4:02 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 4 restricted maiden fillies' stakes over 1m 142y at Wolverhampton brings together a field of 13 two-year-olds, most of whom have limited racecourse experience and several making their first start on the all-weather surface. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Heavenly Parole just heading the list on 50, followed closely by Zorya and Turtle Star on 49. With no obvious leader in a steadily-run, tactical affair, the ability to settle handy and produce a finishing effort at the right time is likely to prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a clear leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being handy should pay dividends. Several runners prefer to settle in midfield or be held up, which could leave the front rank relatively thin. The key question is which of the more forward-going types can secure a decent early position without using up too much energy, allowing them to quicken off what should be an even gallop in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Heavenly Parole KTB Selection50/100
Heavenly Parole brings the highest KTB Fit rating of 50 into this race having had just one run, when she finished eighth over 7f on this track. The step up to 1m today poses a fresh question of a filly whose ability remains largely unknown, yet the yard's 18% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 731 runs offers some encouragement. Callum Shepherd takes the mount and holds a 12% strike rate at the track from 809 rides. Lightly raced and drawn in stall 3, she is open to improvement and is taken to come out on top in what looks a modest event.
-
2Zorya49/100
Zorya is a newcomer from Marco Botti's yard which operates at a steady 16% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 1315 runs. Silvestre De Sousa is in the saddle on what appears a typical first-time-out project, and the trainer-jockey combination has produced a 26% strike rate together from 74 runners. With no racecourse evidence and only low data confidence available, her chance will be clearer once she has shown her hand. By Mohaather, she is bred to appreciate the trip and could make a pleasing debut in a race that lacks depth.
-
3Turtle Star49/100
Turtle Star has shown little in two starts over sprint trips so far and now steps up markedly to 1m, which asks a fresh question of a horse with only two runs on the clock. The yard's 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 397 runs offers no particular encouragement, while Callum Hutchinson has a 6% strike rate at the track from 215 rides. She typically settles in midfield and is drawn widest of all in stall 13. Unproven on the surface, she will need to improve markedly to figure.
-
4London Rose48/100
London Rose has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing sixth and eighth, and now drops in class while stepping up to this trip which poses a fresh question. The small sample makes it impossible to judge how the going or the track will suit, although the yard holds a 13% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 422 runs. Cam Hardie rides a filly who is usually held up and produces her effort late. With no course form on record she remains difficult to assess with any confidence.
-
5Gordons Girl47/100
Gordons Girl ran only once as a newcomer and finished seventh, and now steps up from 7f to this 1m trip which asks a fresh question of a horse with very limited overall data. The yard has a modest 11% strike rate from a big sample here at Wolverhampton while Jack Mitchell has a 17% strike rate at the track from 1045 rides. She is usually held up and produces her effort late. Unproven on the surface, she will need to show significant improvement to play a leading role.
-
6Kiss Cam47/100
Kiss Cam has shown only limited ability in four runs and was well held when sixth on his only visit here. The step up in trip poses a fresh question for a horse who has never been placed, though the yard holds a solid 17% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 511 runs.
-
7Garden Maze46/100
Garden Maze is a newcomer from a yard that has a solid 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a large sample. The wide draw in stall 11 adds a negative on this tight track and with no racecourse form the assessment rests on low data confidence.
-
8Tommo's Queen45/100
Tommo's Queen is a limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date and now steps up in trip for the first time which asks a fresh question. The Easterby yard has a modest 6% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 136 runs.
-
9Queens Bandit44/100
Queens Bandit is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The yard has a modest 13% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 16 runs and pedigree will have to carry the assessment given the low data confidence.
-
10Mystic Ballistic44/100
Mystic Ballistic has shown only modest form in two runs over shorter trips and now steps up to 1m which asks a fresh question of this lightly raced 2-year-old. The small sample makes any firm conclusions risky and the yard has a 4% strike rate from 25 runs at Wolverhampton.
-
11Ilikethewayumove43/100
Ilikethewayumove is a newcomer with no racecourse experience and only low data confidence behind the assessment. The yard has a 10% strike rate from 562 runs at Wolverhampton.
-
12Uisce Domhain43/100
Uisce Domhain is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The pedigree offers the only clues here but data confidence remains low and the yard has a 0% strike rate from five runs at Wolverhampton.
-
13Lunar Blossom36/100
Lunar Blossom has shown only limited ability in three runs to date and now steps up in trip wearing first-time headgear. The yard posts a 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a big sample while Luke Morris has a solid record at the track, though she remains largely unexposed.
KTB verdict
Heavenly Parole is named the KTB Selection. Lightly raced with just one run to go on, she finished eighth over 7f here and now steps up to 1m in a race that lacks depth and where the KTB numbers suggest she holds an edge. The yard's healthy strike rate at the venue and her favourable draw add to the appeal. Main dangers are the newcomers Zorya, who benefits from the booking of Silvestre De Sousa for a yard that knows its way around here, and Garden Maze from the Balding stable, though the wide draw is a concern. Turtle Star and London Rose are next in the KTB Fit order but both need to improve on what they have shown so far.
KTB Selection Heavenly Parole
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 18 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Heavenly Parole | 35/1 | 7Bet |
| Zorya | 11/4 | 7Bet |
| Turtle Star | 50/1 | 7Bet |
| London Rose | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Gordons Girl | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Kiss Cam | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Garden Maze | 4/1 | William Hill |
| Tommo's Queen | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Queens Bandit | 17/2 | William Hill |
| Mystic Ballistic | 30/1 | 7Bet |
| Ilikethewayumove | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Uisce Domhain | 15/2 | BoyleSports |
| Lunar Blossom | 15/2 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:02 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit rating?
Heavenly Parole on 50/100.
How many of these runners have previous experience at Wolverhampton?
Four: Heavenly Parole, Kiss Cam, Lunar Blossom and one run each for the others listed.
What is the trainer strike rate at Wolverhampton for the yard of the KTB Selection?
18% strike rate at Wolverhampton (AW) from 731 runs.
Which runner is wearing first-time headgear?
Lunar Blossom.
What is the expected pace shape of the race?
Lacks a leader — likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies