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Trainer profile

Louise G Lyons

191 runners in the lifetime window · 24 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2025 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–191
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=191
35 (18%)
Placed
1.00
Fair A/E
n=191 · 0.82 incl. margin
−40.75
£1 level stake
n=191 at SP · −21.3%
£188k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 191 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Chase races (11.5%, n=52) and on Soft going (9.8%, n=61). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.75 across 112 runners (4.5% strike, −19.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Espion Du Chenet (FR) — 6 wins from 46 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%−0.7
n=36 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
7.1%+0.8
n=14 · A/E 2.76 · £1 +15.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.7%+1.4
n=13 · A/E 1.65 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
22.2%+15.9
n=9 · A/E 4.50 · £1 +8.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.3%−1.0
n=94 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −1.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Ryan Treacy 13.2% vs 6.3% · n=38
In Chase races 11.5% vs 6.3% · n=52
On Soft going 9.8% vs 6.3% · n=61
Over 1m5f – 2m 9.6% vs 6.3% · n=52
With a new jockey booking 3.4% vs 6.3% · n=87
In Hurdle races 4.5% vs 6.3% · n=112 · A/E 0.75
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 112 5 4.5% −19.50
Chase 52 6 11.5% +2.50
Flat 15 0 0% −15.00
NH Flat 12 1 8.3% −8.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 61 6 9.8% +5.25
Good 47 2 4.3% −15.00
Heavy 47 2 4.3% −30.00
Good to Soft 32 2 6.3% +3.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 18 1 5.6% −7.00
Killarney 15 4 26.7% +26.25
Gowran Park 13 2 15.4% +50.00
Clonmel 13 0 0% −13.00
Thurles 12 2 16.7% +8.50
Limerick 11 0 0% −11.00
Cork 11 0 0% −11.00
Wexford 9 0 0% −9.00
Tramore 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 7 1 14.3% −4.50
Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 6 1 16.7% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 2 16.7% 0.74 −3.50
2nd–3rd fav 27 1 3.7% 0.26 −23.75
4th–6th fav 51 6 11.8% 1.78 +3.50
7th+ in betting 101 3 3% 1.40 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.6% completed · 164 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 52 88.5% 1 2 3 0 0
Hurdle 112 85.7% 3 2 11 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Espion Du Chenet (FR)from Garrett James Power 46 6 13 22 Feb 24
Kells Priory (IRE)then Olly Murphy 26 2 8 9 Oct 25
Lady Rita (IRE) 18 2 6 22 Sep 24
Man After Midnight (IRE) 14 0 1 12 Sep 23
Sky Tempest (IRE) 10 0 0 25 Jul 24
En Avant (FR)from S Curling · then Olly Murphy 9 0 1 10 Jun 23
Raby Mere (FR)then Olly Murphy 8 0 1 27 Feb 25
Willaston (IRE)then Mark Walford 8 1 3 21 Jul 22
Scalino (IRE)from Patrick J Flynn 7 0 0 1 Jan 23
Taudeni (IRE) 6 0 0 21 Aug 25
Dakota Chief (IRE)from Andrew Slattery 5 0 0 20 Aug 24
Pennywell Girl (IRE)from S Curling 5 0 0 4 Mar 23
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S Curling (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Olly Murphy (3); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
512801209801008
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRyan Treacy
20% of all rides
13.2% SR · A/E 1.94
RiderRWSR£1
Ryan Treacy 38 5 13.2% +5.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
12
Archived wins
£188k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 5 wins
Espion Du Chenet (FR) — Ladbrokes We Play Together Handicap Chase Punchestown · May 2022
£13,570
Lady Rita (IRE) — Lee Strand Handicap Hurdle Killarney · Jul 2023
£12,980
Espion Du Chenet (FR) — Thurles Racecourse Handicap Chase Thurles · Feb 2022
£12,390
Notable horses
Espion Du Chenet (FR) Kells Priory (IRE) Lady Rita (IRE) Willaston (IRE) Judicial Law (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sunday Break (JPN) 13% · 6–46
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,123 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 220. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.6% from 231.
Valirann (FR) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,451 runs since 2018 (159 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 345.
Westerner (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,858 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Sholokhov (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,273 runs since 2008 (422 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Cloudings (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,887 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Ask (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,218 runs since 2014 (283 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 191 · newest first

The latest 50 of 191 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 October 2020 to 9 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 25 Tramore Kells Priory (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Waterford Greenway Beginners Chase20.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 7th 18/1
21 Aug 25 Killarney Taudeni (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Thorn Plant Hire 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 10 ran PU 100/1
05 Jul 25 Naas Taudeni (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton GMC Group Supporting Naas GAA Senior Football Race Day Apprentice Handicap (0-60)6f · Good · 15 ran 14th 22/1
06 Jun 25 Clonmel Kells Priory (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan Clonmel Show Sunday July 6th Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 12/1
30 May 25 Down Royal Taudeni (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan BoyleSports Money Back If 2nd To SP Fav Handicap5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 17/2
25 Apr 25 Limerick Taudeni (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 50/1
21 Apr 25 Plumpton Kells Priory (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan Cappagh Browne Utilities Ltd Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1
20 Apr 25 Plumpton Kells Priory (IRE)J: James Davies Phoenix Cycles Remember Ray Prior Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 33/1
29 Mar 25 Curragh Taudeni (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Follow ToteRacing On X Maiden7f · Soft · 17 ran 9th 33/1
27 Feb 25 Taunton Raby Mere (FR)J: Ryan Treacy Royal Bath & West Show Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 22/1
23 Jan 25 Gowran Park Kells Priory (IRE)J: Richard Condon Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran PU 10/1
23 Jan 25 Gowran Park Raby Mere (FR)J: Ryan Treacy Langtons Kilkenny Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 5th 50/1
05 Jan 25 Naas Raby Mere (FR)J: Ryan Treacy I.N.H. Stallion Owners Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 21 ran 12th 300/1
13 Dec 24 Cork Raby Mere (FR)J: Ryan Treacy I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 18 ran 13th 100/1
30 Nov 24 Fairyhouse Kells Priory (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Roganstown Hotel & Country Club 20th Anniversary Handicap Hurdle (80-130)20f · Yielding · 24 ran 14th 33/1
28 Nov 24 Thurles Raby Mere (FR)J: Ryan Treacy Killinan Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 40/1
20 Oct 24 Limerick Kells Priory (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Crown Paints Handicap Hurdle (80-109)19.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 8/1
09 Oct 24 Navan Taudeni (IRE)J: W J Lee Arkle Bar Median Auction Maiden6f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 8th 40/1
22 Sep 24 Listowel Lady Rita (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Cheesestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle20f · Good · 6 ran 5th 22/1
24 Aug 24 Killarney Kells Priory (IRE)J: John Shinnick Bunkers Bar & Restaurant Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 9th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Louise G Lyons's strike rate?
Louise G Lyons has won 12 of 191 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Louise G Lyons's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 191 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).