What is N Caullery's strike rate?

N Caullery has won 262 of 3,785 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does N Caullery do best at?

Clairefontaine by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 runners (14.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for N Caullery?

S Pasquier, with 269 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (9.3%).

Is N Caullery in form?

In the last 14 days: 23 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 13%. That is above the baseline of 6.9% since 2008.

What is N Caullery's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 3,766 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

N Caullery

3,785 runners in the lifetime window · 454 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.9% of 377 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 8 Nov 2026.

In form — 3 winners last 14 days Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

262–3,785

Wins / Runs

6.9%

Strike rate

n=3,785

873 (23%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=3,766 · 0.77 incl. margin

−1,330.19

£1 level stake

n=3,777 at SP · −35.2%

£6.58m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). The yard is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,785 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.3% 28.3% when favourite S Pasquier: 9.3% from 269 New recruits: 7.7% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Clairefontaine (14.7%, n=34), clear of the yard's 6.9% baseline. The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −119.22 to a £1 stake over 148 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 3 winners from 23 runners in the last 14 days (13%, 6.1pts above the 6.9% baseline). S Pasquier rides 7% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.3% vs 6.9%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 3 (14%, n=57). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 36 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Arc Prix Maurice de Gheest at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2023, £192,152). The stable star of the record: Fort Payne (FR) — 10 wins from 31 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.3%+0.4

n=751 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −173.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%+0.8

n=287 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −87.90

Debutants · first career start

4.1%−2.8

n=172 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −90.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.1%−2.8

n=148 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −119.22

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.8%+0.9

n=116 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −47.50

When favourite

28.3%

n=276 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +12.01

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.4%−0.5

n=840 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −346.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.1%−1.8

n=177 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −119.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C. Soumillon 15.3% vs 6.9% · n=124

With M Guyon 13.1% vs 6.9% · n=251

In Class 3 14% vs 6.9% · n=57

At Clairefontaine 14.7% vs 6.9% · n=34

With Cesar Passerat 0% vs 6.9% · n=47

In Hurdle races 0% vs 6.9% · n=36

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 26.5% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,730 261 7% −1,284.59

Hurdle 36 0 0% −36.00

Chase 19 1 5.3% −9.60

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,903 133 7% −578.00

Soft 663 37 5.6% −394.10

Good to Soft 535 49 9.2% −75.49

Good 433 23 5.3% −231.20

Heavy 243 19 7.8% −49.40

Good to Firm 8 1 12.5% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 1,268 89 7% −526.22

Chantilly 1,172 74 6.3% −300.50

Saint-Cloud (FR) 498 33 6.6% −156.10

Longchamp (FR) 387 28 7.2% −161.85

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 199 12 6% −106.10

Compiegne 45 6 13.3% +4.21

Clairefontaine 34 5 14.7% +12.90

Dieppe (FR) 31 4 12.9% −10.70

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 26 0 0% −26.00

Enghien (FR) 22 1 4.5% −12.60

Auteuil (FR) 22 0 0% −22.00

Fontainebleau 14 3 21.4% +3.40

Le Croise-Laroche 12 3 25% +3.25

Lyon Parilly (FR) 11 1 9.1% +1.40

Vichy (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 182 11 6% −112.80

Class 3 57 8 14% −0.75

Class 2 34 3 8.8% −13.62

Class 4 6 1 16.7% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 284 78 27.5% 1.22 +4.01

2nd–3rd fav 568 64 11.3% 0.83 −185.60

4th–6th fav 938 77 8.2% 1.05 −144.80

7th+ in betting 1,987 42 2.1% 0.65 −1,003.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 1,512 88 5.8% −576.10

6f – 7f 1,218 103 8.5% −288.11

1m2f – 1m4f 746 53 7.1% −280.60

1m5f – 2m 161 9 5.6% −103.60

Under 6f 84 8 9.5% −27.18

2m1f – 2m4f 64 1 1.6% −54.60

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 26 1 3.8% −12.00

2012 59 3 5.1% −29.20

2013 115 8 7% −52.30

2014 162 8 4.9% −84.20

2015 213 24 11.3% −8.90

2016 334 23 6.9% −168.10

2017 242 13 5.4% −109.30

2018 281 13 4.6% −67.50

2019 169 9 5.3% −74.10

2020 150 16 10.7% +38.80

2021 252 14 5.6% −151.50

2022 364 18 4.9% −254.30

2023 372 29 7.8% −82.00

2024 379 28 7.4% −57.80

2025 348 24 6.9% −165.40

2026 319 31 9.7% −52.39

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,191 147 6.7% −592.80

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,706 113 6.6% −615.97

11-13 runners 793 55 6.9% −339.45

8-10 runners 627 45 7.2% −338.37

17+ runners 398 24 6% +20.70

5-7 runners 255 25 9.8% −51.10

2-4 runners 6 0 0% −6.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

King Of Twist (FR) 70 6 21 8 Apr 25

On The Sea (GB)from Mme Christiane Head · then Mlle Gaelle Gernay 58 5 17 11 Feb 23

