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Trainer profile

John E Long

937 runners in the lifetime window · 71 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2024 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
50–937
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=937
192 (21%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=933 · 0.77 incl. margin
−317.25
£1 level stake
n=937 at SP · −33.9%
£251k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). New recruits from other yards win at 8% first time out (40 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 937 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Richard Thomas: 5.9% from 152 New recruits: 7.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (11.3%, n=53), clear of the yard's 5.3% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (1.2% over 82 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −174.50 to a £1 stake over 315 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Thomas rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The stable star of the record: Cativo Cavallino (GB) — 10 wins from 68 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.7%−2.6
n=185 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −130.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.5%+2.2
n=40 · A/E 1.86 · £1 +40.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.3
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.3
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.3%−1.0
n=23 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
18.8%
n=16 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.2%−2.1
n=315 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −174.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Southwell (AW) 11.3% vs 5.3% · n=53
With C&D winners 9.3% vs 5.3% · n=247
With Sam Hitchcott 1.1% vs 5.3% · n=92
With Simon Pearce 0% vs 5.3% · n=32
With Robert Havlin 10.3% vs 5.3% · n=39
At Lingfield 1.2% vs 5.3% · n=82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 898 49 5.5% −285.25
Hurdle 23 1 4.3% −16.00
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 658 38 5.8% −187.25
Good to Firm 100 3 3% −59.00
Good 74 3 4.1% −45.50
Soft 51 5 9.8% +19.50
Good to Soft 34 1 2.9% −25.00
Firm 11 0 0% −11.00
Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 305 14 4.6% −150.00
Kempton (AW) 226 12 5.3% −4.00
Lingfield 82 1 1.2% −65.00
Brighton 56 4 7.1% −6.00
Southwell (AW) 53 6 11.3% −9.75
Chelmsford (AW) 52 5 9.6% −12.50
Yarmouth 45 4 8.9% +14.00
Folkestone 23 0 0% −23.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 22 1 4.5% −11.00
Windsor 10 1 10% −1.00
Salisbury 10 0 0% −10.00
Chepstow 7 0 0% −7.00
Plumpton 7 0 0% −7.00
Huntingdon 6 0 0% −6.00
Fontwell 5 1 20% +2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 629 34 5.4% −259.00
Class 5 216 11 5.1% −63.25
Class 4 49 3 6.1% +5.00
Class 7 38 2 5.3% +5.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 3 13% 0.63 −9.50
2nd–3rd fav 85 14 16.5% 1.13 −2.25
4th–6th fav 293 17 5.8% 0.82 −124.50
7th+ in betting 536 16 3% 0.96 −181.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Chandrayaan (GB)from Ed Dunlop 73 3 14 23 Oct 18
Cativo Cavallino (GB)from Jamie Poulton 59 5 18 22 Dec 13
Trust Me Boy (GB) 55 3 12 2 May 18
Magicinthemaking (USA)from Mike Murphy 47 7 20 21 Feb 24
Multi Quest (GB)from Jo Hughes 46 2 10 31 Mar 18
Briannsta (IRE)from Bryan Smart 39 1 5 30 Jul 11
Microlight (GB)from Tim Easterby 35 2 4 8 Aug 14
Custom House (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr 31 1 5 6 Mar 14
Ice Apple (GB) 28 1 9 3 Dec 14
For Life (IRE)from Stef Higgins 26 3 6 27 Jun 13
Efisio Princess (GB) 26 4 9 21 Oct 12
Knockout Blow (GB)from Jim Boyle · then Stephanie Cassidy 25 5 8 19 Jun 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 71 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Julia Feilden (2) and Richard Hannon Snr (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Stephanie Cassidy (4) and Camilla Poulton (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
7371574451343
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRichard Thomas
16% of all rides
5.9% SR · A/E 1.00
RiderRWSR£1
Richard Thomas 152 9 5.9% −76.25
Natalia Gemelova 152 8 5.3% −42.50
Sam Hitchcott 92 1 1.1% −75.00
Jimmy Quinn 44 2 4.5% −6.00
George Rooke 43 3 7% −14.50
Kirsty Milczarek 43 3 7% +14.50
Robert Havlin 39 4 10.3% +13.00
Simon Pearce 32 0 0% −32.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
65
Archived wins
£300k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cativo Cavallino (GB) — Quantem Consulting Handicap (AWT) Lingfield (AW) · Jun 2010 · Class 4
£5,828
For Life (IRE) — Graybury Lane Handicap Lingfield (AW) · May 2009 · Class 4
£5,828
For Life (IRE) — HBLB Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Oct 2007 · Class 4
£4,728
Notable horses
Cativo Cavallino (GB) Magicinthemaking (USA) For Life (IRE) Efisio Princess (GB) Knockout Blow (GB) Chandrayaan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bertolini (USA) 5% · 8–160
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Multiplex (GB) 3.4% · 2–58
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2008 (291 horses).
Avonbridge (GB) 5.5% · 3–55
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.
Wildcat Heir (USA) 14.9% · 7–47
Progeny have won 11.9% of 59 runs since 2008 (2 horses).
Bluebird (USA) 2.6% · 1–39
Progeny have won 7.3% of 260 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Sleeping Indian (GB) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,714 runs since 2008 (238 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.9% from 108.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,058 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,058 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 4 September 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Sep 24 Lingfield (AW) So Chic (IRE)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Tips For Every Race At Raceday-Ready.Com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 18/1
02 Sep 24 Brighton Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: Liam Wright Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 40/1
30 Aug 24 Sandown Kitty Bennet (GB)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Amazing Sri Lanka HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 80/1
20 Aug 24 Brighton Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: Liam Wright Download The Vickers.Bet App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 40/1
13 Aug 24 Lingfield Laurentia (IRE)J: George Rooke Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 28/1
07 Aug 24 Brighton Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: Liam Wright Star Sports Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 25/1
05 Aug 24 Lingfield (AW) So Chic (IRE)J: George Rooke Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (AWT) (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 16/1
27 Jul 24 Lingfield Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: Tyler Heard Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 10th 22/1
09 Jul 24 Lingfield (AW) Laurentia (IRE)J: George Rooke Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 4/1J
22 Jun 24 Lingfield Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: George Rooke Starkings Scaffolding Ltd Classified StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 10/1
08 Jun 24 Lingfield Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: Trevor Whelan Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 9th 22/1
04 Jun 24 Lingfield (AW) Laurentia (IRE)J: George Rooke Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 17/2
21 May 24 Brighton Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: George Rooke Download The Yeeehaaa.Bet App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 8th 4/1J
02 May 24 Lingfield (AW) Laurentia (IRE)J: George Rooke Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 15/2
30 Apr 24 Brighton Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: George Rooke 15th Century Old Ship Hotel Brighton HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 16/5
25 Apr 24 Chelmsford City (AW) So Chic (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Blue Tiger Marketing HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 15/2
20 Apr 24 Brighton Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: George Rooke Each Way Extra At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 11/1
13 Apr 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: George Rooke 6 Horses Challenge At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 100/1
22 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) So Chic (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 5/1
22 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: George Rooke Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John E Long's strike rate?
John E Long has won 50 of 937 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John E Long do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 53 runners (11.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John E Long?
Richard Thomas, with 152 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.9%).
What is John E Long's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 933 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).