7:15 Cork
A 21-runner handicap over a mile at Cork on good ground promises to be a typically competitive affair at this level. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched, underlining the modest standard of the whole field, with Highbury See See heading the ratings on 59. Most runners are held-up types, which aligns with the race's lone-leader pace shape that could hand an uncontested advantage to the one horse prepared to go forward.
How the race shapes up
With only one clear front-runner in the field and little pressure expected up front, the pace shape points to an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for closers to overcome. Expound is the sole horse with a strong front-running profile and is likely to bowl along, while the majority of the field, including the selection, will be held up off that pace. The key question is whether any of the late runners can bridge the gap in the straight or whether the leader will get away.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Highbury See See KTB Selection59/100
Highbury See See is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. He steps up to 1m for the first time in a while having won at the trip earlier in his career though he has looked stretched by it on most attempts. The trainer holds a modest record at Cork while the jockey has a solid 16% strike rate here from a small sample. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be giving the likely uncontested leader a start. His recent form figures read 040309 and he carries a KTB Fit of 59.
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2Star Strewn56/100
Star Strewn is a modest performer who has been below form since a promising third on debut. He steps up to 1m for the first time today after a string of ordinary efforts at shorter trips. The trainer has a modest 7% strike-rate at Cork while the jockey is operating at a 5% strike-rate here. Usually held up, he will need to find plenty from off the pace if the leader gets an easy time. His recent form reads 3-1897 and he is rated 56 on KTB Fit.
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3Expound53/100
Expound is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. He drops back from 1m4f to a trip where he has placed but never won, which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer's modest 4% strike rate at Cork from a big sample is a negative. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he is perfectly placed to take advantage of the lone-leader shape and set an uncontested gallop. Recent form is -54047 and his KTB Fit is 53.
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4Comfort Line50/100
Comfort Line is a modest performer who has been in and out this season. He has a win at this trip on his record but showed little when well held on his only previous run at Cork. The trainer's modest strike rate here adds little confidence. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be among the closers trying to reel in the leader. His recent form figures are 256413 and he is rated 50 on KTB Fit.
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5Holy Lettuce49/100
Holy Lettuce is a modest performer who has shown some ability on his four starts, finishing second over this trip on his only visit to Cork. He steps back up to 1m today having last run over 7f, a move that looks a fair question given he is placed but unproven as a winner at the distance. The trainer has a 10% strike rate from 222 runs at Cork while the jockey is operating at 15% from 641 rides here. Usually held up, though with limited evidence, he will be coming from off the pace. Recent form reads 5247 and his KTB Fit is 49.
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6Blues Emperor48/100
Blues Emperor is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on this track, finishing third here on his penultimate start. He steps up from 7f today having won four times at a mile in the past, and his record on good ground is respectable with three wins from 15 starts. The trainer has only had one previous runner at Cork so that remains an unknown.
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7Sherekiya48/100
Sherekiya is a modest filly who has shown ordinary form in five starts, finishing no better than third. She has placed once at this trip but is drawn widest of all in stall 12 and faces stronger opposition here. The Weld yard has a solid 17% strike rate at Cork while Hayes is operating at 7%.
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8Autumn Twist44/100
Autumn Twist is a modest performer who has been out of form for some time and is drawn widest of all in stall 20. She has placed once from two runs at Cork and holds a solid record on good ground with four wins from ten starts. She drops back sharply in trip from a recent 2m1f run where she showed little.
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9Trumph44/100
Trumph is a modest performer who has shown very little in four runs and was well held when sixth over this trip here last time. First-time headgear is now applied in the hope of sparking some improvement. Trainer and jockey both have solid but unspectacular records at Cork.
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10Coasting44/100
Coasting has shown modest ability in three starts with a best effort of fourth on debut. He failed to build on that at this track last time and has no win or place from two runs at this trip. The yard and jockey both have modest records here with strike rates of 7% and 8% respectively.
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11Storm Averted43/100
Storm Averted is a modest performer who has been out of form on his last two starts. He steps up to 1m for the first time today having been placed without winning at the trip previously, while he has also shown some competitiveness on good ground. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 15 runs at Cork and the horse makes its first appearance here.
