What is Pat Murphy's strike rate?

Pat Murphy has won 50 of 767 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pat Murphy do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 6 wins from 44 runners (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Pat Murphy?

Colin Bolger, with 90 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.6%).

What is Pat Murphy's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 765 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Pat Murphy

767 runners in the lifetime window · 112 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2025

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

50–767

Wins / Runs

6.5%

Strike rate

n=767

168 (22%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=765 · 0.72 incl. margin

−363.43

£1 level stake

n=767 at SP · −47.4%

£401k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 767 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 30% when favourite Colin Bolger: 5.6% from 90 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (13.6%, n=44), clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=62, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.56 and −73.00 to a £1 stake over 126 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Colin Bolger rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 0.75). The yard also reads well in Chase races (11.1%, n=126). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 48 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Salute (IRE) — 9 wins from 60 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.2%−3.3

n=126 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −73.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.5

n=62 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −62.00

Debutants · first career start

7.9%+1.4

n=38 · A/E 3.02 · £1 +17.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.7%+1.2

n=26 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15%+8.5

n=20 · A/E 2.19 · £1 +1.50

When favourite

30%

n=30 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −4.09

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.1%−1.4

n=158 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −102.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.5

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Fontwell 13.6% vs 6.5% · n=44

With new recruits 0% vs 6.5% · n=62

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 6.5% · n=48

With C&D winners 11.4% vs 6.5% · n=132

With horses switching code 1.3% vs 6.5% · n=79

In Chase races 11.1% vs 6.5% · n=126

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 404 20 5% −213.55

Hurdle 204 14 6.9% −98.92

Chase 126 14 11.1% −51.96

NH Flat 33 2 6.1% +1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 251 13 5.2% −147.55

Good 160 7 4.4% −90.67

Soft 112 12 10.7% −44.87

Good to Soft 107 10 9.3% −24.84

Good to Firm 73 4 5.5% −20.00

Heavy 44 4 9.1% −15.50

Firm 20 0 0% −20.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 79 4 5.1% −39.00

Lingfield (AW) 69 5 7.2% −34.05

Wolverhampton (AW) 62 3 4.8% −39.00

Fontwell 44 6 13.6% −13.87

Chepstow 43 2 4.7% −29.50

Bath 42 5 11.9% +15.00

Warwick 35 4 11.4% +7.75

Plumpton 27 3 11.1% −16.51

Windsor 23 1 4.3% −14.00

Southwell (AW) 22 1 4.5% −16.50

Kempton 20 3 15% +1.50

Newbury 20 0 0% −20.00

Chelmsford (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Towcester 16 1 6.3% −9.50

Hereford 15 3 20% +8.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 251 15 6% −113.05

Class 5 208 14 6.7% −63.92

Class 4 206 15 7.3% −130.21

Class 3 70 5 7.1% −33.75

Class 2 22 1 4.5% −12.50

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 42 11 26.2% 1.09 −5.09

2nd–3rd fav 121 16 13.2% 0.82 −31.34

4th–6th fav 254 19 7.5% 0.91 −57.00

7th+ in betting 350 4 1.1% 0.39 −270.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 170 8 4.7% −111.05

2m5f – 3m 141 15 10.6% −39.87

1m5f – 2m 129 7 5.4% −44.00

2m1f – 2m4f 110 9 8.2% −60.26

Under 6f 80 7 8.8% +3.00

1m – 1m1f 51 1 2% −45.50

1m2f – 1m4f 48 0 0% −48.00

Over 3m 38 3 7.9% −17.75

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 120 6 5% −69.50

2009 71 7 9.9% −19.75

2010 45 4 8.9% −28.75

2011 93 4 4.3% −44.00

2012 60 2 3.3% −46.80

2013 43 4 9.3% −2.50

2014 47 4 8.5% −25.75

2015 34 2 5.9% −2.00

2016 38 1 2.6% −31.50

2017 18 1 5.6% −11.00

2019 14 1 7.1% −4.00

2020 12 1 8.3% −9.75

2021 37 3 8.1% −15.67

2022 55 7 12.7% −13.96

2023 36 1 2.8% −29.00

2024 37 2 5.4% −2.50

2025 7 0 0% −7.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 532 42 7.9% −206.93

