What is Simon Crisford's strike rate?

Simon Crisford has won 234 of 1,205 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 19.4% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Simon Crisford do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 38 runners (26.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Simon Crisford?

Robert Havlin, with 152 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (17.1%).

Is Simon Crisford in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Simon Crisford's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 1,194 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Simon Crisford

1,205 runners in the lifetime window · 242 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Runners today 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

234–1,205

Wins / Runs

19.4%

Strike rate

n=1,205

543 (45%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=1,194 · 0.92 incl. margin

−22.38

£1 level stake

n=1,205 at SP · −1.9%

£3.26m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 23% off breaks of two months or more (189 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,205 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep Fresh horses: 23.3% 37.6% when favourite Robert Havlin: 17.1% from 152 Sends off the favourite in 23% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (8.2% over 49 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 23.3% (n=189, Fair A/E 1.29), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 11.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.73). Robert Havlin rides 13% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (17.1% vs 19.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (30.6%, n=49). 15 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2018, £100,885). The stable star of the record: Century Dream (IRE) — 7 wins from 19 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 19.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

23.3%+3.9

n=189 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +47.79

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.2%−1.2

n=22 · A/E 0.90 · £1 +10.18

Debutants · first career start

12.7%−6.7

n=220 · A/E 0.90 · £1 +50.71

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.8%−4.6

n=88 · A/E 0.94 · £1 +58.73

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%−8.3

n=9 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −5.50

When favourite

37.6%

n=279 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −15.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.7%−7.7

n=60 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −18.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.3%−4.1

n=98 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −21.99

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 19.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Harry Bentley 5.3% vs 19.4% · n=38

With James Doyle 32.3% vs 19.4% · n=31

Over 1m5f – 2m 30.6% vs 19.4% · n=49

At Newmarket 8.2% vs 19.4% · n=49

With Silvestre De Sousa 27.7% vs 19.4% · n=137

With debutants 12.7% vs 19.4% · n=220

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 531 114 21.5% +26.12

Good to Firm 262 51 19.5% −13.32

Good 191 32 16.8% −67.46

Good to Soft 126 21 16.7% +60.13

Soft 69 13 18.8% −17.08

Heavy 17 2 11.8% −3.50

Firm 9 1 11.1% −7.27

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chelmsford (AW) 126 25 19.8% +18.13

Wolverhampton (AW) 122 28 23% −10.20

Kempton (AW) 97 21 21.6% +42.38

Lingfield (AW) 95 21 22.1% −17.09

Newcastle (AW) 50 8 16% −22.46

Newmarket 49 4 8.2% −33.74

Ascot 45 5 11.1% −18.63

Nottingham 44 10 22.7% +2.56

Doncaster 41 9 22% −6.75

Windsor 41 6 14.6% +84.00

Goodwood 39 4 10.3% −12.40

Newmarket 39 6 15.4% −12.08

Southwell (AW) 38 10 26.3% +11.56

Sandown 37 7 18.9% −3.75

Newbury 28 4 14.3% −13.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 465 99 21.3% +37.70

Class 4 326 70 21.5% −1.33

Class 3 150 21 14% −36.80

Class 2 130 20 15.4% −9.59

Class 1 98 15 15.3% −21.99

Class 6 31 6 19.4% −4.17

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 305 109 35.7% 1.04 −26.88

2nd–3rd fav 449 82 18.3% 1.04 −58.70

4th–6th fav 329 40 12.2% 1.41 +67.20

7th+ in betting 122 3 2.5% 0.65 −4.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mutawathea (GB)from Richard Hannon 25 3 10 12 May 18

