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Jockey profile

Fred Daly

131 rides in the last 5 seasons · 98 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2025 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–131
Wins / Runs
8.4%
Strike rate
n=131
40 (31%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=130 · 0.70 incl. margin
−60.94
£1 level stake
n=131 at SP · −46.5%
£122k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). First rides on a horse are a strength: 10% on the first captured pairing (98 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 131 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance First rides: 10.2%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 7.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −59.94 to a £1 stake over 121 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 2.7% over 37 rides, 5.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.2%+1.8
n=98 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −31.44
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−8.4
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−8.4
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
When favourite
30%
n=10 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −0.77
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.4%−1.0
n=121 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −59.94
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−8.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.7% vs 8.4% · n=37
On Good to Firm going 6.3% vs 8.4% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 62 5 8.1% −18.50
Good to Firm 32 2 6.3% −23.00
Good 22 2 9.1% −10.50
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% −3.67
Soft 5 1 20% −3.27
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW) 15 4 26.7% +25.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 13 1 7.7% −9.50
Lingfield (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Southwell (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Kempton (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Windsor 7 0 0% −7.00
Newmarket 6 1 16.7% +1.50
Leicester 6 0 0% −6.00
Newmarket 6 0 0% −6.00
Salisbury 5 2 40% +4.00
Doncaster 5 1 20% −1.00
Brighton 4 1 25% +0.33
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 62 6 9.7% −15.50
Class 5 40 4 10% −18.17
Class 4 25 1 4% −23.27
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 3 21.4% 0.77 −4.77
2nd–3rd fav 28 4 14.3% 0.83 −6.17
4th–6th fav 41 3 7.3% 0.87 −15.00
7th+ in betting 48 1 2.1% 0.74 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Marioento (GB) 7 1 1 29 Mar 25
Monsieur Beaulieu (GB) 4 0 3 1 Jun 25
My Mate Kev (GB) 3 1 1 25 Aug 25
Alvesta (GB) 3 0 1 26 Jun 25
Reverberation (GB) 3 0 0 11 Feb 25
Orbital (GB) 3 1 2 31 Aug 24
Papagei (GB) 2 0 1 14 Sep 25
One Million Dreams (FR) 2 0 1 13 Sep 25
Kakarotto (GB) 2 0 0 8 Sep 25
Artificer (IRE) 2 1 2 30 Aug 25
Potters Marmite (GB) 2 0 0 18 Aug 25
Silent Flame (GB) 2 1 1 14 Aug 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 98 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
11330020108401100
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
George Boughey 20 1 5% −16.50
Nick Littmoden 11 0 0% −11.00
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 10 2 20% +2.73
Matt Crawley 9 1 11.1% +4.00
James Ferguson 8 1 12.5% −4.00
James Fanshawe 5 0 0% −5.00
Chris Dwyer 5 1 20% +2.50
Rod Millman 4 2 50% +5.00
Michael Madgwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Michael Keady 3 1 33.3% +3.00
James Owen 3 0 0% −3.00
Dylan Cunha 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
11
Archived wins
£122k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 8 wins
My Mate Kev (GB) — TrustATrader You Can Trust Our Traders Handicap Newmarket · May 2025 · Class 5
£5,154
Golden Shot (GB) — 3As Leisure Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Ffos Las · Aug 2023 · Class 4
£4,868
Currumbin (IRE) — Bet Boost At bet365 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Feb 2025 · Class 5
£4,711
Notable horses
Marioento (GB) My Mate Kev (GB) Orbital (GB) Artificer (IRE) Silent Flame (GB) Dibble Dabble (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Farhh (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 13.7% of 1,800 runs since 2008 (164 horses).
Aclaim (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10% of 2,522 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.
Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,999 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Equiano (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,538 runs since 2008 (549 horses).
Study Of Man (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 14.6% of 1,152 runs since 2008 (147 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.4% from 245.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 131 · newest first

The latest 50 of 131 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 August 2023 to 22 September 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Sep 25 Leicester Grand Citadel (IRE)T: Hayley Burton Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 10/3
20 Sep 25 Newmarket Local Music (IRE)T: Matt Crawley Turners HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 11th 11/1
18 Sep 25 Kempton (AW) Dovey Moon (GB)T: David Evans Unibet HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 5th 12/1
18 Sep 25 Kempton (AW) Valkyrja (GB)T: Matt Crawley Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 2nd 5/1
14 Sep 25 Doncaster Papagei (GB)T: James Ferguson I Love Julie Parkes Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 22/1
13 Sep 25 Lingfield (AW) One Million Dreams (FR)T: Nick Littmoden Alan Rae Smith Errant HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 3/1J
08 Sep 25 Lingfield (AW) Kakarotto (GB)T: Nick Littmoden Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1
06 Sep 25 Ascot Jubilee Walk (GB)T: James Ferguson Racing To School Reaches 250,000 HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 2nd 12/1
03 Sep 25 Kempton (AW) Duke Orsino (GB)T: J R Jenkins Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 6th 66/1
02 Sep 25 Chepstow Dakota Power (GB)T: Roger Teal Why Bet Elsewhere, David Lucas Bookmakers Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 6/1
30 Aug 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Artificer (IRE)T: Matt Crawley Level Head Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 10/1
25 Aug 25 Southwell (AW) My Mate Kev (GB)T: Chris Dwyer N&L Franklin Ltd HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 17/2
18 Aug 25 Windsor Potters Marmite (GB)T: Matt Crawley Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 125/1
17 Aug 25 Southwell (AW) Yorkshire Myth (GB)T: Michael & David Easterby Newark Advertiser Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 16/1
15 Aug 25 Newbury Photon (IRE)T: Roger Teal Get Best Odds Guaranteed With BetVictor Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 5th 33/1
14 Aug 25 Chepstow Silent Flame (GB)T: Rod Millman dragonbet.co.uk 'Training Series' Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 4th 3/1
11 Aug 25 Windsor Cinderella Man (IRE)T: Pat Phelan Fitzdares Telephone And Text Betting HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 33/1
10 Aug 25 Haydock Croeso Cymraeg (GB)T: James Evans Enter ITV7 For Free Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 50/1
07 Aug 25 Brighton Danehill Star (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Star Community Housing Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
05 Aug 25 Newbury Kakarotto (GB)T: Nick Littmoden Pump Technology Wastewater Solutions HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Fred Daly's strike rate?
Fred Daly has won 11 of 131 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Fred Daly's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 130 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).