What is Robin Bastiman's strike rate?

Robin Bastiman has won 58 of 857 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robin Bastiman do best at?

Thirsk by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Robin Bastiman?

Lee Newman, with 90 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.7%).

What is Robin Bastiman's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 849 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Robin Bastiman

857 runners in the lifetime window · 59 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2015 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

58–857

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=857

192 (22%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=849 · 0.70 incl. margin

−439.07

£1 level stake

n=857 at SP · −51.2%

£847k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81). In Group and Graded company the record reads 16% (37 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 857 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Sep 34.5% when favourite Lee Newman: 6.7% from 90 Group/Graded: 16.2% Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 16.2% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.19), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.54 and −176.88 to a £1 stake over 263 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Lee Newman rode 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 0.84). The yard also read well in Class 1 (16.2%, n=37) and off a 0-7-day break (14.3%, n=35). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes at York (Aug 2009, £136,248). The stable star of the record was Borderlescott (GB) — 13 wins from 76 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.2%−0.6

n=130 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −46.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.8

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.8

n=39 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −39.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.2%−2.6

n=24 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −18.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.9%−1.9

n=41 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

34.5%

n=55 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +4.68

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.8%−3.0

n=263 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −176.88

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.2%+9.4

n=37 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +4.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 25.9% vs 6.8% · n=58

With Daniel Tudhope 16% vs 6.8% · n=81

In Class 1 16.2% vs 6.8% · n=37

In Group / Graded races 16.2% vs 6.8% · n=37

Off a 0-7-day break 14.3% vs 6.8% · n=35

With Robert Winston 13.3% vs 6.8% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 825 58 7% −407.07

Hurdle 25 0 0% −25.00

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 238 14 5.9% −143.80

Good 197 17 8.6% −70.79

Standard (AW) 186 13 7% −117.10

Good to Soft 99 8 8.1% −35.13

Soft 99 5 5.1% −39.25

Heavy 30 0 0% −30.00

Firm 8 1 12.5% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 120 6 5% −82.15

Redcar 63 7 11.1% −7.50

Ayr 57 5 8.8% −34.88

Catterick 57 2 3.5% −46.17

Musselburgh 56 5 8.9% −25.99

Yarmouth 56 4 7.1% −30.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 54 6 11.1% −24.75

Ripon 40 1 2.5% −34.50

Thirsk 39 5 12.8% +33.50

Beverley 38 2 5.3% −24.00

York 31 2 6.5% −15.50

Newcastle 28 2 7.1% −12.00

Pontefract 28 0 0% −28.00

Carlisle 23 1 4.3% −11.00

Doncaster 23 0 0% −23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 450 31 6.9% −215.66

Class 5 196 6 3.1% −135.67

Class 4 59 6 10.2% −27.87

Class 2 45 2 4.4% −27.75

Class 3 43 4 9.3% −24.12

Class 1 37 6 16.2% +4.50

Class 7 27 3 11.1% −12.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 71 23 32.4% 1.21 +7.68

2nd–3rd fav 137 14 10.2% 0.70 −53.25

4th–6th fav 242 16 6.6% 0.82 −80.50

7th+ in betting 407 5 1.2% 0.39 −313.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Singeur (IRE)then Rebecca Bastiman 60 7 20 5 Nov 14

Secret City (IRE)then Rebecca Bastiman 56 8 16 17 Oct 14

Borderlescott (GB)then Rebecca Bastiman 51 7 22 11 Oct 14

Novalist (GB)then Rebecca Bastiman 49 6 15 20 Jan 15

Monsieur Pontaven (GB) 49 3 14 7 Feb 14

Green Howard (GB)then Rebecca Bastiman 36 8 16 8 Nov 14

Owed (GB)from Brian Ellison 31 1 8 22 Apr 10

Dotty Darroch (GB) 29 2 6 9 Oct 12

Kyllachykov (IRE)then Rebecca Bastiman 28 2 8 13 Jan 15

See Vermont (GB)then Rebecca Bastiman 25 1 9 22 Sep 14

Miss Blink (GB) 24 4 8 27 Sep 13

Barataria (GB)from G Wragg 24 2 9 12 Aug 10

All 59 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 59 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tom Tate (2); 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Rebecca Bastiman (13); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