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 264 18 6.8% −144.22

11-13 runners 247 11 4.5% −120.17

5-7 runners 127 14 11% −38.04

14-16 runners 94 6 6.4% −30.00

17+ runners 28 0 0% −28.00

2-4 runners 7 1 14.3% −3.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Catalinas Diamond (IRE)from Brendan W Duke 104 8 26 12 Jul 17

Cloudy Bob (IRE)then Anthony Honeyball 61 5 27 25 Oct 17

Moorgate (IRE) 31 1 5 17 Feb 25

Tarateeno (GB) 31 4 11 26 Feb 12

Galtee Mountain (IRE)from Jose Santos 30 7 13 21 Dec 22

Nessfield Blue (GB)from Jose Santos 22 1 2 4 Nov 22

Salute (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 21 2 6 11 Sep 09

Power Shared (IRE)from D K Weld · then Miss C V Hart 19 2 8 25 Nov 10

Colourful Move (GB)from Sir Henry Cecil 18 1 8 25 Mar 10

Sun Catcher (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr 18 1 3 15 Jul 09

Amalfi Gem (IRE) 17 1 2 14 Nov 22

Neverbeen To Paris (IRE)from Harry Whittington 17 1 5 31 Oct 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 112 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Barry Brennan (2) and Henry Candy (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard; 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

71286692323106

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderColin Bolger

12% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 0.75

RiderRWSR£1

Colin Bolger 90 5 5.6% −47.75

Steve Drowne 85 6 7.1% −17.50

Robert Havlin 53 3 5.7% −19.00

Michael Murphy 52 4 7.7% −38.25

Leighton Aspell 35 1 2.9% −30.50

Mark Grant 31 2 6.5% −18.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£542k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Maktu (GB) — Lingley Caterers Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Jan 2009 · Class 2

£15,655

Salute (IRE) — Palm Beach Casino Handicap Windsor · Jun 2005 · Class 2

£12,099

Cloudy Bob (IRE) — Rasen Mail Novices' Limited Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Nov 2014 · Class 3

£9,747

Notable horses

Salute (IRE) Catalinas Diamond (IRE) Galtee Mountain (IRE) Cloudy Bob (IRE) Greenwood (GB) Tarateeno (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

One Cool Cat (USA) 7.7% · 8–104

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,592 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.4% from 605.

Cloudings (IRE) 7.6% · 5–66

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,885 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.

Kayf Tara (GB) 9.4% · 5–53

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,744 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 3% · 1–33

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,634 runs since 2008 (842 horses).

Mountain High (IRE) 23.3% · 7–30

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,245 runs since 2008 (184 horses).

Muhtarram (USA) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 12.3% of 837 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Good going: 17.8% from 270. Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 156.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,109 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,109 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 24 February 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Nicola Currie Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 33/1

17 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: Nicola Currie Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 80/1

11 Feb 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Fred Daly 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 22/1

07 Feb 25 Lingfield (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: J F Egan Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 66/1

30 Jan 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Fred Daly Each Way Extra At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8th 14/1

20 Jan 25 Kempton (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Ethan Jones racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 4th 28/1

15 Jan 25 Kempton (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: J F Egan Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 11th 100/1

22 Dec 24 Lingfield (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: Liam Keniry BetUK: Its Where The UK Bets Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1

19 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Fred Daly Sky Bet Matchday Assist Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 18/1

12 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Mr Paul Hainey Sky Bet Club Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 33/1

21 Nov 24 Lingfield (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: J F Egan Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 50/1

06 Nov 24 Kempton (AW) Moorgate (IRE)J: J F Egan Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 8th 28/1

06 Nov 24 Kempton (AW) Infantryman (FR)J: Rob Hornby Bet At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 13th 40/1

31 Oct 24 Stratford Watamu (GB)J: Harry Bannister Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 25/1

21 Oct 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Reverberation (GB)J: Nicola Currie Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 28/1

27 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Magical Florence (IRE)J: Adam Farragher Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 200/1

23 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Valegro (IRE)J: Mia Nicholls Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 66/1

05 Sep 24 Lingfield (AW) Infantryman (FR)J: Ben Sanderson Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 50/1

05 Sep 24 Lingfield (AW) Valegro (IRE)J: Mia Nicholls Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 80/1

02 Sep 24 Windsor Infantryman (FR)J: Nicola Currie Hamish Johnson Memorial Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pat Murphy's strike rate?: Pat Murphy has won 50 of 767 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pat Murphy do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 6 wins from 44 runners (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Pat Murphy?: Colin Bolger, with 90 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.6%).
What is Pat Murphy's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 765 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.