Jimmy Derham
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 170 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (64 rides). Rode mostly for Seamus Mullins — 47% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Towcester (19.6%, n=46), clear of the rider's 10.1% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.2% (n=64, Fair A/E 1.06), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=118, Fair A/E 0.76). Seamus Mullins supplied 47% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.6%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well beyond 3m (18.5%, n=81). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.7% over 112 rides, 7.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–Jun.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 690 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 690 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 December 2006 to 7 September 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jimmy Derham's strike rate?
- Jimmy Derham has won 69 of 681 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jimmy Derham do best at?
- Towcester by strike rate: 9 wins from 46 rides (19.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jimmy Derham ride most for?
- Seamus Mullins, with 318 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (11.6%).
- What is Jimmy Derham's Fair A/E?
- 1.11, from 679 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.