Sean O O'Brien
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (150 runs).
The record is strongest at Cork (15.2%, n=46), clear of the yard's 9.5% baseline. It is weakest at Thurles (0% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 13.3% (n=150, Fair A/E 1.42), but debutants struggle at 4.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.73). Mark McDonagh rides 24% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.4%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (14.6%, n=123). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Colm Quinn BMW Handicap Chase at Punchestown (May 2024, £29,500). The stable star of the record: R'evelyn Pleasure (IRE) — 7 wins from 55 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 477 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 477 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 9 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 14 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Sean O O'Brien's strike rate?
- Sean O O'Brien has won 33 of 349 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sean O O'Brien do best at?
- Cork by strike rate: 7 wins from 46 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Sean O O'Brien?
- Mark McDonagh, with 85 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9.4%).
- Is Sean O O'Brien in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Sean O O'Brien's Fair A/E?
- 1.19, from 349 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.