Skip to content
Jockey profile

Mr Alex Ferguson

181 rides in the lifetime window · 115 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2019
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
20–181
Wins / Runs
11%
Strike rate
n=181
41 (23%)
Placed
0.90
Fair A/E
n=181 · 0.77 incl. margin
−103.97
£1 level stake
n=181 at SP · −57.4%
£143k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, across both codes, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 181 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=42, Fair A/E 1.04). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 7.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −79.40 to a £1 stake over 115 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The rider also read well in Class 6 (24.2%, n=33) and over 1m5f – 2m (18.4%, n=49). The record read poorly on Soft going — 2.2% over 45 rides, 8.8pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle at Newbury (Dec 2017, £28,475). The standout partner of the record was High Bridge (GB) — 5 wins from 8 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.8%−3.2
n=115 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −79.40
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.6%+2.6
n=22 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −14.17
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5%−6.0
n=40 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −34.25
When favourite
50%
n=24 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +7.65
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11%+0.0
n=136 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −84.22
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.8%−6.2
n=42 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −29.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.9%−5.1
n=17 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −13.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 6 24.2% vs 11% · n=33
On Soft going 2.2% vs 11% · n=45
Over 1m5f – 2m 18.4% vs 11% · n=49
Off a 15-30-day break 16.9% vs 11% · n=65
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 5.3% vs 11% · n=38
On Good to Soft going 16.1% vs 11% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 76 6 7.9% −61.57
Flat 70 9 12.9% −22.25
Chase 19 2 10.5% −10.90
NH Flat 16 3 18.8% −9.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 63 8 12.7% −35.84
Soft 45 1 2.2% −43.00
Good to Soft 31 5 16.1% −16.38
Good to Firm 23 3 13% −1.00
Standard (AW) 14 2 14.3% −5.00
Heavy 5 1 20% −2.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newbury 13 3 23.1% −4.25
Cheltenham 10 0 0% −10.00
Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00
Catterick 8 4 50% +16.83
Aintree 7 0 0% −7.00
Worcester 7 1 14.3% −4.12
Fakenham 7 0 0% −7.00
Huntingdon 7 2 28.6% +0.62
Fontwell 6 0 0% −6.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Ludlow 5 0 0% −5.00
Stratford 5 0 0% −5.00
Ascot 5 1 20% −1.75
Plumpton 5 0 0% −5.00
Windsor 5 1 20% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 58 4 6.9% −42.40
Class 4 41 4 9.8% −24.17
Class 6 33 8 24.2% +0.85
Class 3 23 3 13% −15.50
Class 1 17 1 5.9% −13.75
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 28 14 50% 1.44 +11.15
2nd–3rd fav 33 5 15.2% 0.88 −1.12
4th–6th fav 56 1 1.8% 0.21 −50.00
7th+ in betting 64 0 0% 0.00 −64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jaleo (GER) 9 1 3 14 Apr 18
High Bridge (GB) 8 5 6 10 Feb 18
Hyperlink (IRE) 8 1 2 25 Aug 14
Leoncavallo (IRE) 7 0 1 15 Nov 17
Cayman Islands (GB) 6 1 1 20 Dec 15
Royal Etiquette (IRE) 5 1 1 7 Jul 16
Gucci D'oro (USA) 4 2 2 22 Aug 13
Sausalito Sunrise (IRE) 3 1 2 24 May 19
Bardista (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Jan 18
Pink Ribbon (IRE) 3 0 1 29 Jul 17
Ruacana (GB) 3 0 0 9 Apr 16
Mondlicht (USA) 3 0 0 3 Jul 15
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 115 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1414069015162915720
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardBen Pauling
24% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 0.96
TrainerRWSR£1
Ben Pauling 44 5 11.4% −31.67
John Ferguson 31 4 12.9% −18.40
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
20
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£143k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 6 wins
High Bridge (GB) — Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Listed Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Feilden Hurdle) Newbury · Dec 2017 · Listed
£28,475
Cliffs Of Capri (GB) — Amateur Jockeys Association Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders) Ascot · Oct 2018 · Class 3
£8,111
Jaleo (GER) — Jack Deeley Memorial Handicap Hurdle Lingfield · Dec 2016 · Class 3
£7,596
Notable horses
High Bridge (GB) Gucci D'oro (USA) Jaleo (GER) Hyperlink (IRE) Cayman Islands (GB) Royal Etiquette (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cape Cross (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
New Approach (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,793 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.
Shirocco (GER) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,185 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Monsun (GER) 62.5% · 5–8
Progeny have won 15.8% of 2,243 runs since 2008 (250 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 19.6% from 276. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 150.
Royal Applause (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Danehill Dancer (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 181 · newest first

The latest 50 of 181 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 July 2013 to 4 October 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 19 Ascot Cliffs Of Capri (GB)T: Jamie Osborne Amateur Jockeys Association Handicap (Gentleman Amateurs)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/2
25 May 19 York Muraahin (GB)T: Jamie Osborne John Wright Electrical Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 12/1
24 May 19 Worcester Sausalito Sunrise (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Gwillam's Annual Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23f · Good · 4 ran 4th 11/10F
15 Apr 19 Hexham Sausalito Sunrise (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Smooth Radio Plays Whitney And Madonna Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 1st 11/10F
25 Mar 19 Lingfield (AW) Dove Mountain (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Betway Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 15/2
21 Mar 19 Chepstow Sausalito Sunrise (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Faucets Delivering New Rada Products In 2019 Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd EvensF
15 Mar 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Monumental Man (GB)T: Jamie Osborne Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 7/1
25 Feb 19 Plumpton Clondaw Bisto (IRE)T: Suzy Smith Howden Sport And Equine Insurance Amateur Riders' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 8/1
28 Jan 19 Ludlow Todd (GB)T: Olly Murphy A.J.A Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 10/1
15 Jan 19 Lingfield Gamekeeper Bill (GB)T: Alan Bailey Watch The Bettingpeople Videos starsportsbet.co.uk Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 8/1
01 Jan 19 Fakenham Apachee Prince (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Norfolk's Finest Drinkers Amateur Riders' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 6 ran PU 8/1
20 Nov 18 Fakenham Foxtrot Juliet (GB)T: Olly Murphy MF Sporting Ltd - Fitzroy's 60th Amateur Riders' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran F 7/4F
29 Oct 18 Leicester Suzi's Connoisseur (GB)T: Stuart Williams Fosse Way Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 14/1
26 Oct 18 Doncaster See The Sea (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Amateur Jockeys Association Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 17th 20/1
05 Oct 18 Ascot Cliffs Of Capri (GB)T: Jamie Osborne Amateur Jockeys Association Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 1st 9/4F
22 Sep 18 Newmarket Tenor (IRE)T: John Ryan CJ Murfitt Ltd Amateur Riders' Cambridgeshire HandicapClass 3 · 9f · Good · 7 ran 7th 40/1
24 Aug 18 Salisbury Carlini (IRE)T: Brian Meehan Shipseys Marquees Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 8th 33/1
23 Aug 18 Stratford Ataman (IRE)T: Olly Murphy Sims Financial Amateur Riders' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 5/1
26 Jul 18 Worcester Walk Waterford (GB)T: Olly Murphy Please Support Marie Curie Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 22/1
12 Jul 18 Doncaster Sunrize (IRE)T: David O'Meara Fozzy's Developments Ltd Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Alex Ferguson's strike rate?
Mr Alex Ferguson has won 20 of 181 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Alex Ferguson's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 181 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).