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Trainer profile

S Kobayashi

1,449 runners in the lifetime window · 213 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Runners today 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
89–1,449
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=1,449
322 (22%)
Placed
0.94
n=1,422 · 0.82 incl. margin
−308.00
£1 level stake
n=1,440 at SP · −21.4%
£2.65m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 9% (47 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,449 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 30% when favourite Pierre Bazire: 2.7% from 149 Headgear returns: 8.5% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.46). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.40 and −113.20 to a £1 stake over 163 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Pierre Bazire rides 10% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2.7% vs 6.1%, A/E 0.47). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (10.7%, n=159). 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Flore at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2024, £34,783).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%−0.5
n=373 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −76.90
New recruits · first run for the yard
2%−4.1
n=51 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −42.00
Debutants · first career start
2.5%−3.6
n=163 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −113.20
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.9%−1.2
n=103 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −57.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.5%+2.4
n=47 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +3.20
When favourite
30%
n=60 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +21.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.5%−0.6
n=238 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −107.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
3.9%−2.2
n=181 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −29.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Sebastien Maillot 16.1% vs 6.1% · n=31
With M Grandin 13.9% vs 6.1% · n=36
With C&D winners 12% vs 6.1% · n=108
With Fabrice Veron 13.3% vs 6.1% · n=45
With Mlle Laura Grosso 11.9% vs 6.1% · n=59
On Heavy going 10.7% vs 6.1% · n=159
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 467 26 5.6% −23.60
Soft 305 18 5.9% −96.30
Good 278 14 5% −170.10
Good to Soft 237 13 5.5% −54.10
Heavy 159 17 10.7% +31.40
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly 430 23 5.3% −95.70
Saint-Cloud 290 18 6.2% −117.40
Deauville (FR) 277 14 5.1% −24.50
Longchamp (FR) 217 9 4.1% −100.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 110 11 10% −4.30
Compiegne 25 1 4% −20.00
Clairefontaine 14 1 7.1% +13.00
Fontainebleau 13 2 15.4% +1.30
Vichy (FR) 10 1 10% −8.20
Toulouse (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00
Lyon Parilly 6 1 16.7% +12.00
Le Croise-Laroche 4 1 25% −0.50
Angers 4 0 0% −4.00
Craon (FR) 4 1 25% +11.90
Moulins 3 1 33.3% +22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 182 7 3.8% −30.80
Class 3 11 1 9.1% −2.50
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 62 18 29% 1.27 +19.30
2nd–3rd fav 155 18 11.6% 0.85 −43.70
4th–6th fav 364 27 7.4% 0.93 −60.00
7th+ in betting 859 25 2.9% 0.86 −223.60
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Susukino (FR) 64 4 18 21 Sep 17
Bubble Brook (FR) 51 2 18 5 Jul 20
Bubbly (FR) 46 4 10 26 Apr 19
Kings Canyon (FR)from D Smaga 35 4 7 5 Feb 15
Black Lives Matter (FR)then M Nigge 34 2 6 26 Jun 24
Pink (FR)then Hedi Ghabri 33 4 10 29 May 17
Great Ray (FR) 32 1 5 5 Jun 14
Meisho Felicity (FR) 29 1 8 11 Apr 23
Raggio Bianco (FR) 28 0 8 12 Jan 24
Magic Song (FR)from N Caullery 27 2 6 29 Jan 21
The Divine (FR) 22 2 6 21 Sep 15
Barsham (FR)from H-F Devin · then G Guillermo 20 1 4 4 Jul 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 213 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard; 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
584868349577
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPierre Bazire
10% of all rides
2.7% SR · A/E 0.47
RiderRWSR£1
Pierre Bazire 149 4 2.7% −71.50
Gregory Benoist 124 9 7.3% −17.90
Alexis Badel 94 6 6.4% −37.00
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 81 3 3.7% −44.00
Aurelien Lemaitre 76 3 3.9% −29.80
Cristian Demuro 69 7 10.1% −5.40
Eddy Hardouin 61 2 3.3% −34.30
Mlle Laura Grosso 59 7 11.9% −8.90
Mlle Alison Massin 48 2 4.2% −9.70
Fabrice Veron 45 6 13.3% +65.10
Ioritz Mendizabal 38 3 7.9% +26.40
M Grandin 36 5 13.9% +44.90
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
89
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£2.65m
Prize money
2013
Best season · 10 wins
Legend (FR) — Prix de Flore (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2024 · Group 3
£34,783
Showna (FR) — Prix Imprudence (Fillies) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Apr 2026 · Group 3
£31,826
Tosen Gift (IRE) — Prix Rose de Mai () (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2018 · Listed
£24,336

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Great Journey (JPN) 4.6% · 11–241
Progeny have won 5.8% of 969 runs since 2011 (105 horses).
Kendargent (FR) 7.1% · 10–140
Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,237 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 255.
Zelzal (FR) 9.8% · 6–61
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,717 runs since 2021 (240 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.2% from 105.
Elusive City (USA) 10.5% · 4–38
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,427 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Panis (USA) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,980 runs since 2008 (211 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.2% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 116.
Kingsalsa (USA) 11.4% · 4–35
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,990 runs since 2008 (284 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,449 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,449 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 April 2010 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) I Liked It (FR)J: Giovanni Sias Prix Des FrenesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 15th 16/1
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Grand Terroir (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Race And CareClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 7/2F
10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Rigel Blue (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De La ColleraieClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S Kobayashi's strike rate?
S Kobayashi has won 89 of 1,449 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S Kobayashi do best at?
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 11 wins from 110 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for S Kobayashi?
Pierre Bazire, with 149 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (2.7%).
Is S Kobayashi in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is S Kobayashi's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 1,422 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).