What is Markus Geisler's strike rate?

Markus Geisler has won 17 of 179 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Markus Geisler do best at?

Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 82 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Markus Geisler?

Clement Lecoeuvre, with 55 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.3%).

Is Markus Geisler in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Markus Geisler's Fair A/E?

1.18, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Markus Geisler

179 runners in the lifetime window · 51 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 13 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

17–179

Wins / Runs

9.5%

Strike rate

n=179

54 (30%)

Placed

1.18

Fair A/E

n=177 · 0.98 incl. margin

−48.50

£1 level stake

n=177 at SP · −27.4%

£293k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 179 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Clement Lecoeuvre: 7.3% from 55 Claiming riders: 12.5%

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.66), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 6.3% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.69). Clement Lecoeuvre rides 31% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (7.3% vs 9.5%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (17.9%, n=39) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (15.9%, n=63). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 4.1% over 49 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.69 across 56 runners (5.4% strike, −20.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Vadirum (GB) — 5 wins from 11 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.4%−1.1

n=83 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −23.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.3%−3.2

n=32 · A/E 0.69 · £1 +0.20

Debutants · first career start

0%−9.5

n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%−2.8

n=15 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −9.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−9.5

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

20%

n=10 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −1.30

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+3.0

n=32 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −8.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 15-30-day break 17.9% vs 9.5% · n=39

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 15.9% vs 9.5% · n=63

With C&D winners 16.3% vs 9.5% · n=43

With Augustin Madamet 15.4% vs 9.5% · n=39

Over 6f – 7f 4.1% vs 9.5% · n=49

Off a 61-180-day break 5.4% vs 9.5% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 139 15 10.8% −24.00

Soft 19 2 10.5% −3.50

Good to Soft 14 0 0% −14.00

Good 4 0 0% −4.00

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 82 10 12.2% −28.10

Chantilly (AW) 57 4 7% −2.40

Saint-Cloud 19 2 10.5% −3.50

Longchamp (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 5 1 20% +1.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Marseille Borely (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Salon-de-Provence (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Moulins (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 8 1 12.5% −1.50

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 12 4 33.3% 1.65 +4.50

2nd–3rd fav 33 8 24.2% 1.81 +13.50

4th–6th fav 52 3 5.8% 0.66 −29.20

7th+ in betting 80 2 2.5% 0.65 −37.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hadewin (FR) 20 0 9 2 Dec 25

Vadirum (GB)from F Head 11 5 6 11 Jun 26

L'Ienissei (FR)from I Endaltsev · then S Gouvaze 11 1 3 16 May 25

Hollywood Africans (FR)from Mme L Pontoir 9 1 3 2 Oct 26

Matt Machine (IRE)from Vaclav Luka Jr 9 1 1 29 Sep 26

Bin Zarak (FR)from M Alonso Roldan 8 2 4 20 Aug 26

Lor Blanc (FR)from F Vermeulen 8 0 2 1 Nov 25

Magnentius (FR)from Rod Collet 7 2 3 12 Aug 23

Galagos (FR)from M Delzangles 6 1 3 20 Aug 26

Exact (FR) 5 0 2 19 May 26

Royal Saxo (FR)from J-C Rouget · then A J Martin 5 1 5 12 Aug 25

Magic Vati (FR)from S Wattel · then B Legros 5 0 0 16 May 25

All 51 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 51 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Guyader (2) and Francois Monfort (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1336870014401886

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderClement Lecoeuvre

31% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

Clement Lecoeuvre 55 4 7.3% −1.30

Augustin Madamet 39 6 15.4% −4.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

£293k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 5 wins

Bin Zarak (FR) — Prix du Chemin du Bac (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2026

£12,522

Vadirum (GB) — Prix des Docks Vauban (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Feb 2023

£12,389

Vazir (FR) — Prix du Salon Violet (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2024

£11,739

Notable horses

Vadirum (GB) Bin Zarak (FR) Magnentius (FR) L'Ienissei (FR) Hollywood Africans (FR) Matt Machine (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Hunter's Light (IRE) 0% · 0–24

Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,342 runs since 2019 (153 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.3% from 168. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 165. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.2% from 211. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 133.

Dariyan (FR) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,127 runs since 2020 (140 horses).

Zelzal (FR) 45.5% · 5–11

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,719 runs since 2021 (240 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.1% from 106.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,214 runs since 2014 (1,108 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Martinborough (JPN) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 12.1% of 663 runs since 2020 (79 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.7% from 162.

Outstrip (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,287 runs since 2019 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 634. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 264.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 179 · newest first

The latest 50 of 179 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 November 2020 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Shaarwin (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Du Haras De Poujux9f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Well Done (GER)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Bessin12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 20/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Mountain Blues (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Du Bessin12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 4/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Jamal (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De Vaulx-en-velinClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 11/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Lio De La Plata (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix De Vaulx-en-velinClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/2

02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Hollywood Africans (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix De VilleurbanneClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 10/1

02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Rigolettos (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix De VilleurbanneClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 5/2F

29 Sep 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Matt Machine (IRE)J: Hugo Boutin Prix Henri CabassuClass 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 6/1

07 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Rigolettos (FR)J: Mme Marie Velon Prix De ClairefontaineClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 16/1

04 Sep 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Matt Machine (IRE)J: Mme Marie Velon Prix De La Baie De BourgneufClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 18/1

22 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Hollywood Africans (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Bourg Saint-leonardClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 9/1

20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Bin Zarak (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Cheval De Loisir (Prix Du Havre)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 16/1

20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Galagos (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Cheval De Horse Ball (Prix Du Chateau De Fontaine Henri)Class 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

14 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Foot To The Floor (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Genybet (Prix Des Tournesols)7f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 14/1

21 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Galagos (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Sellerie Equiracing (Prix Edmond Maupoil)Class 4 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 18/1

05 Jul 26 Saint-Cloud Galagos (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Des Coteaux De Saint-cloud - World Pool By Pmu Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 6th 20/1

19 Jun 26 Chantilly (AW) Rigolettos (FR)J: Mme Marie Velon De La Butte Ronde Stakes - AWT9.5f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 8th 7/1

11 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Vadirum (GB)J: Augustin Madamet Prix du Chateau de Vanves (Claimer) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 42/10

11 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Hollywood Africans (FR)J: Mme Marie Velon Prix du Chateau de Vanves (Claimer) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 69/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Markus Geisler's strike rate?: Markus Geisler has won 17 of 179 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Markus Geisler do best at?: Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 82 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Markus Geisler?: Clement Lecoeuvre, with 55 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.3%).
Is Markus Geisler in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Markus Geisler's Fair A/E?: 1.18, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.