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Jockey profile

Donagh O'Connor

2,580 rides in the lifetime window · 1,005 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
183–2,580
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=2,580
534 (21%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=2,578 · 0.82 incl. margin
−947.33
£1 level stake
n=2,580 at SP · −36.7%
£2.51m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 140 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (180 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,580 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Mar 29.8% when favourite J F Levins: 8.5% from 756 LTO winners: 17.2% Claiming: 8% Rides the favourite in 5% of races
The read

It is weakest at Galway (1.7% over 60 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.2% (n=180, Fair A/E 1.37). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −482.17 to a £1 stake over 1,005 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. J F Levins supplies 29% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.5%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Jebel Ali Racecourse And Stables Anglesey Stakes at Curragh (Jun 2026, £41,230). The standout partner of the record: Prisoner's Dilemma (GB) — 7 wins from 36 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5%−2.1
n=1,005 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −482.17
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.2%+10.1
n=180 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −16.32
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.7%−1.4
n=423 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −81.09
When favourite
29.8%
n=131 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +0.95
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8%+0.9
n=1,026 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −409.73
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.8%−1.3
n=1,420 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −580.14
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.3%−0.8
n=64 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +88.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 17.2% vs 7.1% · n=180
With Robson De Aguiar 13% vs 7.1% · n=123
With P J F Murphy 0% vs 7.1% · n=32
With Damian Joseph English 12.2% vs 7.1% · n=115
With C&D winners 10.8% vs 7.1% · n=399
At Galway 1.7% vs 7.1% · n=60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 980 89 9.1% −356.49
Good 614 25 4.1% −338.17
Soft 521 36 6.9% −93.88
Good to Firm 162 12 7.4% −41.50
Heavy 155 10 6.5% −59.12
Good to Soft 148 11 7.4% −58.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 959 86 9% −348.37
Curragh 253 9 3.6% −182.79
Leopardstown 166 6 3.6% −120.67
Gowran Park 156 8 5.1% −57.50
Naas 134 12 9% −28.64
Navan 131 4 3.1% −99.50
Fairyhouse 103 6 5.8% −43.50
Cork 101 10 9.9% +54.00
Bellewstown 82 5 6.1% −60.07
Killarney 67 6 9% +2.50
Limerick 61 2 3.3% −40.00
Galway 60 1 1.7% −50.50
Tipperary 53 3 5.7% −22.00
Down Royal 52 5 9.6% −17.00
Roscommon 47 4 8.5% +108.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 64 4 6.3% +88.38
Class 6 14 6 42.9% +23.21
Class 5 11 2 18.2% +0.00
Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 163 47 28.8% 1.29 +9.95
2nd–3rd fav 379 62 16.4% 1.17 −37.78
4th–6th fav 639 49 7.7% 1.00 −145.50
7th+ in betting 1,399 25 1.8% 0.62 −774.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Brokopondo (IRE) 39 3 13 30 Nov 18
Prisoner's Dilemma (GB) 36 7 15 11 Oct 24
Tai Sing Yeh (IRE) 35 6 15 23 Sep 24
Nordic Passage (IRE) 30 4 8 26 Jul 24
Your Pal Tal (GB) 29 4 10 5 Apr 19
Geological (IRE) 28 3 4 26 Jul 22
Mulgrave (IRE) 27 6 7 19 Dec 25
Eleuthera (GB) 27 5 10 22 Jul 22
Chimeric (IRE) 23 2 4 21 Oct 24
Kinch (IRE) 22 2 9 10 Jun 21
Nigg Bay (IRE) 22 1 6 9 Jun 21
Palavicini Run (IRE) 22 1 3 9 Jul 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,005 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1315126679543810
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJ F Levins
29% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 1.04
TrainerRWSR£1
J F Levins 756 64 8.5% −208.05
John C McConnell 499 23 4.6% −247.96
Robson De Aguiar 123 16 13% −34.66
Damian Joseph English 115 14 12.2% +5.85
David Marnane 114 10 8.8% −45.71
Ross O'Sullivan 111 12 10.8% +98.04
Garvan Donnelly 55 6 10.9% −10.00
James McAuley 42 2 4.8% −26.80
P J F Murphy 32 0 0% −32.00
K J Condon 31 2 6.5% −19.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
183
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£2.51m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 22 wins
Ballinea Star (IRE) — Jebel Ali Racecourse And Stables Anglesey Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · Jun 2026 · Group 3
£41,230
Chally Chute (IRE) — Comer Group International Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · Nov 2025 · Group 3
£35,400
Ipanema Queen (IRE) — Doneraile Handicap Cork (IRE) · Jul 2026
£30,000
Notable horses
Prisoner's Dilemma (GB) Tai Sing Yeh (IRE) Mulgrave (IRE) Tribal Path (IRE) Eleuthera (GB) Nordic Passage (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dark Angel (IRE) 8.3% · 6–72
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 12.9% · 9–70
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Mehmas (IRE) 11.8% · 8–68
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,243 runs since 2020 (755 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 3.9% · 2–51
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Bushranger (IRE) 6.5% · 3–46
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).
Dandy Man (IRE) 11.4% · 5–44
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,580 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,580 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 July 2014 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Flanker Jet (GB)T: Robson De Aguiar BAR 1 Betting '2Up Early Payout' Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 25/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Chally Chute (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 8/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Spodo Komodo (GB)T: John James Feane Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 9th 40/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Cracks And Sparks (GB)T: A Oliver Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 4th 25/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Palace Fever (IRE)T: W. McCreery Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 14/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Caislean Ni Cuan (IRE)T: Thomas Mullins View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 33/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Rejoinder (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 9/2
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Darlene (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar Premiere Weekend Race & Dine Packages From €75pp Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 6 ran 2nd 9/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) San Aer (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 6th 10/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) San Juan De Lope (IRE)T: P. Twomey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 6/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) All Hail (IRE)T: John McConnell Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mudyrk (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 5/4F
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kokoshanelle (IRE)T: Ms Sheila Lavery Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 16/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) John La Bear (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 12/1
25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Chally Chute (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Prix Royal-oak (group 1)Class 1 · 15.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 6/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Shamrock Flame (GB)T: Robson De Aguiar Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 4/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Celtic Comet (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 16/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ipanema Queen (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 14/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cyclone Code (IRE)T: Simon Cavanagh Fastfix Quay Celtic 60th Anniversary Nursery Handicap5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 7/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Karakula (GB)T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 17th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Donagh O'Connor's strike rate?
Donagh O'Connor has won 183 of 2,580 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Donagh O'Connor do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 10 wins from 101 rides (9.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Donagh O'Connor ride most for?
J F Levins, with 756 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (8.5%).
Is Donagh O'Connor in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Donagh O'Connor's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 2,578 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).