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12Little Miss P43/100
Little Miss P is a modest performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and now makes her first visit to Cork. She has been competitive on good ground without winning and has placed at today's trip, but overall form remains ordinary. The trainer holds a 7% strike-rate here from 43 runs.
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13Greek Flower42/100
Greek Flower is a modest performer who has been consistent enough without winning for a while and arrives here in ordinary form. She has run twice at Cork without placing and steps up to 1m for the first time today having looked stretched at 7f last time. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at the track.
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14Navagio40/100
Navagio is a modest performer who has placed twice from three starts at Cork without winning. He has shown some competitiveness on good ground with five places from eight runs yet remains winless at this trip despite one success in 18 attempts. The trainer's poor 2% strike-rate at the track is a clear negative while the jockey fares only marginally better.
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15Gloriously Glam40/100
Gloriously Glam is a modest performer who has won twice at this trip from 13 attempts and has placed six times from 11 runs on good ground. She has been out of the frame on her last three starts and was only seventh of 14 when she tried this track once before. The trainer operates at a 9% strike rate from 23 runs at Cork.
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16Elusive Duke40/100
Elusive Duke is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning. He is placed on his only previous try at Cork and handles good ground, though he is now 0-17 and drops back in trip today having failed to make the frame in three previous runs at this distance. The trainer remains without a winner from 28 runs at the track while Colin Keane brings solid course form.
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17Wegotogether37/100
Wegotogether is a modest performer who showed improved form when winning over this trip last time. He has placed on good ground and was a respectable third here on his only previous visit to Cork. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at the track.
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18All Hail37/100
All Hail is a modest performer who has struggled since a placed effort on good ground last season. He steps up to 1m for the first time today having looked stretched at 7f on recent starts. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at Cork.
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19Cladach37/100
Cladach is a modest performer who has shown little impact in six runs to date and finished a remote ninth on his only previous visit to Cork. He drops back to a trip at which he has placed once without winning, though the small sample makes it hard to be certain how the return to 1m will suit. Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien holds a 12% strike rate here from 505 runs while Declan McDonogh is on 9% from 616 rides at the track.
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20Navajo Point35/100
Navajo Point is a modest performer who showed improved form when winning at this trip last time. He has run just once at Cork, finishing sixth, and holds a 0-5 record on good ground. Trainer has a modest 3% strike rate here from 60 runs while the jockey is 5% from 62 rides.
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21Go Out35/100
Go Out is a modest performer who has shown occasional spark but remains winless after 14 starts. He has placed once on good ground and once at this trip without getting his head in front, while the wide draw in stall 21 adds another complication. Trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Cork is established from a decent sample, though the jockey has too few rides here to draw any firm conclusions.
KTB verdict
Highbury See See is the KTB Selection. Although a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year, he does have previous winning form at the trip and is the top-rated on KTB Fit. The held-up run style is not ideal given the uncontested lead likely to be enjoyed by Expound, but the selection can still produce a late effort if the pace collapses. Main dangers include the front-running Expound who could prove hard to peg back, Holy Lettuce who has placed over course and distance, and the in-and-out Comfort Line.
KTB Selection Highbury See See
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:10 UTC, 9 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Highbury See See | 3/1 | Bet365 |
| Star Strewn | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Expound | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Comfort Line | 16/1 | Bet Victor |
| Holy Lettuce | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Blues Emperor | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Sherekiya | 8/1 | Coral |
| Autumn Twist | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Trumph | 25/1 | BetTom |
| Coasting | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Storm Averted | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Little Miss P | 22/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Greek Flower | 9/1 | BetTom |
| Navagio | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Gloriously Glam | 18/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Elusive Duke | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Wegotogether | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| All Hail | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Cladach | 6/1 | Bet Victor |
| Navajo Point | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Go Out | 16/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 7:15 Cork. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Cork racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Cork results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Who is likely to make the running?
Expound is the sole front-runner in the field and is expected to take an uncontested lead given the lone-leader pace shape.
How many previous course winners are in the field?
None of the 21 runners have a win at Cork on their record.
Which horses have winning form over this 1m trip?
Highbury See See, Comfort Line, Wegotogether and Navajo Point have all won at a mile.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Cork?
D K Weld has a 17% strike rate at Cork from 828 runs.
Which jockey has the best strike rate at Cork from the available data?
Sam Coen has a 16% strike rate at Cork from 19 rides.
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