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Trainer profile

Michael J Bowe

459 runners in the lifetime window · 28 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2025 94% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
38–459
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=459
130 (28%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=459 · 0.78 incl. margin
−113.22
£1 level stake
n=459 at SP · −24.7%
£693k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 459 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Brian Hayes: 11.8% from 144
The read

The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (15.1%, n=53), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. It is weakest at Cork (3.1% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Brian Hayes rides 31% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.8% vs 8.3%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 2.4% over 42 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.43 across 120 runners (3.3% strike, −79.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the woodiesdiy.com Christmas Hurdle at Leopardstown (Dec 2007, £32,550). The stable star of the record: Coolcashin (IRE) — 7 wins from 32 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.2%−0.1
n=73 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.3
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
21.4%
n=28 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −11.72
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.6%−0.7
n=249 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −83.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7%−1.3
n=57 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 15.9% vs 8.3% · n=44
At Kilbeggan 15.1% vs 8.3% · n=53
Over 1m5f – 2m 3.3% vs 8.3% · n=120
In NH Flat races 2.4% vs 8.3% · n=42
At Punchestown 3.5% vs 8.3% · n=57
At Cork 3.1% vs 8.3% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 319 27 8.5% −68.13
Chase 70 8 11.4% −7.59
NH Flat 42 1 2.4% −38.50
Flat 28 2 7.1% +1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 188 13 6.9% −53.50
Good 110 11 10% +11.25
Heavy 100 10 10% −36.97
Good to Soft 45 2 4.4% −31.00
Good to Firm 14 2 14.3% −1.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 57 2 3.5% −31.00
Kilbeggan 53 8 15.1% +0.50
Fairyhouse 50 4 8% +3.00
Limerick 46 4 8.7% −25.00
Cork 32 1 3.1% −21.00
Navan 31 1 3.2% −25.50
Tramore 29 6 20.7% +48.00
Naas 25 1 4% −4.00
Gowran Park 22 1 4.5% −7.00
Thurles 20 2 10% −13.09
Wexford 17 3 17.6% −0.25
Tipperary 15 4 26.7% +12.12
Leopardstown 12 0 0% −12.00
Galway 8 0 0% −8.00
Bellewstown 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 58 4 6.9% +19.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 32 7 21.9% 0.88 −10.22
2nd–3rd fav 104 13 12.5% 0.92 −18.50
4th–6th fav 196 14 7.1% 1.06 −45.50
7th+ in betting 127 4 3.1% 1.04 −39.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
92.3% completed · 389 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 70 87.1% 1 0 8 0 0
Hurdle 319 93.4% 3 3 14 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jaime Sommers (IRE) 68 4 19 22 Oct 20
Akatara (IRE)from John M Oxx 49 3 18 6 Jul 14
High Nellie (IRE) 44 4 14 2 Dec 18
Halsafari (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 43 3 15 11 Jun 23
Sweet Sting (IRE) 31 4 9 8 Jul 22
Coolcashin (IRE)from James Bowe 27 6 11 5 Nov 11
Rock Road (IRE)then W P Mullins 24 1 3 28 Sep 19
Maggie Walsh (IRE)from Philip Fenton 22 2 5 19 Oct 24
Aunt Alice (IRE) 16 1 7 31 Aug 17
Earth Magic (IRE)from James Bowe · then Evan Williams 16 1 2 31 Dec 09
Lucy Stone (IRE) 13 2 5 16 Oct 11
Linden Arden (IRE)then Philip Fenton 11 1 3 13 Sep 24
All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 28 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Bowe (3); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for David Harry Kelly (3) and Andrew Slattery (2); 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
11331081678108611
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBrian Hayes
31% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.38
RiderRWSR£1
Brian Hayes 144 17 11.8% −2.88
Tom Doyle 71 6 8.5% −11.59
Cathal Landers 62 6 9.7% −27.25
Cian Quirke 37 3 8.1% −8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
44
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£856k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 6 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sweet Kiln (IRE) — woodiesdiy.com Christmas Hurdle (Grade 2) Leopardstown · Dec 2007 · Grade 2
£32,550
Sweet Kiln (IRE) — Philips Electronics Lismullen Hurdle Navan (IRE) · Nov 2007 · Grade 2
£32,550
Coolcashin (IRE) — paddypower.com Johnstown Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) Naas · Feb 2008 · Grade 2
£32,550
Notable horses
Coolcashin (IRE) Jaime Sommers (IRE) High Nellie (IRE) Sweet Sting (IRE) Akatara (IRE) Halsafari (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 5.3% · 4–75
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,869 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Taipan (IRE) 12.1% · 7–58
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,212 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 159. Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 6% from 133.
Desert Style (IRE) 6.1% · 3–49
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,544 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 339. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 232.
High Chaparral (IRE) 9.1% · 4–44
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Doyen (IRE) 7% · 3–43
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,374 runs since 2009 (605 horses).
Scorpion (IRE) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,322 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 486 · newest first

