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Trainer profile

Martin Paul Fitzgerald

224 runners in the lifetime window · 38 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 44 days ago 92% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
15–224
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=224
33 (15%)
Placed
1.53
n=224 · 1.20 incl. margin
−46.12
£1 level stake
n=224 at SP · −20.6%
£133k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.53).

Deterministic profile computed from 224 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well on Heavy going (14%, n=57) and over 1m5f – 2m (9.8%, n=82). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.4% over 83 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.4%−0.3
n=78 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
3.6%−3.1
n=28 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.7%+2.0
n=23 · A/E 2.96 · £1 +0.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 2.20 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.1%−1.6
n=176 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −50.62
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 14% vs 6.7% · n=57
With horses switching code 0% vs 6.7% · n=41
On Soft going 2.4% vs 6.7% · n=83
Off a 31-60-day break 2.6% vs 6.7% · n=38
Over 1m5f – 2m 9.8% vs 6.7% · n=82
On Good going 9.3% vs 6.7% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 98 7 7.1% −27.12
NH Flat 67 5 7.5% +22.00
Chase 41 3 7.3% −23.00
Flat 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 83 2 2.4% −64.00
Heavy 57 8 14% +25.88
Good 43 4 9.3% +27.00
Good to Soft 28 1 3.6% −22.00
Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 31 2 6.5% +16.00
Tramore 21 3 14.3% +9.50
Limerick 19 1 5.3% −14.00
Thurles 16 0 0% −16.00
Fairyhouse 16 2 12.5% −0.12
Punchestown 14 1 7.1% −2.00
Wexford 13 2 15.4% +16.00
Gowran Park 11 2 18.2% +1.50
Killarney 11 0 0% −11.00
Kilbeggan 10 0 0% −10.00
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Downpatrick 8 0 0% −8.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00
Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00
Ballinrobe 7 1 14.3% +8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 2 50% 2.75 +3.38
2nd–3rd fav 22 5 22.7% 1.78 +9.00
4th–6th fav 42 6 14.3% 2.60 +33.50
7th+ in betting 156 2 1.3% 0.51 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.8% completed · 139 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 41 61% 4 3 8 1 0
Hurdle 98 80.6% 3 3 13 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lady Mccabe (IRE) 27 3 5 29 Nov 22
Carrig Cottage (IRE) 21 1 4 1 Nov 12
Our Uncle Jack (IRE) 16 3 4 1 May 26
Lastofthepilots (IRE) 16 2 4 20 Jul 14
Carrig Wells (IRE) 15 1 4 11 May 26
The Bog Road Girl (IRE) 12 0 2 23 Mar 14
Ordered Lives (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 11 0 1 2 Oct 26
Glorytogod Tom (IRE) 10 1 1 31 May 25
Ill Raise A Glass (IRE) 9 2 2 2 May 26
Carrig Padraig (IRE)then Gavin Cromwell 7 1 1 11 Oct 25
Denver City (IRE) 6 0 0 20 May 22
Assam (GB)from D K Weld 6 0 2 19 Jul 21
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1177140000713614
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
18% of all rides
4.9% SR · A/E 1.23
RiderRWSR£1
Mr D M Fitzgerald 41 2 4.9% −12.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
16
Archived wins
£153k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jennys Oscar (IRE) — McCarthy Insurance Group Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) Cork · Jan 2007
£8,292
Our Uncle Jack (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Fairyhouse · Feb 2026
£7,375
Lady Mccabe (IRE) — Xenon Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Gowran Park · Mar 2020
£7,375

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shirocco (GER) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,213 runs since 2010 (928 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Yeats (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,863 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 821.
Presenting (GB) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 11% of 20,054 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Bach (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Mores Wells (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 13.1% of 222 runs since 2019 (18 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.6% from 102.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 261 · newest first

The latest 50 of 261 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 2 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Mar 26 Thurles Bobs House (IRE)J: Mr E J Sheehan Ryans Cleaning Flat Race16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 8th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Martin Paul Fitzgerald's strike rate?
Martin Paul Fitzgerald has won 15 of 224 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Martin Paul Fitzgerald do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Martin Paul Fitzgerald's Fair A/E?
1.53, from 224 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).