What is S T Nolan's strike rate?

S T Nolan has won 17 of 285 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does S T Nolan do best at?

Fairyhouse by strike rate: 1 wins from 30 runners (3.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for S T Nolan?

Ian McCarthy, with 74 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.8%).

What is S T Nolan's Fair A/E?

1.30, from 285 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

S T Nolan

285 runners in the lifetime window · 39 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2017

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

17–285

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=285

52 (18%)

Placed

1.30

Fair A/E

n=285 · 0.97 incl. margin

−36.50

£1 level stake

n=285 at SP · −12.8%

£283k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.30). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (173 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 285 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Ian McCarthy: 6.8% from 74 Claiming riders: 9.2%

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 9.2% (n=173, Fair A/E 1.94), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=73, Fair A/E 0.40). Ian McCarthy rode 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 1.39) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well over 2m5f – 3m (13.3%, n=30). The market has also underrated the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 1.90 across 108 runners (8.3% strike, +11.50 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 34 runners, 6pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle at Galway (Aug 2014, £29,250). The stable star of the record was Prince Rudi (IRE) — 5 wins from 43 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.4%−4.6

n=73 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −47.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.0

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.0

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.9%−0.1

n=17 · A/E 2.08 · £1 +0.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%+3.1

n=22 · A/E 2.30 · £1 +18.50

When favourite

20%

n=5 · A/E 1.76 · £1 −0.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.2%+3.2

n=173 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +69.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.4%+9.4

n=13 · A/E 3.12 · £1 +34.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 2m5f – 3m 13.3% vs 6% · n=30

With Robert Molloy 12.9% vs 6% · n=31

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6% · n=34

With claiming riders up 9.2% vs 6% · n=173

Off a 61-180-day break 2.6% vs 6% · n=39

On Soft going 8.3% vs 6% · n=108

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 141 10 7.1% +9.00

Flat 108 5 4.6% −40.50

Chase 23 2 8.7% +8.00

NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 108 9 8.3% +11.50

Good 67 3 4.5% −30.50

Heavy 38 2 5.3% −12.00

Good to Soft 24 3 12.5% +42.50

Standard (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00

Good to Firm 22 0 0% −22.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 30 1 3.3% −4.00

Naas 27 1 3.7% −12.00

Navan 25 0 0% −25.00

Punchestown 23 5 21.7% +60.50

Dundalk (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Bellewstown 17 1 5.9% −10.50

Gowran Park 15 1 6.7% −10.50

Cork 13 2 15.4% +28.00

Roscommon 13 0 0% −13.00

Curragh 13 1 7.7% −4.00

Leopardstown 13 1 7.7% +8.00

Kilbeggan 10 0 0% −10.00

Ballinrobe 9 0 0% −9.00

Tipperary 9 2 22.2% +7.00

Clonmel 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 13 2 15.4% +34.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 8 2 25% 2.14 +1.50

2nd–3rd fav 28 3 10.7% 0.87 −10.00

4th–6th fav 44 4 9.1% 1.31 +2.00

7th+ in betting 205 8 3.9% 1.40 −30.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prince Rudi (IRE) 43 5 13 1 Aug 15

Carlowsantana (IRE)from Adrian Sexton 37 4 11 1 Dec 16

Doorock (IRE)from M Halford 26 3 9 27 Oct 10

Shamiran (IRE)from Ms Joanna Morgan · then Dermot A McLoughlin 23 4 11 6 Sep 15

Mill Moss (IRE)from J G Burns 17 0 1 15 Dec 12

Realdealholyfield (IRE) 16 0 2 19 Jun 15

Toretto (IRE)from Richard Brabazon · then Bernard Llewellyn 12 0 1 25 Oct 14

Little Bing Bang (IRE) 9 0 0 17 Oct 14

Cry Presto (USA)from D T Hughes 9 0 0 6 May 10

Youngnedofthehill (IRE)from R K Watson · then Shane Nolan 8 0 1 6 May 17

Wrengirl (IRE) 8 0 0 3 Jun 10

Karlidi (USA)from John M Oxx 7 0 0 28 May 16

All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D T Hughes (2) and M Halford (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Conor O'Dwyer (3) and Dermot A McLoughlin (2); 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

