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Trainer profile

R P O'Keeffe

141 runners in the lifetime window · 32 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 191 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–141
Wins / Runs
5.7%
Strike rate
n=141
17 (12%)
Placed
1.25
Fair A/E
n=141 · 0.99 incl. margin
−43.50
£1 level stake
n=141 at SP · −30.9%
£96,697
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.25). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 7% off breaks of two months or more (55 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 141 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.3% Claiming riders: 6.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Punchestown (10%, n=40), clear of the yard's 5.7% baseline. The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (9.1%, n=33). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.6% over 38 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.3%+1.6
n=55 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +14.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
18.2%+12.5
n=11 · A/E 7.35 · £1 +31.00
Debutants · first career start
6.3%+0.6
n=16 · A/E 1.83 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.7
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%+1.1
n=88 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −15.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Punchestown 10% vs 5.7% · n=40
Off a break of 180+ days 9.1% vs 5.7% · n=33
In Flat races 2.6% vs 5.7% · n=38
On Good going 8.3% vs 5.7% · n=36
In Chase races 7.4% vs 5.7% · n=68 · A/E 1.26
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 68 5 7.4% −10.00
Flat 38 1 2.6% −17.00
Hurdle 18 1 5.6% −14.50
NH Flat 17 1 5.9% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 36 3 8.3% −6.50
Soft 34 2 5.9% +10.00
Good to Firm 28 0 0% −28.00
Heavy 17 1 5.9% −13.50
Standard (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 11 2 18.2% +9.50
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 40 4 10% −3.00
Dundalk (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Wexford 10 0 0% −10.00
Limerick 7 1 14.3% −3.50
Tipperary 6 0 0% −6.00
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Clonmel 5 1 20% +10.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Downpatrick 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 5 1 20% +16.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 8 3 37.5% 2.21 +4.00
4th–6th fav 20 1 5% 0.66 −14.50
7th+ in betting 110 4 3.6% 1.51 −30.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
69.8% completed · 86 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 68 69.1% 2 5 9 2 3
Hurdle 18 72.2% 0 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Vital Island (IRE) 29 3 7 30 Apr 26
Ma Chara (IRE) 17 0 1 29 Apr 14
Better B Quick (IRE)from Paul Stafford · then P J Rothwell 9 1 1 31 May 19
Erelight (IRE)then S Donohoe 8 0 0 22 Nov 13
Eretara (IRE)from Joseph G Murphy · then S Donohoe 6 0 1 8 Nov 13
Great Leader (IRE) 6 0 0 3 Feb 11
Calling You (IRE)from A Oliver · then S Donohoe 5 0 0 22 Sep 13
Lady Erewhon (USA)from A Oliver 5 0 0 11 Jan 13
Transprint (GB) 4 1 2 29 Apr 25
Costalotmore (IRE)from Brian Jordan · then Mark John Scallan 4 2 2 28 Dec 20
Dig In Deep (IRE) 4 0 0 2 Apr 15
Rainbow Sally (IRE) 4 0 0 17 Aug 14
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Oliver (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for S Donohoe (3) and P J Rothwell (2); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
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A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr G L Murphy 21 0 0% −21.00
Mr T Power Roche 14 1 7.1% +7.00
Mr B O Walsh 14 2 14.3% −5.50
Mr B T Stone 10 1 10% −4.50
Mr M J Scallan 6 0 0% −6.00
Robbie Moran 6 0 0% −6.00
J J Slevin 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Seamie Heffernan 4 0 0% −4.00
N G McCullagh 4 0 0% −4.00
Fergal Lynch 3 0 0% −3.00
P A Carberry 3 0 0% −3.00
Tadhg O'Shea 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
9
Archived wins
£109k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Vital Island (IRE) — Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase Punchestown · Apr 2023
£17,700
Vital Island (IRE) — Howden Cross Country Chase Punchestown · May 2025
£8,850
Transprint (GB) — Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup Punchestown · Apr 2025
£8,850
Notable horses
Vital Island (IRE) Costalotmore (IRE) Pottersway (IRE) Better B Quick (IRE) Transprint (GB) Pottersville (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Erewhon (USA) 0% · 0–34
Progeny have won 2% of 249 runs since 2009 (29 horses).
Trans Island (GB) 12.1% · 4–33
Progeny have won 9% of 4,742 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Overbury (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Great Palm (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,946 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 9.9% from 262.
Hubbly Bubbly (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.4% of 489 runs since 2008 (56 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 200 · newest first

The latest 50 of 200 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 30 April 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Apr 26 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase33f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 7th 25/1
28 Apr 26 Punchestown Turnupdevolume (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup24.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 9/2
12 Dec 25 Cheltenham Vital Island (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Glenfarclas Crystal Cup Cross Country Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 29.5f · Good · 14 ran BD 125/1
23 Nov 25 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Colm Quinn BMW Risk Of Thunder Chase24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran PU 25/1
29 May 25 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Vital Island (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone France Sire Prix Anjou-Loire Challenge (Listed Cross Country Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)36.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 35/1
03 May 25 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Howden Cross Country Chase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 1st 9/2
01 May 25 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase33f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 4th 12/1
29 Apr 25 Punchestown Turnupdevolume (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup24.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 5/1
29 Apr 25 Punchestown Transprint (GB)J: Mr Anthony James Doyle Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup24.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 1st 22/1
17 Apr 25 Clonmel Pottersville (IRE)J: Mr C M Moore Happy Easter To All Our Patrons Flat Race20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 1st 14/1
02 May 24 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase33f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 18/1
30 Apr 24 Punchestown Transprint (GB)J: Mr B T Stone Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup24.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 20/1
05 Feb 24 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: J J Slevin SBK P.P. Hogan Memorial Cross Country Chase24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran PU 40/1
15 Dec 23 Cheltenham Vital Island (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Glenfarclas Crystal Cup Cross Country Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 29.5f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 28/1
26 Nov 23 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: J J Slevin Pigsback.com Risk Of Thunder Chase24f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 16/1
03 Sep 23 Craon (FR) Vital Island (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Prix Super U Craon (Listed Cross Country Race) (5yo+) (Turf)30f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 12/1
27 Apr 23 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: Mr B O Walsh Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase34f · Good · 12 ran 1st 3/1
25 Apr 23 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: Mr B O Walsh Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup25f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 11/10F
20 Nov 22 Punchestown Vital Island (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Pigsback.com Risk Of Thunder Chase25f · Yielding · 17 ran 5th 100/1
30 Apr 22 Punchestown Transprint (GB)J: Mr B T Stone Dooley Insurance Group Cross Country Chase25f · Good · 17 ran REF 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is R P O'Keeffe's strike rate?
R P O'Keeffe has won 8 of 141 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R P O'Keeffe do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 4 wins from 40 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is R P O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 141 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).