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Trainer profile

Simon Earle

441 runners in the lifetime window · 55 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
35–441
Wins / Runs
7.9%
Strike rate
n=441
109 (25%)
Placed
1.09
Fair A/E
n=441 · 0.93 incl. margin
+16.53
£1 level stake
n=441 at SP · +3.7%
£260k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 441 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Andrew Thornton: 14.7% from 68
The read

Andrew Thornton rides 15% of the entries and beats the yard's average (14.7% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.85) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (16.7%, n=36) and in Chase races (15.5%, n=58). The stable star of the record: Red Not Blue (IRE) — 9 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.8%−2.1
n=137 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.9
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
Debutants · first career start
4.3%−3.6
n=23 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.7%−1.2
n=15 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −9.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.9
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
43.8%
n=16 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +3.03
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%−1.9
n=100 · A/E 0.97 · £1 +77.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 16.7% vs 7.9% · n=36
With C&D winners 16.7% vs 7.9% · n=36
On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 7.9% · n=36
In Chase races 15.5% vs 7.9% · n=58
With Andrew Thornton 14.7% vs 7.9% · n=68
With a new jockey booking 3.2% vs 7.9% · n=187
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 259 17 6.6% −105.12
Flat 94 7 7.4% −36.50
Chase 58 9 15.5% +50.15
NH Flat 30 2 6.7% +108.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 146 15 10.3% +13.50
Good to Soft 94 3 3.2% −83.35
Standard (AW) 76 5 6.6% −30.00
Soft 74 5 6.8% +101.50
Heavy 36 6 16.7% +6.88
Good to Firm 15 1 6.7% +8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 46 5 10.9% +26.50
Wincanton 39 2 5.1% −28.12
Southwell 27 5 18.5% +26.25
Uttoxeter 27 5 18.5% +11.50
Lingfield (AW) 26 1 3.8% −20.50
Kempton (AW) 25 1 4% −19.00
Hereford 17 1 5.9% −14.25
Ffos Las 15 2 13.3% +115.50
Exeter 14 3 21.4% −1.50
Towcester 14 2 14.3% −8.85
Chepstow 12 0 0% −12.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 11 2 18.2% +10.50
Leicester 11 0 0% −11.00
Huntingdon 11 0 0% −11.00
Fontwell 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 169 13 7.7% +113.88
Class 4 161 12 7.5% −63.85
Class 6 51 5 9.8% −16.00
Class 3 39 5 12.8% +3.50
Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 8 34.8% 1.35 +0.53
2nd–3rd fav 71 15 21.1% 1.42 +22.00
4th–6th fav 131 5 3.8% 0.51 −81.00
7th+ in betting 216 7 3.2% 1.18 +75.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.2% completed · 317 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 58 63.8% 5 0 16 0 0
Hurdle 259 82.6% 1 4 38 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Red Not Blue (IRE) 36 9 13 10 Jun 14
Headly's Bridge (IRE)from Augustine Leahy 30 4 13 16 Apr 17
Golden Dove (GB)from Tim Easterby · then Dan Horsford 25 1 8 26 Dec 24
Robber's Bridge (IRE)then Dan Horsford 21 2 10 16 Oct 24
Rare Clouds (GB)from Sue Smith · then Dan Horsford 20 2 9 5 Dec 24
Kavanaghs Corner (IRE)then Henry De Bromhead 19 2 10 18 Mar 19
Crimson Sand (IRE)from Richard Hughes · then Dan Horsford 15 3 7 30 Dec 24
Nivelle's Magic (GB)from Henry Candy · then Dan Horsford 15 3 7 6 Jun 24
Kilkeaskin Molly (IRE)from J P Dempsey 12 0 4 19 Oct 24
Malago Rose (IRE)then Neil Mulholland 10 1 3 21 Aug 24
Get Back To Me (IRE)from G T Hourigan 10 0 1 20 Jun 17
Snowy Valley (GB)then Paul Burgoyne 10 0 0 20 Mar 13
All 55 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 55 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Seamus Mullins (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Dan Horsford (7) and Neil Mulholland (3); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
33102109711167811
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew Thornton
15% of all rides
14.7% SR · A/E 1.85
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Thornton 68 10 14.7% +21.00
James Best 60 4 6.7% −36.62
Gerard Tumelty 50 3 6% +38.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
48
Archived wins
£328k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rare Clouds (GB) — Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Jan 2024 · Class 3
£13,203
Headly's Bridge (IRE) — Bathwick Tyres Handicap Chase Exeter · Nov 2014 · Class 3
£9,495
Kavanaghs Corner (IRE) — gg.co.uk Handicap Chase Exeter · Mar 2019 · Class 4
£7,473
Notable horses
Red Not Blue (IRE) Headly's Bridge (IRE) Saucy Night (GB) Kavi (IRE) Crimson Sand (IRE) Nivelle's Magic (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Blueprint (IRE) 20.9% · 9–43
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,670 runs since 2008 (137 horses).
Tillerman (GB) 13.3% · 4–30
Progeny have won 7.3% of 558 runs since 2008 (40 horses).
Golden Horn (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,736 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 233.
Frammassone (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 451 runs since 2008 (34 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.8% from 117.
Cloudings (IRE) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,885 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Coroner (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 5.3% of 226 runs since 2008 (26 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 574 · newest first

The latest 50 of 574 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Dec 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Gamble Responsibly At BetUK HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 7/1
26 Dec 24 Wincanton Golden Dove (GB)J: James Best Longman Cheese Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 40/1
10 Dec 24 Uttoxeter Nowyouvebinandunit (GB)J: James Best QuinnBet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 50/1
05 Dec 24 Leicester Rare Clouds (GB)J: James Best Weatherbys Global Stallions App Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 25/1
05 Dec 24 Leicester Meraki Mist (FR)J: James Best Next Meeting At LeicesterRaces Wednesday 11th December Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 14/1
02 Dec 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Weekly Free Bets With BetUK Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 12/1
21 Nov 24 Wincanton Golden Dove (GB)J: James Best Boxing Day Hospitality Available Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 18/1
11 Nov 24 Kempton Golden Dove (GB)J: James Best Watch Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 9/1
09 Nov 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Lookers Ford Sponsorship HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 6/1
27 Oct 24 Wincanton Golden Dove (GB)J: James Best Dan Skelton Supports Wincanton Charity Day Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good · 16 ran 7th 18/1
19 Oct 24 Stratford Kilkeaskin Molly (IRE)J: James Best Visit racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 25/1
17 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Betfair Exchange HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 7/1
16 Oct 24 Worcester Robber's Bridge (IRE)J: James Best Sri Lanka Awaits You Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 13/2
12 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Betfair Exchange Beacons Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 16/1
09 Oct 24 Kempton (AW) Golden Dove (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Unibet More Boosts In More Races HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 5th 10/1
27 Sep 24 Worcester Jour D'orage (FR)J: James Best Caremark Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 250/1
01 Sep 24 Worcester Kilkeaskin Molly (IRE)J: James Best Neu-Servo Superb Service Circuit Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 5th 100/1
21 Aug 24 Worcester Malago Rose (IRE)J: James Best Kidderminster Harriers At The Races Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 5th 10/3J
21 Aug 24 Worcester Jour D'orage (FR)J: James Best Terry Phillips Retirement Celebration Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 80/1
14 Aug 24 Kempton (AW) Golden Dove (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 7th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Simon Earle's strike rate?
Simon Earle has won 35 of 441 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Simon Earle do best at?
Worcester by strike rate: 5 wins from 46 runners (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Simon Earle?
Andrew Thornton, with 68 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (14.7%).
What is Simon Earle's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 441 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).