005133401107813

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderIan McCarthy

26% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 1.39

RiderRWSR£1

Ian McCarthy 74 5 6.8% +12.00

Robert Molloy 31 4 12.9% +2.00

N G McCullagh 30 1 3.3% −23.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£283k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 5 wins

Prince Rudi (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (grade C) Galway · Aug 2014 · Grade C

£29,250

Carlowsantana (IRE) — Ladbrokes.com Novice Handicap Chase (Grade B) Fairyhouse · Apr 2013 · Grade B

£24,375

Shamiran (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle (95-123) Punchestown · Apr 2015

£18,525

Notable horses

Prince Rudi (IRE) Carlowsantana (IRE) Shamiran (IRE) Doorock (IRE) Stormingin (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Rudimentary (USA) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).

Blue Ocean (USA) 10.8% · 4–37

Progeny have won 7.5% of 253 runs since 2008 (19 horses).

Redback (GB) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.

Polish Precedent (USA) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 7.3% of 838 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11% from 145.

Tagula (IRE) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,558 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.

Sayarshan (FR) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 5.4% of 388 runs since 2008 (51 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 285 · newest first

The latest 50 of 285 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2008 to 11 June 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Jun 17 Curragh Stormingin (IRE)J: Ross Coakley www.trm-ireland.com Handicap10f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 20/1

05 Jun 17 Gowran Park Dragon Phoenix (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Ladies Day June 24th (C & G) Maiden9.5f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 9th 66/1

05 Jun 17 Gowran Park I've Got Rhythm (IRE)J: Tom Madden Ladies Day June 24th (C & G) Maiden9.5f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 4th 100/1

23 May 17 Gowran Park I've Got Rhythm (IRE)J: Tom Madden Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 14th 50/1

21 May 17 Naas Stormingin (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Kildare Post & Kildare Now Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 18/1

14 May 17 Curragh Stormingin (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Cross' Supervalu Handicap10f · Good · 10 ran UR 16/1

06 May 17 Wexford Youngnedofthehill (IRE)J: Barry Browne Treacys Hotel Enniscorthy Supporting Wexford Camogie Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 8/1

11 Feb 17 Naas Youngnedofthehill (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 11/1

01 Dec 16 Thurles Carlowsantana (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Templemore Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Yielding · 17 ran 14th 20/1

03 Nov 16 Thurles Carlowsantana (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Two-Mile Borris Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 18 ran 6th 16/1

21 Oct 16 Dundalk (AW) Bo Bridget (IRE)J: Andrew Breslin Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Apprentice Handicap (45-65)8f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 25/1

15 Oct 16 Cork Stormingin (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Christmas Party Package Maiden8.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 1st 25/1

30 Sep 16 Gowran Park Youngnedofthehill (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy 19 Silver Package Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Good · 20 ran 6th 10/1

24 Sep 16 Navan Carlowsantana (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Racing Again Wednesday 5th October Handicap Hurdle (80-116)16f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 13th 16/1

24 Sep 16 Navan Youngnedofthehill (IRE)J: Roger Loughran Racing Again Wednesday 5th October Handicap Hurdle (80-116)16f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 4th 33/1

22 Sep 16 Curragh Bo Bridget (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Jockeys Emergency Fund Handicap (45-70)7f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 16/1

27 Aug 16 Navan Bo Bridget (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Navan Members Handicap (45-70)10f · Good · 21 ran 14th 16/1

27 Aug 16 Navan Stormingin (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Racing Again September 3rd Maiden8f · Good · 17 ran 8th 50/1

25 Aug 16 Bellewstown Youngnedofthehill (IRE)J: Roger Loughran Thetote.com Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 66/1

01 Aug 16 Naas Bo Bridget (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Palmerstown House Estate Remembering Anne Brewster Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Good · 15 ran 8th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S T Nolan's strike rate?: S T Nolan has won 17 of 285 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S T Nolan do best at?: Fairyhouse by strike rate: 1 wins from 30 runners (3.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for S T Nolan?: Ian McCarthy, with 74 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.8%).
What is S T Nolan's Fair A/E?: 1.30, from 285 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.