What is Tony Coyle's strike rate?

Tony Coyle has won 170 of 2,061 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tony Coyle do best at?

Carlisle by strike rate: 9 wins from 63 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tony Coyle?

Barry McHugh, with 740 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (7%).

What is Tony Coyle's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 2,048 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tony Coyle

2,061 runners in the lifetime window · 245 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

170–2,061

Wins / Runs

8.2%

Strike rate

n=2,061

492 (24%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=2,048 · 0.81 incl. margin

−550.45

£1 level stake

n=2,061 at SP · −26.7%

£1.42m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (81 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,061 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 25.6% when favourite Barry McHugh: 7% from 740 Headgear returns: 11.1% Claiming riders: 9% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=85, Fair A/E 0.33). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −151.00 to a £1 stake over 305 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Barry McHugh rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.2%, n=234) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (13.6%, n=140). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.6% over 115 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Friarstown Stud Sapphire Stakes at Curragh (Jul 2017, £70,800). The stable star of the record: Thatcherite (IRE) — 9 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.9%−4.3

n=305 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −151.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%−0.5

n=104 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −8.62

Debutants · first career start

3.5%−4.7

n=144 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −107.12

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.4%−5.8

n=85 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −74.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%+2.9

n=81 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +75.00

When favourite

25.6%

n=129 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −28.56

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9%+0.8

n=432 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −86.38

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.5%−5.7

n=40 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −29.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Kevin Stott 19% vs 8.2% · n=42

With Ben Curtis 16.7% vs 8.2% · n=54

With Duran Fentiman 0% vs 8.2% · n=51

Off a 0-7-day break 13.2% vs 8.2% · n=234

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 13.6% vs 8.2% · n=140

Off a break of 180+ days 2.6% vs 8.2% · n=115

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,736 138 7.9% −434.40

Hurdle 149 15 10.1% −72.13

Chase 105 13 12.4% +4.25

NH Flat 71 4 5.6% −48.17

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 538 46 8.6% −119.23

Good to Firm 450 36 8% −97.01

Standard (AW) 341 25 7.3% −87.62

Soft 326 29 8.9% −136.92

Good to Soft 316 23 7.3% −129.30

Heavy 88 11 12.5% +21.63

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Redcar 210 13 6.2% −125.57

Beverley 182 11 6% −52.30

Southwell (AW) 173 15 8.7% −17.37

Catterick 142 12 8.5% −16.92

Thirsk 125 7 5.6% −64.50

Pontefract 124 6 4.8% −38.79

Ripon 98 7 7.1% −52.67

Doncaster 91 9 9.9% +45.50

York 87 4 4.6% −67.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 80 5 6.3% −20.50

Newcastle 71 9 12.7% +0.50

Market Rasen 65 6 9.2% −16.67

Carlisle 63 9 14.3% +16.50

Wetherby 62 7 11.3% −21.00

Newcastle (AW) 60 3 5% −31.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 724 58 8% −320.13

Class 6 597 54 9% −35.06

Class 4 426 40 9.4% −86.26

Class 3 176 13 7.4% −34.50

Class 2 83 4 4.8% −30.50

Class 1 43 1 2.3% −32.00

Class 7 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 152 40 26.3% 1.01 −19.48

2nd–3rd fav 363 52 14.3% 0.87 −64.47

4th–6th fav 757 60 7.9% 1.04 −77.50

7th+ in betting 789 18 2.3% 0.71 −389.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Thatcherite (IRE)from Neville Bycroft 66 9 18 24 Jul 17

Broken Spear (GB)then Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood 63 5 19 28 Oct 23

Flower Power (GB) 57 6 15 7 Sep 21

Keep It Dark (GB)then William Knight 57 7 20 1 Jan 16

Maureb (IRE) 54 5 14 1 May 19

Lucky Landing (IRE)from Donald McCain 45 7 15 5 Jul 15

Newgate Angel (GB) 39 2 7 28 Aug 22

Ey Up It's Maggie (GB)then Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood 38 5 14 7 Nov 23

Flicka's Boy (GB)then P Monfort 37 2 11 7 May 17

Lendal Bridge (GB) 35 2 11 27 Oct 16

Little Pippin (GB) 33 3 9 21 Dec 19

Billy Cuckoo (IRE)from S L Bevan · then T H Messenger 33 5 10 16 Mar 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 245 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Roger Fell (3) and John Gosden (2); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood (6) and Michael Appleby (4); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