43331057111021116

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLee Newman

11% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

Lee Newman 90 6 6.7% −41.00

Daniel Tudhope 81 13 16% +17.58

Robert Winston 60 8 13.3% −3.25

Matthew Lawson 49 1 2% −28.00

Neil Farley 49 1 2% −44.50

Jason Hart 49 3 6.1% −23.90

Pat Cosgrave 46 6 13% −11.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.17m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 15 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Borderlescott (GB) — Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2009 · Group 1

£136,248

Borderlescott (GB) — Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) Newmarket · Aug 2008 · Group 1

£93,671

Borderlescott (GB) — Vodafone Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap) Goodwood · Aug 2006 · Class 2

£62,320

Notable horses

Borderlescott (GB) Secret City (IRE) Green Howard (GB) Singeur (IRE) Novalist (GB) Miss Blink (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Avonbridge (GB) 7% · 9–128

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2009 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.

Compton Place (GB) 13.4% · 11–82

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Chineur (FR) 10.1% · 8–79

Progeny have won 9% of 2,167 runs since 2009 (138 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12% from 209. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 403. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6% from 199.

City On A Hill (USA) 14.3% · 8–56

Progeny have won 9.8% of 632 runs since 2008 (34 horses).

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 14.8% · 8–54

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Kyllachy (GB) 5.7% · 3–53

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,249 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,249 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 20 January 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Jan 15 Southwell (AW) Hellolini (GB)J: Connor Beasley Unibet Offer Daily Jockey/Trainer Specials HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 33/1

20 Jan 15 Southwell (AW) Novalist (GB)J: Jason Hart Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 8/1

13 Jan 15 Southwell (AW) Kyllachykov (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Coral App Download From The App Store HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 50/1

13 Jan 15 Southwell (AW) Novalist (GB)J: Jason Hart Ladbrokes Mobile HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 8/1

12 Jan 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Hellolini (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Daily Enhanced 'Magic Multiples' At Unibet Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 66/1

19 Dec 14 Southwell (AW) Novalist (GB)J: Jason Hart Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 9/2

13 Dec 14 Southwell (AW) Novalist (GB)J: Jason Hart Download The Ladbrokes App HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 11/10F

09 Dec 14 Southwell (AW) Novalist (GB)J: Jason Hart Ladbrokes Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 16/1

18 Nov 14 Southwell (AW) Kyllachykov (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan coral.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 25/1

08 Nov 14 Doncaster Green Howard (GB)J: Neil Farley Betfred Bingo Apprentice Handicap (Final Round Of The Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Series)Class 3 · 7f · Heavy · 21 ran 11th 50/1

05 Nov 14 Nottingham Singeur (IRE)J: Daniel Tudhope B&M Installations HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 13/2

29 Oct 14 Nottingham Kyllachykov (IRE)J: Harry Bannister 32Red.com Longines World Fegentri Championship Gentlemen Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 12/1

28 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Hellolini (GB)J: Adam Beschizza Download The Free App At bookies.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 66/1

28 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Lizzy's Dream (GB)J: Adam Beschizza Download The Free App At bookies.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 6/1

25 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Green Howard (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Download The Free App At bookmakers.co.uk HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 18/1

20 Oct 14 Pontefract Singeur (IRE)J: Dale Swift totequadpot Four Places In Four Races HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 11/1

20 Oct 14 Pontefract Big Red (GB)J: Joe Doyle Bet toteplacepot On All UK Meetings Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 12/1

17 Oct 14 Redcar Secret City (IRE)J: Dale Swift Join The Racing UK Club Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 20/1

16 Oct 14 Brighton Novalist (GB)J: Adam Beschizza ChoiceBet Number One Telephone Betting 08000126499 Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 9/1

11 Oct 14 Musselburgh Borderlescott (GB)J: Dale Swift Graphic Impressions 21st Anniversary Conditions StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robin Bastiman's strike rate?: Robin Bastiman has won 58 of 857 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robin Bastiman do best at?: Thirsk by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Robin Bastiman?: Lee Newman, with 90 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.7%).
What is Robin Bastiman's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 849 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.