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Trainer profile

John Patrick Ryan

3,646 runners in the lifetime window · 233 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 9.0% of 409 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 25 Oct 2026.
Runners today 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
244–3,646
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=3,646
793 (22%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=3,643 · 0.77 incl. margin
−1,463.20
£1 level stake
n=3,646 at SP · −40.1%
£4.46m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,646 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 33.1% when favourite Danny Mullins: 9.9% from 534 Sends off the favourite in 3% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Gowran Park (13%, n=77), clear of the yard's 6.7% baseline. It is weakest at Naas (0% over 67 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.6% (n=192, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.56 and −248.25 to a £1 stake over 389 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 6.7pts below the 6.7% baseline). Danny Mullins rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.9% vs 6.7%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (10.9%, n=441). 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2012, £49,600). The stable star of the record: Kylecrue (IRE) — 12 wins from 81 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%−2.2
n=464 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −171.17
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−1.4
n=38 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +22.00
Debutants · first career start
2.6%−4.1
n=192 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −79.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.2%−3.5
n=93 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −40.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.9%−0.8
n=68 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −31.00
When favourite
33.1%
n=121 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +2.38
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%−1.1
n=2,017 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −891.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
2.8%−3.9
n=389 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −248.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Naas 0% vs 6.7% · n=67
On last-time-out winners 11.7% vs 6.7% · n=240
At Gowran Park 13% vs 6.7% · n=77
With B J Cooper 13.1% vs 6.7% · n=61
Off a 0-7-day break 10.9% vs 6.7% · n=441
At Bellewstown 0% vs 6.7% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 1,988 139 7% −730.91
Chase 1,337 91 6.8% −556.29
NH Flat 222 12 5.4% −94.25
Flat 99 2 2% −81.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 1,271 61 4.8% −704.33
Good 1,200 92 7.7% −371.29
Heavy 572 45 7.9% −161.77
Good to Soft 518 42 8.1% −170.56
Good to Firm 74 4 5.4% −44.25
Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 349 36 10.3% −56.75
Kilbeggan 348 27 7.8% −81.28
Sligo 283 31 11% −80.15
Limerick 275 20 7.3% −124.37
Clonmel 265 23 8.7% +36.99
Thurles 205 6 2.9% −167.25
Listowel 178 16 9% −42.34
Tramore 163 15 9.2% −84.87
Cork 161 8 5% −78.00
Killarney 157 10 6.4% −71.17
Fairyhouse 153 4 2.6% −107.75
Galway 139 5 3.6% −72.38
Punchestown 138 4 2.9% −98.00
Downpatrick 123 5 4.1% −98.96
Roscommon 106 6 5.7% −46.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 391 11 2.8% −250.25
Class 5 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Class 4 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 1 50% +13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 161 50 31.1% 1.27 +0.76
2nd–3rd fav 550 86 15.6% 1.06 −96.46
4th–6th fav 1,256 69 5.5% 0.80 −489.50
7th+ in betting 1,679 39 2.3% 0.73 −878.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.2% completed · 3,325 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1,337 80.6% 93 28 130 5 4
Hurdle 1,988 90% 45 13 128 7 6
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Little Yank (IRE) 111 8 31 30 Sep 26
Draycott Place (IRE) 100 9 24 23 Aug 19
Presenting Mahler (IRE) 99 8 26 25 Sep 20
Father Jed (IRE) 95 9 22 25 Aug 25
Kilashee (IRE) 82 8 20 4 Oct 26
Cluan Dara (IRE) 81 5 17 9 Jun 23
Kylecrue (IRE) 81 12 29 17 Mar 19
Bitview Colin (IRE) 73 6 18 15 Jul 22
Grange Walk (IRE)from Pat Phelan 65 6 22 22 Oct 26
Kilcarry Bridge (IRE) 59 8 20 14 Oct 18
Cnoc Na Sioga (IRE) 57 4 11 9 Nov 17
The Dara Man (IRE) 55 4 13 21 Aug 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 233 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
0 from 16 0% · −6.7pts vs baseline
Last 14 days0%
Lifetime base6.7%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
3457911879453
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDanny Mullins
15% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 1.13
RiderRWSR£1
Danny Mullins 534 53 9.9% −84.78
Liam Quinlan 293 23 7.8% −130.49
Daniel King 250 17 6.8% −109.43
Philip Donovan 181 6 3.3% −90.50
Tommy Brett 175 8 4.6% −75.50
Shane Fitzgerald 134 13 9.7% −15.62
Donagh Meyler 106 7 6.6% −38.00
Sean O'Keeffe 104 10 9.6% +24.00
Ryan Treacy 92 7 7.6% −44.50
Michael Kenneally 90 9 10% −13.38
Miss G Ryan 80 4 5% −20.25
Robbie Colgan 65 5 7.7% −20.87
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
244
Archived wins
11