The latest 50 of 486 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2007 to 22 February 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Feb 25 Fairyhouse Glen Kiln (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Tote.ie Tommy Carberry Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft · 16 ran PU 4/1F
01 Feb 25 Leopardstown Glen Kiln (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Race And Stay At Leopardstown Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Listed)24f · Soft · 25 ran 8th 10/1
15 Dec 24 Navan Glen Kiln (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Handicap Hurdle (81-123)20f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 1st 9/2
09 Nov 24 Gowran Park Glen Kiln (IRE)J: Brian Hayes GAIN Equine Nutrition Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 11 ran 6th 7/1
19 Oct 24 Limerick Maggie Walsh (IRE)J: Niall Prendergast Race Displays Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)21f · Good · 18 ran 5th 16/1
10 Oct 24 Tramore Maggie Walsh (IRE)J: Niall Prendergast Ardmore Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 11/1
04 Oct 24 Gowran Park Maggie Walsh (IRE)J: Niall Prendergast Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle16f · Good · 5 ran 5th 80/1
13 Sep 24 Ballinrobe Linden Arden (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle (80-116)22f · Good · 16 ran 12th 5/1F
26 Aug 24 Ballinrobe Linden Arden (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Corrib Oil Beginners Chase23.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 11/1
26 Aug 24 Ballinrobe Kiln Time (IRE)J: Brian Hayes On-Course Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22.5f · Soft · 15 ran PU 7/1
08 Aug 24 Sligo Linden Arden (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Kilcawley Construction Rated Novice Hurdle18f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 11/8F
01 Jun 24 Tramore Wolfhill (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Maiden Hurdle22f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 8/1
27 May 24 Ballinrobe Linden Arden (IRE)J: Brian Hayes McHale Mayo Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 25/1
21 May 24 Punchestown Wolfhill (IRE)J: Cian Quirke Punchestown Home Of Irish Jumps Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 7th 200/1
13 May 24 Killarney Linden Arden (IRE)J: Cian Quirke Shire Novice Hurdle20f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 12/1
13 May 24 Killarney Wolfhill (IRE)J: Niall Prendergast Diarmuid Cronin Electrical Ltd. Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 100/1
23 Apr 24 Tipperary Linden Arden (IRE)J: Cian Quirke Follow Us On Social Media Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-123)16f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 8/1
16 Apr 24 Naas Wolfhill (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Colm White Bookmakers Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Soft · 18 ran 16th 100/1
01 Jan 24 Tramore Kiln Time (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Tramore Medical Clinic Handicap Hurdle (80-102)21.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 3/1
16 Dec 23 Fairyhouse Kiln Time (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Tote Always SP Or Better At Fairyhouse Handicap Hurdle23f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 10/3F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael J Bowe's strike rate?
Michael J Bowe has won 38 of 459 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael J Bowe do best at?
Kilbeggan by strike rate: 8 wins from 53 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael J Bowe?
Brian Hayes, with 144 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (11.8%).
What is Michael J Bowe's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 459 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).