First Selection (SPA) 20 4 7 17 Nov 18

Century Dream (IRE)then Simon & Ed Crisford 19 7 11 28 Nov 19

Mordin (IRE) 16 4 11 28 Sep 19

Celebration Day (IRE) 15 4 8 2 May 18

Shamsaya (IRE) 15 3 6 19 Jan 18

Archetype (FR) 14 5 9 11 Oct 18

Maakaasib (GB) 14 3 6 4 Sep 18

Discreet Hero (IRE)from Alan McCabe · then Noel Wilson 13 3 5 28 Aug 17

Visionara (GB)then Miss Amanda Mooney 12 1 3 20 Jan 20

Maybe Today (GB)then Simon & Ed Crisford 12 3 8 5 Oct 19

Saroog (GB) 12 4 8 13 Sep 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 242 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Simon & Ed Crisford (6); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

27833141517212322172019

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Havlin

13% of all rides
17.1% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Havlin 152 26 17.1% −27.82

Silvestre De Sousa 137 38 27.7% +21.73

Jack Mitchell 130 28 21.5% −24.66

Andrea Atzeni 81 13 16% −18.89

Jim Crowley 56 12 21.4% +3.55

Graham Lee 46 13 28.3% +23.83

Oisin Murphy 46 9 19.6% +1.82

Harry Bentley 38 2 5.3% −13.00

Dane O'Neill 36 7 19.4% +20.66

James Doyle 31 10 32.3% +6.75

Paul Hanagan 31 6 19.4% −6.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

234

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.26m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 74 wins

Ostilio (GB) — Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (3yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2018 · Group 2

£100,885

Ostilio (GB) — Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2018 · Class 2

£74,700

A'Ali (IRE) — Darley Prix Robert Papin (2yo Colts & Fillies) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2019 · Group 2

£66,757

Notable horses

Century Dream (IRE) Archetype (FR) Gang Warfare (GB) Rodaini (USA) First Selection (SPA) Mordin (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 22.2% · 20–90

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,559 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Cape Cross (IRE) 27.3% · 18–66

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Dubawi (IRE) 22.4% · 11–49

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,953 runs since 2008 (1,525 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,030 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Teofilo (IRE) 17.1% · 7–41

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,076 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Shamardal (USA) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,412 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,205 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,205 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 April 2015 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Unfurled (IRE)J: Harry Davies AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 9/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Flick Of An Eye (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 11/10F

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jebayli (IRE)J: Harry Davies Awc Season 14 Has Begun Ebf Maiden Stakes (Div II) (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 5/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Quite Simple (AUS)J: Jack Mitchell AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Maiden Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 18/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Five Moons (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Boatswain (GB)J: Harry Davies Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 1st 5/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Weatheringwithyou (GB)J: Harry Davies Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 9th 28/1

13 Mar 20 Lingfield (AW) Luncies (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 5/1

07 Mar 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Rock Of Diamonds (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 6/5F

04 Mar 20 Lingfield (AW) Will To Win (GER)J: Jack Mitchell Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 11/4

04 Mar 20 Lingfield (AW) Corvair (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 6/4F

29 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) Rogue Tide (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Betway Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 7/1

29 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) Double Kodiac (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 2/1

27 Feb 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Key Look (IRE)J: Franny Norton tote.co.uk Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 7/2

19 Feb 20 Kempton (AW) Al Badr (GB)J: Jack Mitchell 32Red On The App Store Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 4th 5/2

16 Feb 20 Kempton (AW) Rogue Tide (GB)J: Jack Mitchell 32Red On The App Store Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 3rd 8/1

15 Feb 20 Newcastle (AW) Defence Girl (USA)J: P J McDonald Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/8

14 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) Rock Of Diamonds (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

08 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) Will To Win (GER)J: Jack Mitchell Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 7/4F

01 Feb 20 Kempton (AW) Key Look (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell 32Red On The App Store Fillies' Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 3rd 11/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Simon Crisford's strike rate?: Simon Crisford has won 234 of 1,205 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 19.4% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Simon Crisford do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 38 runners (26.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Simon Crisford?: Robert Havlin, with 152 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (17.1%).
Is Simon Crisford in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Simon Crisford's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 1,194 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.