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Trainer profile

Tiago Martins

93 runners in the lifetime window · 45 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 238 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–93
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=93
16 (17%)
Placed
1.05
n=91 · 0.86 incl. margin
−54.70
£1 level stake
n=93 at SP · −58.8%
£132k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−3.9
n=39 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −28.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−1.2
n=19 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −16.20
Debutants · first career start
3.8%−2.7
n=26 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −12.30
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5%−1.5
n=20 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −6.30
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 1.89 · £1 +1.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−6.5
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.3%−1.2
n=19 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −15.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Deauville (FR) 8.7% vs 6.5% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 56 4 7.1% −32.40
Good 14 0 0% −14.00
Soft 14 2 14.3% +0.70
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 46 4 8.7% −22.40
Chantilly (FR) 22 0 0% −22.00
Longchamp (FR) 6 1 16.7% −2.10
Toulouse 5 0 0% −5.00
La Teste De Buch 4 0 0% −4.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 2 1 50% +8.80
Nimes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Angouleme (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 19 1 5.3% −15.10

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 2 50% 1.89 +1.30
2nd–3rd fav 10 2 20% 1.63 −1.50
4th–6th fav 25 1 4% 0.57 −11.30
7th+ in betting 54 1 1.9% 0.59 −43.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
El Comandante (SPA) 10 2 5 8 Feb 25
Galilodge (FR) 7 0 1 13 Dec 25
Messina (IRE) 5 1 1 10 Sep 25
Antonella (GB) 5 0 1 27 Jul 19
Swiftway (FR) 4 0 0 2 Oct 24
It's Chico Time (IRE)from Roger Teal 3 0 0 13 Mar 25
Gym Shoes (GB)from Richard Fahey 3 0 0 17 May 15
Dikta Del Mar (SPA)then T Hogan 3 1 1 26 Oct 14
Valencia (SPA) 3 0 0 13 Mar 14
Khamalgane (FR) 2 0 0 20 Feb 26
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gaspar Vaz (2) and Joao Pedro Silva Pereira (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for J C Oliveira (3) and Mme S Gavilan (3); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
201400000013908
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Theo Bachelot 15 2 13.3% +3.30
Valentin Seguy 9 1 11.1% −6.50
Nuno Lopes Duarte 8 0 0% −8.00
Augustin Madamet 6 1 16.7% −3.20
Aurelien Lemaitre 6 0 0% −6.00
Ricardo Sousa 6 0 0% −6.00
Bruno Augusto Lopes 5 0 0% −5.00
Borja Fayos Martin 3 0 0% −3.00
Mickael Barzalona 3 0 0% −3.00
Christophe Soumillon 2 1 50% +1.90
Guillaume Guedj-Gay 2 0 0% −2.00
Hugo Mouesan 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
6
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£132k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
Dikta Del Mar (SPA) — Criterium de Vitesse () (2yo) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2014 · Listed
£22,917
El Comandante (SPA) — Prix du Cap de la Hague (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Feb 2024
£10,000
El Comandante (SPA) — Prix des Mas (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2023
£8,407

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Galiway (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.7% of 1,763 runs since 2019 (294 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.4% from 267. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 402. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 236. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.7% from 493.
Lightning Moon (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 9.1% of 22 runs since 2021 (6 horses). A small sample.
Cable Bay (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since 2019 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Dream Ahead (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,717 runs since 2015 (529 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.
Dariyan (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,141 runs since 2020 (143 horses).
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,122 runs since 2019 (564 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 161.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 93 · newest first

The latest 50 of 93 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 February 2014 to 19 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tiago Martins's strike rate?
Tiago Martins has won 6 of 93 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tiago Martins do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 46 runners (8.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Tiago Martins's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 91 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).