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Trainer profile

Sarah Lynam

346 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2023 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
25–346
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=346
83 (24%)
Placed
1.01
Fair A/E
n=346 · 0.80 incl. margin
−208.72
£1 level stake
n=346 at SP · −60.3%
£313k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 346 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Danny Sheehy: 7.6% from 79
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.00). Danny Sheehy rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.6%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (12.2%, n=139) and off a 15-30-day break (11.8%, n=110). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 39 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Tyrconnell (IRE) — 6 wins from 60 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.2
n=63 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −63.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.2
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.2
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.2%−3.0
n=24 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −20.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.2
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
47.4%
n=19 · A/E 2.04 · £1 +12.45
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.4%−0.8
n=140 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −83.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 19% vs 7.2% · n=58
With Shane Crosse 14.8% vs 7.2% · n=54
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 7.2% · n=39
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 7.2% · n=32
On Standard (AW) going 12.2% vs 7.2% · n=139
Off a 15-30-day break 11.8% vs 7.2% · n=110
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 344 25 7.3% −206.72
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 139 17 12.2% −58.22
Good 80 3 3.8% −58.50
Soft 67 3 4.5% −46.00
Good to Soft 25 2 8% −11.00
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 137 15 10.9% −66.97
Curragh 39 2 5.1% −19.00
Navan 35 2 5.7% −24.50
Naas 28 0 0% −28.00
Cork 25 2 8% −9.00
Leopardstown 21 0 0% −21.00
Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 8 1 12.5% −4.00
Down Royal 6 0 0% −6.00
Bellewstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 27 10 37% 1.71 +9.45
2nd–3rd fav 56 10 17.9% 1.31 +0.83
4th–6th fav 78 5 6.4% 0.88 −34.00
7th+ in betting 185 0 0% 0.00 −185.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tyrconnell (IRE)from Edward Lynam 60 6 21 10 Mar 23
Screen Siren (IRE)then Edward Lynam 27 4 10 18 Oct 23
Sabrina Fairchild (IRE) 23 3 10 14 Oct 21
Goodnight Girl (IRE)from Jonathan Portman 20 1 3 28 Oct 22
Irish Ambassador (IRE)then Leanne Breen 19 1 5 10 Jul 21
Royal Scholar (IRE) 16 3 8 19 Sep 22
Musical Jewel (IRE)from Edward Lynam 14 1 4 23 Oct 18
Only The Brave (USA)then Archie Watson 13 1 2 17 Jan 20
Juyush (GB)from Peter Fahey · then Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch 10 3 3 27 Aug 21
Cholita (IRE) 9 0 3 6 Dec 23
Suntory Times (IRE)from Edward Lynam 9 0 4 3 Jan 20
Freedom Chimes (GB)from Edward Lynam · then Ms Margaret Mullins 9 0 1 22 Dec 17
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Edward Lynam (5); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2960041106841012
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDanny Sheehy
23% of all rides
7.6% SR · A/E 1.15
RiderRWSR£1
Danny Sheehy 79 6 7.6% −47.75
Shane Crosse 54 8 14.8% −19.34
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
25
Archived wins
£313k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 9 wins
Additional (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Habitat' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · May 2022
£29,500
Goodnight Girl (IRE) — Tri Equestrian Handicap Curragh · Aug 2021
£12,390
Only The Brave (USA) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Claiming Race (Plus 10) Fairyhouse · Sep 2018
£12,320
Notable horses
Tyrconnell (IRE) Screen Siren (IRE) Sabrina Fairchild (IRE) Royal Scholar (IRE) Juyush (GB) Goodnight Girl (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bated Breath (GB) 9.7% · 6–62
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,178 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 855.
Slade Power (IRE) 11.5% · 7–61
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,942 runs since 2018 (208 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 127.
Elnadim (USA) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.
Raven's Pass (USA) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11.2% of 4,942 runs since 2012 (453 horses).
Clodovil (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,296 runs since 2016 (312 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 868. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 346 · newest first

The latest 50 of 346 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 May 2017 to 6 December 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Dec 23 Dundalk (AW) Cholita (IRE)J: Colin Keane Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 8/1
10 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Cholita (IRE)J: Colin Keane Bar One Racing 'Bet 10 Euro Get 50 Euro Sign Up Offer' Maiden5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 11/4
18 Oct 23 Navan Screen Siren (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Blackcastle Handicap (50-85)5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 9/2
18 Oct 23 Navan Cholita (IRE)J: Ben Coen Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 17/2
18 Oct 23 Navan Mama Bear (IRE)J: W J Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 4/1
07 Oct 23 Curragh Screen Siren (IRE)J: Colin Keane Stephen Quirke Memorial Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 10/1
26 Sep 23 Cork Screen Siren (IRE)J: Colin Keane Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Fillies Handicap6f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 6/1
02 Sep 23 Navan Cholita (IRE)J: Ben Coen Simonstown Handicap5f · Yielding · 21 ran 8th 28/1
18 Aug 23 Cork Cholita (IRE)J: Ben Coen Buy Tickets Online At www.corkracecourse.ie Handicap5f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 14/1
12 Aug 23 Curragh Screen Siren (IRE)J: Colin Keane Sheehy Motors Skoda Handicap5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 14/1
28 Jul 23 Cork Cholita (IRE)J: Ben Coen Follow Us On Social Media Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Good · 16 ran 5th 40/1
23 Jun 23 Down Royal Screen Siren (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 9/2
11 Jun 23 Navan Screen Siren (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Navan Racecourse Handicap5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 4/1
13 May 23 Navan Screen Siren (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Bellinter Handicap5f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 11/1
07 May 23 Leopardstown Cholita (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle John R Fitzpatrick Agricultural Contractor Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 11th 66/1
06 May 23 Naas Anadora (GB)J: Ben Coen Declan Landy Fencing Handicap6f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 28/1
06 May 23 Naas Screen Siren (IRE)J: James Ryan Danny Trundle Handicap (47-75)5f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 7th 11/1
20 Apr 23 Tipperary Songline (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Follow TipperaryRaces On Twitter Handicap (47-65)9f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 40/1
20 Apr 23 Tipperary Cholita (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding · 12 ran 8th 10/1
29 Mar 23 Navan Songline (IRE)J: Sorcha Woods Book Your Navan Summer BBQ Packages Apprentice Handicap (47-70)10f · Heavy · 18 ran 9th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sarah Lynam's strike rate?
Sarah Lynam has won 25 of 346 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sarah Lynam do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 15 wins from 137 runners (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sarah Lynam?
Danny Sheehy, with 79 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.6%).
What is Sarah Lynam's Fair A/E?
1.01, from 346 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).