Sean Kirrane 12.5% vs 7% · n=80

Off a 8-14-day break 10.7% vs 7% · n=187

At Newcastle (AW) 2.1% vs 7% · n=48

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 32.8% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 597 41 6.9% +4.08

Hurdle 23 2 8.7% −9.50

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Chase 5 1 20% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 206 8 3.9% −89.50

Good to Firm 143 10 7% −72.25

Good 139 15 10.8% +207.83

Good to Soft 67 6 9% −30.00

Soft 61 5 8.2% −13.50

Heavy 16 0 0% −16.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 142 6 4.2% −64.50

Hamilton 95 9 9.5% +194.50

Catterick 92 13 14.1% −13.67

Newcastle (AW) 48 1 2.1% −43.00

Carlisle 48 1 2.1% −43.50

Musselburgh 43 4 9.3% +8.75

Ayr 25 2 8% −1.00

Redcar 23 0 0% −23.00

Haydock 17 1 5.9% +0.00

Thirsk 16 1 6.3% −6.00

Beverley 14 0 0% −14.00

Southwell (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Doncaster 10 0 0% −10.00

Wetherby 8 0 0% −8.00

Pontefract 6 2 33.3% +3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 418 30 7.2% −129.00

Class 5 152 9 5.9% +98.58

Class 4 42 4 9.5% +8.00

Class 7 16 1 6.3% +13.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 28 6 21.4% 0.91 −4.00

2nd–3rd fav 86 14 16.3% 1.03 −17.92

4th–6th fav 157 13 8.3% 1.15 −30.50

7th+ in betting 361 11 3% 1.21 +39.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rain Cap (GB)from Mick Channon 77 7 26 21 Sep 26

Spoken Words (GB)from Alan Berry 55 1 10 9 Jul 19

Picks Pinta (GB)from Patrick Morris 50 2 12 5 Aug 21

Trulove (GB) 49 1 2 11 Oct 21

Indian Giver (GB)from Alan Berry 41 3 12 2 Sep 17

Angel Eyes (GB) 37 0 4 20 Apr 22

Astapor (GB)from Mick Channon 35 6 12 28 May 25

Gambino (IRE)from Alan Berry 32 4 13 31 Aug 17

Blue Jay Way (GB)from Mick Channon 29 2 5 27 Oct 26

Snow Dancer (IRE)from Tony McWilliams 27 2 5 3 Nov 15

Evocative Spark (IRE)from James Owen 26 4 7 27 Oct 26

Good Karma (GB)from James Owen 22 2 10 7 Nov 26

All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Berry (10) and Mick Channon (4); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Colin Teague (3) and D J Jeffreys (2); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

34389710831053

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Kirrane

13% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.18

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Kirrane 80 10 12.5% −34.50

Paddy Mathers 35 0 0% −35.00

Ethan Tindall 34 5 14.7% +7.33

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£293k

Prize money

2014

Best season · 6 wins

Isle Road (IRE) — Bet At racinguk.com Novices' Handicap Chase Stratford · Jun 2018 · Class 4

£5,588

Gambino (IRE) — Walsh Ibs Handicap Haydock · May 2015 · Class 4

£5,499

Economic Crisis (IRE) — Max Recycle Handicap Musselburgh · Aug 2016 · Class 4

£5,175

Notable horses

Rain Cap (GB) Astapor (GB) Gambino (IRE) Evocative Spark (IRE) Indian Giver (GB) Picks Pinta (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Piccolo (GB) 2.1% · 3–140

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Fountain Of Youth (IRE) 9% · 7–78

Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,075 runs since 2019 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.9% from 201. Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.3% from 124. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.8% from 158.

Sixties Icon (GB) 12.5% · 8–64

Progeny have won 10% of 5,684 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,338.

Fruits Of Love (USA) 1.8% · 1–55

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,777 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.

Indesatchel (IRE) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 8% of 1,391 runs since 2010 (106 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.9% from 171.

Red Clubs (IRE) 11.1% · 4–36

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2011 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 632 · newest first

The latest 50 of 632 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 May 2014 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Good Karma (GB)J: Ethan Tindall All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 14/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Evocative Spark (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 20/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Blue Jay Way (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Celebrating Helen MacKinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Blue Jay Way (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 22/1

30 Sep 26 Catterick Evocative Spark (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Bet At racingtv.com Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 6th 18/1

26 Sep 26 Ripon Good Karma (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 6th 7/2J

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Rain Cap (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1

17 Sep 26 Pontefract Good Karma (GB)J: Joe Bradnam Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 4/1

14 Sep 26 Thirsk Evocative Spark (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 5th 28/1

05 Sep 26 Thirsk Good Karma (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 40/1

03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Rain Cap (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 9/1

17 Aug 26 Catterick Evocative Spark (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Racing Again 26th August Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 9/1

17 Aug 26 Catterick Good Karma (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/2

07 Aug 26 Haydock Evocative Spark (IRE)J: Sean Kirrane Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 7th 33/1

04 Aug 26 Catterick Rain Cap (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Hugh James Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 9/2

26 Jul 26 Pontefract Rain Cap (GB)J: Sean Kirrane Roy Winstanley Memorial Raising Encephalitis Awareness Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 9/4F

22 Jul 26 Catterick Good Karma (GB)J: Sean Kirrane Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 7/2

16 Jul 26 Hamilton Rain Cap (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Cubeglassladiesnight@hamiltonpark Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 2/1F

22 Jun 26 Catterick Blue Jay Way (GB)J: Mikkel Mortensen Racing Again 8th July HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 16/1

22 Jun 26 Catterick Rain Cap (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Racing Again 8th July HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John David Riches's strike rate?: John David Riches has won 44 of 632 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John David Riches do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 13 wins from 92 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John David Riches?: Sean Kirrane, with 80 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (12.5%).
Is John David Riches in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John David Riches's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 629 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.