5:05 Doncaster
A field of 13 runners lines up for the 5:05 Doncaster, division two of a Class 4 handicap over 7f on heavy ground. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Itsatenfromlen just heading the list on 60, followed closely by Prosperitas on 59 and Gold Queen Kindly on 55. Several fair performers are present, many with proven ability on testing conditions or at the trip, though questions remain around course form and heavy-ground experience for a number of them.
How the race shapes up
With a strong pace confidently expected, two or more habitual front-runners are set to take the field along at a good clip. Itsatenfromlen, Freddie Steady Go and Magic Boy are all inclined to lead or race prominently, while Prosperitas, Spirit Genie, Kosometsuke and Highland Olly like to race handily. This shape could see the pace collapse in the closing stages, which would play into the hands of hold-up performers such as Gold Queen Kindly, Feel The Need, Stanage, Tolstoy and Invincible Boy. The key question is which of the prominent runners can sustain the gallop without folding late.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Itsatenfromlen KTB Selection60/100
Itsatenfromlen is a fair performer who has won on heavy ground and at this trip. He drops back from a mile for his first start at Doncaster. The trainer records a 7% strike rate at the track from 203 runs, in line with the yard's overall figure, while the jockey's 8% from 336 rides sits below his 12% elsewhere. With a recent form line of 719-05 and an official rating of 82, he tends to make the running or race prominently. He has won once and been placed once from two starts on heavy ground. As the KTB selection he holds the highest Fit rating of 60 in what looks a competitive heat.
-
2Prosperitas59/100
Prosperitas is a fair performer who has won both his starts on heavy ground and also landed a race over this trip. He has already won once from two runs at Doncaster and arrives in reasonable form having been placed twice this year off similar marks. The trainer and jockey both operate at their usual level here while the wide draw in a big field is simply noted. His recent form reads 01-044 from an official rating of 80. He usually races handily on or close to the lead. With two wins from two on heavy and a course success already on his record he must enter calculations.
-
3Gold Queen Kindly55/100
Gold Queen Kindly is a fair performer who has been consistent without winning lately and steps up from 6f to 7f where she has placed twice in three runs. She has only one previous run at Doncaster when she finished fourth and she is unproven on heavy ground. First-time headgear is now added from stall 13 of 13. Her recent form reads 023476 from an official rating of 81 while she is dropping in class. She usually races held up and produces her effort late. The trainer records a 12% strike rate at Doncaster from 171 runs and the jockey an 8% from 313 rides.
-
4Spirit Genie53/100
Spirit Genie is a fair performer on his day but has been hit and miss this year and ran no sort of race when last seen. He has shown some aptitude for heavy ground with a win and three places from six starts yet his three runs at Doncaster have produced no win or place. Dropping back to 7f is a plus as he has four wins from 18 starts at the trip. His recent form reads 780157 from an official rating of 79. He usually races handily on or close to the lead. The trainer records an 8% strike rate at the track from 158 runs and the jockey a 10% from 100 rides.
-
5King's School52/100
King's School is a modest performer who has run 36 times in the last year and shown consistent but limited ability from an official rating of 74. He has placed once on heavy ground from a single run and holds four wins from 25 starts at today's trip, though his sole visit to Doncaster produced only a fifth. The trainer operates at a 10% strike rate here in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey has no recorded rides at the track. His recent form reads 258535. He typically settles in midfield. With a KTB Fit of 52 he sits on the fringes of the main contenders.
-
6Freddie Steady Go52/100
Freddie Steady Go is a fair performer who arrives in solid form having won at this trip on his only previous attempt. He drops back from a mile while making his first start at Doncaster on heavy ground where he is completely unproven. The trainer records an 8% strike rate here in line with their overall figure while the jockey is 0 from 53 rides at the track which is below his rate elsewhere. He tends to make the running or race on the pace.
-
7Kosometsuke51/100
Kosometsuke is a fair performer on official ratings with a mixed recent record that includes a win and two places from nine starts at this trip. He steps up from 6f today having already won over 7f but showed no spark on his only previous run on heavy ground. The yard has a 7% strike rate at Doncaster from 609 runs which sits below their 10% elsewhere while Sean Kirrane is 4% from 80 rides here in line with his overall figure. He usually races handily.
