T Lemer
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (9.7% over 175 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 5.7% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.26). Olivier Peslier rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (16.2%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (22.6%, n=137). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 5.7% over 70 runners, 9.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 1: Fair A/E 0.67 across 97 runners (7.2% strike, −16.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Ris-Orangis at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (Jul 2019, £36,036). The stable star of the record: Chopastair (FR) — 7 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Oct.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 626 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 626 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2005 to 30 June 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is T Lemer's strike rate?
- T Lemer has won 91 of 607 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does T Lemer do best at?
- Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 19 wins from 100 runners (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for T Lemer?
- Olivier Peslier, with 74 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (16.2%).
- What is T Lemer's Fair A/E?
- 1.18, from 506 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.