What is P. Twomey's strike rate?

P. Twomey has won 229 of 913 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 25.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P. Twomey do best at?

Killarney by strike rate: 20 wins from 52 runners (38.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P. Twomey?

W J Lee, with 698 runners since 2008 — 76% of the total. That pairing has won 191 (27.4%).

Is P. Twomey in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is P. Twomey's Fair A/E?

1.21, from 912 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P. Twomey

913 runners in the lifetime window · 249 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

229–913

Wins / Runs

25.1%

Strike rate

n=913

472 (52%)

Placed

1.21

Fair A/E

n=912 · 1.01 incl. margin

+66.46

£1 level stake

n=913 at SP · +7.3%

£8.74m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 25% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.21). New recruits from other yards win at 31% first time out (62 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 913 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 25.9% 41% when favourite W J Lee: 27.4% from 698 New recruits: 30.6% Sends off the favourite in 29% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Killarney (38.5%, n=52) and Cork (32.7%, n=107) — all clear of the yard's 25.1% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (18.4% over 196 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 30.6% (n=62, Fair A/E 1.44), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 16.2% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.24). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 25.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.23 and +36.71 to a £1 stake over 197 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. W J Lee rides 76% of the entries and edges the yard's average (27.4% vs 25.1%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (35.9%, n=92). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 16.3% over 86 runners, 8.8pts below the baseline. 62 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Goffs Million at Curragh (Sep 2023, £610,000). The stable star of the record: Pearls Galore (FR) — 7 wins from 14 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 25.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

25.9%+0.8

n=197 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +36.71

New recruits · first run for the yard

30.6%+5.5

n=62 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +39.95

Debutants · first career start

21.4%−3.7

n=187 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +64.78

First-time headgear · true-first definition

20.2%−4.9

n=99 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +3.32

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.7%−8.4

n=6 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −4.80

When favourite

41%

n=266 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −14.67

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.2%−8.9

n=37 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +19.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

19.2%−5.9

n=323 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −26.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 25.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Killarney 38.5% vs 25.1% · n=52

Off a 8-14-day break 35.9% vs 25.1% · n=92

On Good to Firm going 16.3% vs 25.1% · n=86

At Naas 15.5% vs 25.1% · n=58

At Cork 32.7% vs 25.1% · n=107

At Curragh 18.4% vs 25.1% · n=196

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 887 224 25.3% +48.61

NH Flat 21 4 19% +21.18

Hurdle 5 1 20% −3.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 360 88 24.4% −22.19

Soft 248 70 28.2% +55.22

Good to Firm 86 14 16.3% −29.02

Good to Soft 84 22 26.2% +22.14

Heavy 79 22 27.8% +11.72

Standard (AW) 56 13 23.2% +28.59

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 196 36 18.4% −30.32

Cork 107 35 32.7% +40.64

Leopardstown 87 22 25.3% +9.59

Naas 58 9 15.5% −26.27

Dundalk (AW) 56 13 23.2% +28.59

Killarney 52 20 38.5% +33.16

Gowran Park 45 12 26.7% −8.90

Galway 38 8 21.1% +9.50

Tipperary 30 9 30% −4.60

Navan 30 6 20% −8.73

Roscommon 28 12 42.9% +12.19

Down Royal 25 7 28% −3.69

Fairyhouse 22 4 18.2% −3.96

Listowel 20 5 25% −2.68

Ascot 20 1 5% −14.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 323 62 19.2% −26.38

Class 2 5 1 20% −3.09

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 290 116 40% 1.14 −13.67

2nd–3rd fav 368 89 24.2% 1.29 +48.63

4th–6th fav 175 19 10.9% 1.23 +4.50

7th+ in betting 80 5 6.3% 1.53 +27.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ruler Of France (GB)from David Wachman 21 5 9 23 Jul 18

One Look (IRE) 17 5 11 18 Jul 26

King Cuan (GB) 14 6 10 18 Oct 26

Pearls Galore (FR)from F Head 14 7 12 10 Sep 22

Rosscarbery (GER)from John Joseph Murphy 13 6 8 24 Aug 23

Elana Osario (GB) 11 3 9 4 Apr 26

Seo Linn (IRE) 11 4 9 6 Oct 25

Treasure Trove (IRE) 11 3 5 24 Jun 23

Big Negotiator (GB) 9 3 4 2 Oct 26

Carmers (IRE) 9 4 5 22 Aug 26

Black Caviar Gold (IRE) 9 2 4 30 Jul 26

Royal Entry (IRE)from J S Bolger 9 2 6 2 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 249 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Joseph Murphy (2); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

01422282923252520312133

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderW J Lee

76% of all rides
27.4% SR · A/E 1.22

RiderRWSR£1

W J Lee 698 191 27.4% +70.54

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

229

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.74m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 43 wins

One Look (IRE) — Goffs Million Curragh · Sep 2023

£610,000

Trean (IRE) — Goffs Million Curragh (IRE) · Sep 2026

£561,700

Pearls Galore (FR) — Coolmore America 'Justify' Matron Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2022 · Group 1

£236,000

Notable horses

Pearls Galore (FR) King Cuan (GB) Rosscarbery (GER) Ruler Of France (GB) One Look (IRE) La Petite Coco (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 23.4% · 11–47

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,948 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 31% · 13–42

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,223 runs since 2014 (1,109 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Sioux Nation (USA) 29.3% · 12–41

Progeny have won 12.3% of 2,912 runs since 2022 (362 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.2% from 580. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.

Havana Grey (GB) 22.9% · 8–35

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,607 runs since 2022 (419 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Kodiac (GB) 24.2% · 8–33

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,601 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 25% · 7–28

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,885 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 913 · newest first

The latest 50 of 913 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 April 2012 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Drive On There (USA)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 6/4

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sensational Filly (FR)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 8/15F

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Otsana (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden7f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 9/4J

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) San Juan De Lope (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 6/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Hi Corbett Court (IRE)J: W. J. Lee William Hill Remembering Sue Wright Prospect Stakes (registered As The Doncaster Stakes) (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Heavy · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) River Trieux (GB)J: W. J. Lee Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Fillies Optional Claiming Race7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 13/8F

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) The Good Wife (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 100/30

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Churchill Bond (GB)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 4/7F

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) King Cuan (GB)J: W. J. Lee Bahrain Turf Club Knockaire Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 5/2

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Drive On There (USA)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 5th 11/10F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Trean (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Mongey Communications Killavullan Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 4/5F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sensational Filly (FR)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 11/4

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Louis De Foix (GB)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 1st 6/4J

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Duchessofaquitaine (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Otsana (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 100/30

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) State Of Wyoming (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 7/4F

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Deressa (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 10/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Tajac (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 6/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Cailin Miorruilach (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 12/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) King Cuan (GB)J: W. J. Lee Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 7f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 17 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 6 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is P. Twomey's strike rate?: P. Twomey has won 229 of 913 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 25.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P. Twomey do best at?: Killarney by strike rate: 20 wins from 52 runners (38.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P. Twomey?: W J Lee, with 698 runners since 2008 — 76% of the total. That pairing has won 191 (27.4%).
Is P. Twomey in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P. Twomey's Fair A/E?: 1.21, from 912 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.