611105987791397

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBarry McHugh

36% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 0.85

RiderRWSR£1

Barry McHugh 740 52 7% −246.88

Dougie Costello 173 14 8.1% −61.42

Kieran Schofield 84 4 4.8% −15.00

Tom Eaves 80 4 5% −31.50

Brian Toomey 80 7 8.8% −20.87

Paddy Mathers 54 3 5.6% −38.25

Ben Curtis 54 9 16.7% +25.58

Duran Fentiman 51 0 0% −51.00

Stephen Craine 46 6 13% −1.75

Kevin Stott 42 8 19% −12.50

D M Simmonson 31 1 3.2% −20.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

170

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.42m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 27 wins

Caspian Prince (IRE) — Friarstown Stud Sapphire Stakes (group 2) Curragh · Jul 2017 · Group 2

£70,800

Caspian Prince (IRE) — Investec Corporate Banking 'Dash' Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2017 · Class 2

£61,590

Caspian Prince (IRE) — Betway Conditions Stakes (Qualifier) Newcastle (AW) · Jan 2018 · Class 2

£18,903

Notable horses

Thatcherite (IRE) Keep It Dark (GB) Lucky Landing (IRE) Flower Power (GB) Broken Spear (GB) Maureb (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 9.5% · 11–116

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Sir Percy (GB) 11.3% · 11–97

Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,153 runs since 2011 (473 horses).

Excellent Art (GB) 5.6% · 5–89

Progeny have won 9.9% of 4,555 runs since 2011 (298 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 451.

Paco Boy (IRE) 9.9% · 8–81

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,450 runs since 2014 (269 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 103.

Verglas (IRE) 13.2% · 9–68

Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).

Bollin Eric (GB) 10.2% · 6–59

Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 126. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.6% from 257. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 101.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,061 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,061 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2011 to 2 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Feb 24 Newcastle (AW) Golden Prosperity (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 22/1

02 Feb 24 Newcastle (AW) Tantastic (GB)J: Brandon Wilkie Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 9/1

27 Jan 24 Newcastle (AW) Urban Dandy (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen Betuk. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 10/3

25 Jan 24 Newcastle (AW) Urban Dandy (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Find More Big Deals At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 4/1

25 Jan 24 Newcastle (AW) Qaabil (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Boost Your Acca At Betmgm Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 10/1

17 Jan 24 Newcastle (AW) Golden Prosperity (IRE)J: David Nolan Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 14/1

17 Jan 24 Newcastle (AW) Tantastic (GB)J: Tom Eaves Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 17/2

16 Jan 24 Newcastle (AW) Urban Dandy (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

16 Jan 24 Newcastle (AW) Qaabil (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 25/1

09 Jan 24 Southwell (AW) Qaabil (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 18/1

06 Jan 24 Southwell (AW) Urban Dandy (IRE)J: Tom Eaves BetUK. Its Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/2

05 Jan 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Golden Prosperity (IRE)J: David Nolan BetUK's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 5/1

05 Jan 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Tantastic (GB)J: Tom Eaves BetUK's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 8/1

29 Dec 23 Southwell (AW) Tantastic (GB)J: Tom Eaves Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 25/1

07 Dec 23 Southwell (AW) Selby's Pride (GB)J: Cam Hardie BetMGM: It's Showtime HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 16/1

07 Dec 23 Southwell (AW) Qaabil (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 28/1

24 Nov 23 Southwell (AW) Selby's Pride (GB)J: Tom Eaves Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 20/1

15 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Selby's Pride (GB)J: Ben Robinson Stay In Control At BetUK Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 8/1

14 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Urban Dandy (IRE)J: Tom Eaves BetUK Take Time Out During SGWeek23! HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

07 Nov 23 Newcastle (AW) Selby's Joy (GB)J: Tom Eaves Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tony Coyle's strike rate?: Tony Coyle has won 170 of 2,061 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tony Coyle do best at?: Carlisle by strike rate: 9 wins from 63 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tony Coyle?: Barry McHugh, with 740 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (7%).
What is Tony Coyle's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 2,048 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.