Pattern / graded wins
£4.47m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 37 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Foildubh (IRE) — Guinness Handicap Chase (Grade A) Punchestown · Apr 2012 · Grade A
£49,600
Kilcarry Bridge (IRE) — Msl Cork Mercedes-benz Handicap Chase (grade B) Killarney · Aug 2017 · Grade B
£29,500
Donacheady Gale (IRE) — Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase Listowel · Sep 2024
£29,500
Notable horses
Kylecrue (IRE) Draycott Place (IRE) Father Jed (IRE) The Little Yank (IRE) Presenting Mahler (IRE) Kilashee (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Oscar (IRE) 7.7% · 19–248
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Scorpion (IRE) 4.3% · 8–187
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,313 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 141.
Yeats (IRE) 4.9% · 9–183
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,817 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.
Westerner (GB) 7.3% · 13–179
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,830 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Mahler (GB) 8.2% · 14–171
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,847 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Arcadio (GER) 12% · 15–125
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,977 runs since 2008 (375 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,672 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,672 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Mount Frisco (IRE)J: Daniel King Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Steeplechase18f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 10th 33/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Piccolo Player (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Steeplechase18f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 8th 14/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Andyourbirdcansing (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 7/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Kate Knows Best (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 12/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Crystabel (IRE)J: Daniel King Abbey Haven Care Centre & Nursing Home Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 5th 16/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Zolpharine (IRE)J: Daniel King Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran PU 22/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Finnicky Filly (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 7th 20/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Grange Walk (IRE)J: Daniel King William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 8/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Ad Caelum (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Suir Blueway Mares Steeplechase18.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 8/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Blue Johnl (IRE)J: J J Slevin Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 6th 16/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Ballyredinkingston (IRE)J: Mr S Cotter Kilclooney Woods (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran F 15/2
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Minella Maverick (IRE)J: Daniel King Crottys Lake Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 7th 125/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Run For The Border (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 7th 10/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Pets Georgina (IRE)J: Daniel King Master Chefs Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 5th 20/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Akako (IRE)J: John Aherne #Thisisracing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 40/1
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Smallcraftwarning (IRE)J: Daniel King Matchbook Betting Exchange Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 23f · Good · 4 ran F 40/1
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Drumgill (IRE)J: Daniel King Co-Op Superstores Handicap Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 12/1
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Piccolo Player (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Co-Op Superstores Handicap Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/2
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Finnicky Filly (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 33/1
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Crystabel (IRE)J: Daniel King Powerscreen New England Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Patrick Ryan's strike rate?
John Patrick Ryan has won 244 of 3,646 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Patrick Ryan do best at?
Sligo by strike rate: 31 wins from 283 runners (11%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Patrick Ryan?
Danny Mullins, with 534 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 53 (9.9%).
Is John Patrick Ryan in form?
In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 6.7% since 2008.
What is John Patrick Ryan's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 3,643 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).