-
8Feel The Need50/100
Feel The Need is a fair horse who has been placed once from three runs at Doncaster and has won four times at today's trip. He showed his best recent form when winning a 7f handicap at Redcar two starts ago but was well held last time and has failed to place in two runs on heavy ground. The trainer and jockey both operate at their usual 10-12% strike rates here. He usually races held up.
-
9Stanage48/100
Stanage is a fair handicapper who has won once from seven runs at Doncaster and holds a solid record on heavy ground with one win and two places from three starts. He arrives in decent form after a recent win and has three wins from 15 starts at this trip. The Easterby yard and Joanna Mason both operate at a 6-7% strike rate here which sits in line with their figures elsewhere. He usually races held up.
-
10Tolstoy46/100
Tolstoy is a modest performer who has won once from five runs at Doncaster and three times from 17 starts at this trip. He has a heavy-ground run with no placed effort and his recent form has been patchy. The trainer's 7% strike rate at the track is below his overall figure while the jockey's 9% is in line with his record elsewhere. He usually races held up.
-
11Magic Boy46/100
Magic Boy is a fair performer who has run creditably on several occasions this year without winning. He showed some promise when fourth over course and distance on his only visit here but has no experience of heavy ground which adds a question mark. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Doncaster is below his record elsewhere while the jockey operates at a steady 7% here. He tends to make the running or race on the pace.
-
12Highland Olly44/100
Highland Olly is a fair handicapper who has placed at this track without winning and drops back to 7f having won three times at the distance from 19 attempts. He has been competitive on heavy ground from one run and his recent form of 175305 shows a mix of results at this level. The trainer's 6% strike rate at Doncaster is in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey's 4% strike rate here sits below his 10% at other courses. He usually races handily.
-
13Invincible Boy43/100
Invincible Boy is a modest performer who has shown some ability on this track with a placed effort here last season. He has handled heavy ground in the past and the yard's modest strike rate at Doncaster is in line with their record elsewhere. Jockey Cam Hardie also records a 5% strike rate at the course which matches his wider figures. He usually races held up.
KTB verdict
Itsatenfromlen is the KTB selection. A fair performer with a win on heavy ground and at this trip, he drops back from a mile for his first run at Doncaster while boasting a prominent run-style that should see him take a share of the expected strong pace. The selection has the highest KTB Fit rating and his heavy-ground record reads positively. Main dangers are Prosperitas, who has won both starts on heavy and already scored at the course, and Gold Queen Kindly, who steps up in trip with first-time headgear and could be suited by a late collapse. Spirit Genie and Stanage also have claims if the race develops as expected.
KTB Selection Itsatenfromlen
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 1:04am, 24 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Itsatenfromlen | 25/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Prosperitas | 11/4 | 7Bet, 1:04am |
| Gold Queen Kindly | 9/1 | Bet Victor, 1:04am |
| Spirit Genie | 20/1 | Bet Victor, 1:04am |
| King's School | 14/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Freddie Steady Go | 10/3 | Bet Victor, 1:04am |
| Kosometsuke | 14/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Feel The Need | 16/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Stanage | 11/2 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Tolstoy | 7/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Magic Boy | 16/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Highland Olly | 33/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Invincible Boy | 40/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
This is the narrative read of the 5:05 Doncaster. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Doncaster racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Doncaster results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Doncaster racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the strong pace?
Itsatenfromlen, Freddie Steady Go and Magic Boy tend to make the running or race on the pace while Prosperitas, Spirit Genie, Kosometsuke and Highland Olly usually race handily.
Which runners are unproven on heavy ground?
Gold Queen Kindly has no runs on heavy, Freddie Steady Go is completely unproven, Magic Boy has no experience of the ground, and Kosometsuke showed no spark on his only previous run on heavy.
Who has the best course record among the principals?
Prosperitas has won once from two runs at Doncaster; Itsatenfromlen has no course form, Gold Queen Kindly finished fourth once, Spirit Genie has three runs without a win or place, and King's School finished fifth on his sole visit.
Which hold-up horses could benefit if the strong pace collapses?
Gold Queen Kindly, Feel The Need, Stanage, Tolstoy and Invincible Boy are all usually held up and produce their effort late.
How many wins has Itsatenfromlen recorded on heavy ground?
Itsatenfromlen has one win from two starts on heavy ground.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies