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Trainer profile

Turlough O'Connor

171 runners in the lifetime window · 56 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 78 days ago 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–171
Wins / Runs
1.2%
Strike rate
n=171
7 (4%)
Placed
0.58
Fair A/E
n=171 · 0.46 incl. margin
−157.25
£1 level stake
n=171 at SP · −92.0%
£24,252
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 4% off breaks of two months or more (48 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 171 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4.2% Mr T O'Connor: 1.6% from 129 Claiming riders: 1.3%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 4.2% (n=48, Fair A/E 1.44). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −143.25 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mr T O'Connor rides 75% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.6%, A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well in Chase races (5.1%, n=39). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 109 runners (0% strike, −109.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.2%+3.0
n=48 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −34.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.8%+3.6
n=21 · A/E 2.30 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.2
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.2
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.2
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.3%+0.1
n=157 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −143.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 5.1% vs 1.2% · n=39
On Heavy going 3.5% vs 1.2% · n=57
In Hurdle races 0% vs 1.2% · n=109 · A/E 0.00
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 1.2% · n=60 · A/E 0.00
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 1.2% · n=60 · A/E 0.00
On Soft going 0% vs 1.2% · n=56 · A/E 0.00
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 109 0 0% −109.00
Chase 39 2 5.1% −25.25
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 57 2 3.5% −43.25
Soft 56 0 0% −56.00
Good 41 0 0% −41.00
Good to Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 28 0 0% −28.00
Cork 26 1 3.8% −16.00
Limerick 19 0 0% −19.00
Killarney 14 0 0% −14.00
Thurles 14 1 7.1% −10.25
Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Tramore 6 0 0% −6.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 1 50% 3.07 +1.75
4th–6th fav 21 1 4.8% 1.06 −11.00
7th+ in betting 148 0 0% 0.00 −148.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.8% completed · 148 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 39 74.4% 1 0 9 0 0
Hurdle 109 84.4% 0 0 17 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Nibbles (IRE) 17 0 1 6 Apr 26
Taketwotoone (IRE) 11 0 1 13 Aug 26
Bal Kauto (FR)then Declan Queally 10 0 0 22 Jan 23
Cloudy Tuesday (IRE) 9 1 2 29 Apr 25
Keyser Smokesy (IRE) 8 0 0 22 Aug 26
Desert Maid (IRE) 7 0 1 28 Jul 21
Baccalaureate (FR)from Eoin Doyle · then Jimmy Frost 7 0 0 2 Aug 16
Aunty Kitty (IRE) 6 0 0 9 Jun 17
Cloudy Wednesday (IRE)then Caroline Fryer 5 0 0 6 Jan 22
Eugenious (IRE) 4 0 0 29 Nov 24
Amenon (FR)from Paul Nicholls · then S Wynne 4 0 0 23 Apr 24
Freddie's Frontier (IRE)from Micky Hammond 4 0 0 18 Apr 23
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Harry Fry (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Declan Queally (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
009000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr T O'Connor
75% of all rides
1.6% SR · A/E 0.70
RiderRWSR£1
Mr T O'Connor 129 2 1.6% −115.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
2
Archived wins
£24,252
Prize money
2021
Best season · 1 win
Harry The Lemmon (IRE) — Coolmore N.h. Sires Leading Light & Ocovango Maiden Hunters Chase Cork · Mar 2016
£6,150
Cloudy Tuesday (IRE) — Templemore Maiden Hunters Chase Thurles · Mar 2021
£5,900
Notable horses
Cloudy Tuesday (IRE) Harry The Lemmon (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cloudings (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,887 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,861 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Well Chosen (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 12.6% of 1,924 runs since 2008 (156 horses).
Balko (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,664 runs since 2011 (297 horses).
Tikkanen (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,014 runs since 2009 (170 horses).
Papal Bull (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,584 runs since 2012 (131 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.5% from 172. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.3% from 122.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 171 · newest first

The latest 50 of 171 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 December 2014 to 22 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Keyser Smokesy (IRE)J: Kevin A Murphy Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 15th 28/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Rockstar Rebel (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor ML Lynch Civil Engineering Ltd. Maiden Hurdle (Div I)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 11th 300/1
13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Taketwotoone (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Bluegrass Horse Feeds Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 12th 22/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Rockstar Rebel (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Bank Of Ireland Brendan Maloney Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 500/1
03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Taketwotoone (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17f · Good · 16 ran 5th 80/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Shireen Murphy (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Christy Lucey Transport Mares Finale (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 12 ran 6th 125/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Keyser Smokesy (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 7th 300/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Taketwotoone (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor D. Ivo O'Sullivan Memorial Irish EBF Mares Hurdle20.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 200/1
11 May 26 Killarney Gin Coco (FR)J: Mr T O'Connor Thorn Plant Hire Hunters Chase23f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 18/1
09 May 26 Killarney Breeze Of Tobruk (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Killarney Avenue Hotel Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 200/1
16 Apr 26 Limerick Cloghoula More (IRE)J: Mr N Corkery Sinbin Events Flat Race19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 8th 250/1
16 Apr 26 Limerick Breeze Of Tobruk (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Locke Burger Mares Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 500/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Nibbles (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor John Thomas McNamara Series Maiden Hunters Chase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 13th 33/1
05 Apr 26 Cork Cloghoula More (IRE)J: Mr N Corkery Ampion Ltd. Electrical And Testing (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Yielding · 16 ran 15th 150/1
05 Apr 26 Cork Breeze Of Tobruk (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Dermot Casey Tree Care Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 9th 150/1
29 Jan 26 Thurles Nibbles (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Racing Again February 5th Maiden Hunters Chase25f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 20/1
08 Jan 26 Clonmel Taketwotoone (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Tipperary Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 66/1
08 Jan 26 Clonmel Nibbles (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Rathronan Maiden Hunters Chase20.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 40/1
29 Dec 25 Limerick Nibbles (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor Grant Thornton Maiden Hunters Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 28/1
27 Dec 25 Limerick Taketwotoone (IRE)J: Mr T O'Connor D & J Glazing Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran 12th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Turlough O'Connor's strike rate?
Turlough O'Connor has won 2 of 171 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Turlough O'Connor?
Mr T O'Connor, with 129 runners since 2008 — 75% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (1.6%).
What is Turlough O'Connor's Fair A/E?
0.58, from 171 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).