Frosty Bay (FR)from H-F Devin 50 2 14 9 Sep 23

Bocciatore (FR)from F Rossi 49 4 18 24 Jan 24

Uri (FR) 48 2 17 22 Oct 25

Zack Hope (GB)from P Schiergen 47 3 16 4 Oct 18

D Day Man (FR) 44 6 9 26 Oct 26

Dark Zel (FR)from A & G Botti 42 6 17 2 Oct 26

Special Request (FR)from M Gentile 41 3 11 27 Aug 17

Adwan (GB)from Richard Hannon · then J Lebosse 37 4 15 10 Mar 26

Innovator (GB)from Roger Charlton 37 4 8 10 Jan 25

Luci Del Faro (FR) 36 3 12 3 Dec 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 454 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 17 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 46 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mme Christiane Head (3) and P Sogorb (3); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard; 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

3 from 23 13% · +6.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days13%

Lifetime base6.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9697108874675

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderS Pasquier

7% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.14

RiderRWSR£1

S Pasquier 269 25 9.3% −48.50

M Guyon 251 33 13.1% −56.25

Thomas Trullier 233 11 4.7% −113.40

Kyllan Barbaud 176 16 9.1% −57.70

Anthony Crastus 172 14 8.1% −56.90

Gregory Benoist 155 9 5.8% −74.80

Hugo Journiac 155 7 4.5% −38.60

Aurelien Lemaitre 142 11 7.7% −10.90

Eddy Hardouin 136 5 3.7% −98.00

Jeremie Monteiro 130 6 4.6% −26.80

C. Soumillon 124 19 15.3% −8.42

Tony Piccone 104 3 2.9% −82.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

262

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.58m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 31 wins

King Gold (FR) — Arc Prix Maurice de Gheest (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2023 · Group 1

£192,152

Fort Payne (FR) — Dubai Racing Carnival Prix Du Pin (group 3) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2026 · Group 3

£36,600

King Gold (FR) — Prix de la Porte Maillot (3yo+) (New Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jun 2023 · Group 3

£35,398

Notable horses

Fort Payne (FR) King Gold (FR) King Of Twist (FR) D Day Man (FR) Dark Zel (FR) On The Sea (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oasis Dream (GB) 11.9% · 23–194

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,047 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Kendargent (FR) 6.2% · 10–162

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,248 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 256.

Anodin (IRE) 13.2% · 20–151

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,448 runs since 2018 (275 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.

Kingsalsa (USA) 5% · 6–121

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,991 runs since 2008 (284 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.

Whipper (USA) 6% · 6–100

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,604 runs since 2009 (397 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 516. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.7% from 1,130.

Zelzal (FR) 9.7% · 9–93

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,734 runs since 2021 (242 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.8% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,785 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,785 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 April 2011 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Melanies Joy (GB)J: Malone Favriaux Prix De L'operation WindsorClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 5/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Tumbler (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix PorlezzaClass 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 16/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Sapristi (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De De BeaufaiClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 12/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) No Remorse (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De La Pigeonniere7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 16/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Moushale (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Poteau Des Brulis9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 40/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Grandala (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De L'Abbaye De La Victoire8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Shibuya (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix De La Croix D'anleuClass 2 · 6.5f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 14/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Al Paso (FR)J: Pierre Bazire Prix Du Boulevard Clemenceau9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Kendaro (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De La Rue Fouquet Lelong5.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 5/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Eastern Star (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix Victor & Luc Nolf12.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 9/4F

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Sim Card (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Miguel Et Christophe Clement12.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 11/2

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Kendelya (FR)J: Emanuele Solinas Prix Geoff Lewis (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 11/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Kimbia (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Centre D'ecotourisme De FranchardClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Elusive Belardo (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Centre D'ecotourisme De FranchardClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 14/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Dance Gone (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix CeresClass 1 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 10/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Victory Folie (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Seine Et MarneClass 2 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 14/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Etoile D Armor (FR)J: Emanuele Solinas Prix Des Alisiers6f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 10/1

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Sarastro (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Race And CareClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 9/2

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Melanies Joy (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 1/1F

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Aversa (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Omaha Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is N Caullery's strike rate?: N Caullery has won 262 of 3,785 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does N Caullery do best at?: Clairefontaine by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 runners (14.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for N Caullery?: S Pasquier, with 269 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (9.3%).
Is N Caullery in form?: In the last 14 days: 23 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 13%. That is above the baseline of 6.9% since 2008.
What is N Caullery's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 3,766 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.