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Trainer profile

Robert Widger

101 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2024 96% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
11–101
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=101
20 (20%)
Placed
1.36
n=101 · 1.09 incl. margin
+13.25
£1 level stake
n=101 at SP · +13.1%
£175k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.36).

Deterministic profile computed from 101 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 11.6%
The read

The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (17.1%, n=35) and on Soft going (16.3%, n=43). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.2% over 31 runners, 7.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Fry Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown (Feb 2020, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Treacysenniscorthy (IRE) — 6 wins from 13 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−10.9
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%−1.8
n=11 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −6.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
30%
n=10 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +1.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.6%+0.7
n=43 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −12.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+9.1
n=5 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 3.2% vs 10.9% · n=31
Over 2m5f – 3m 17.1% vs 10.9% · n=35
On Soft going 16.3% vs 10.9% · n=43
In Hurdle races 6.5% vs 10.9% · n=77
With a new jockey booking 6.7% vs 10.9% · n=60
Off a 15-30-day break 13.5% vs 10.9% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 77 5 6.5% −40.25
Chase 17 5 29.4% +56.00
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00
NH Flat 3 1 33.3% +1.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 43 7 16.3% +40.75
Good 23 1 4.3% −18.50
Good to Soft 18 1 5.6% −10.00
Heavy 14 2 14.3% +4.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 16 1 6.3% −13.50
Downpatrick 10 1 10% −5.50
Punchestown 8 4 50% +19.75
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Leopardstown 7 2 28.6% +10.00
Cork 6 1 16.7% +1.00
Tipperary 6 0 0% −6.00
Listowel 6 1 16.7% +45.00
Perth 5 1 20% −0.50
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Dundalk (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 1 20% +4.00
Class 4 5 1 20% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 3 25% 1.01 −0.75
2nd–3rd fav 16 3 18.8% 1.34 +1.00
4th–6th fav 24 4 16.7% 2.19 +11.00
7th+ in betting 49 1 2% 0.93 +2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.2% completed · 94 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 17 88.2% 2 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 77 87% 0 0 9 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Indie Belle (IRE) 26 4 9 23 Sep 23
Bealnablath (IRE) 7 0 0 27 Jul 21
Zhivotov (IRE) 6 0 0 12 Jul 24
Jj Nester (IRE) 6 0 1 14 Oct 21
Arctic Sofia (IRE)from Gordon Elliott · then Ciaran Murphy 6 0 1 2 Oct 20
Appian Way (FR)from Gordon Elliott · then Ms M Flynn 5 0 0 16 Aug 24
Penguin Island (GB)from Henry Candy 5 0 0 20 May 24
Inneen Oscar (IRE) 5 0 0 1 Jul 20
Story Rory (IRE)from Conor O'Dwyer · then Thomas Gibney 4 0 0 30 Aug 21
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (3) and W P Mullins (3); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Gibney (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
202503301300701433
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ethan O'Sullivan 10 0 0% −10.00
J J Slevin 10 1 10% −2.00
Kevin Brouder 8 4 50% +21.00
Patrick Corbett 8 1 12.5% +43.00
Oakley Brown 6 1 16.7% −2.25
Aidan Kelly 5 1 20% −0.50
Phillip Enright 5 0 0% −5.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 4 1 25% +7.00
Hugh Morgan 4 0 0% −4.00
James O'Sullivan 4 0 0% −4.00
Mike O'Connor 3 0 0% −3.00
Davy Russell 2 1 50% +0.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
11
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£175k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 4 wins
Treacysenniscorthy (IRE) — William Fry Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Grade B) Leopardstown · Feb 2020 · Grade B
£59,000
Indie Belle (IRE) — Close Brothers Irish EBF Mares Handicap Chase Punchestown · Apr 2023
£17,700
Treacysenniscorthy (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) Leopardstown · Dec 2019
£17,700

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Flemensfirth (USA) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,276 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 46.2% · 6–13
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,823 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,853 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,304 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 101 · newest first

The latest 50 of 101 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 September 2019 to 16 August 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Widger's strike rate?
Robert Widger has won 11 of 101 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Robert Widger's Fair A/E?
1.36, from 101 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).