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Jockey profile

Robert Havlin

9,459 rides in the lifetime window · 4,502 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1,244–9,459
Wins / Runs
13.2%
Strike rate
n=9,459
3,229 (34%)
Placed
1.00
n=9,405 · 0.86 incl. margin
−2,426.85
£1 level stake
n=9,459 at SP · −25.7%
£17.6m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 500 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (934 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 9,459 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 13.8% 40.2% when favourite John Gosden: 22.5% from 2,101 LTO winners: 20.8% Rides the favourite in 13% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (27.1%, n=236), clear of the rider's 13.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.8% (n=934, Fair A/E 1.02), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.8% (n=1,093, Fair A/E 1.03). John Gosden supplies 22% of the rides and beats the rider's average (22.5% vs 13.2%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 70 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Fillies' Mile at Newmarket (Oct 2022, £299,854). The standout partner of the record: Salute (IRE) — 7 wins from 41 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
11.3%−1.9
n=4,430 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −1,387.12
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20.8%+7.6
n=934 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −150.37
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
13.8%+0.6
n=1,498 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −451.07
When favourite
40.2%
n=1,270 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −70.38
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−13.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.8%−5.4
n=1,093 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −295.49
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.1%−1.1
n=556 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −112.59

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Newcastle (AW) 27.1% vs 13.2% · n=236
With John Gosden 22.5% vs 13.2% · n=2,101
With John & Thady Gosden 21.6% vs 13.2% · n=1,119
On last-time-out winners 20.8% vs 13.2% · n=934
With Rod Millman 2.4% vs 13.2% · n=82
With Alexandra Dunn 1.7% vs 13.2% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 9,455 1244 13.2% −2,422.85
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 5,023 698 13.9% −1,291.63
Good to Firm 1,575 204 13% −404.14
Good 1,396 168 12% −237.20
Good to Soft 694 74 10.7% −308.11
Soft 578 75 13% −126.24
Heavy 124 19 15.3% −28.99
Firm 69 6 8.7% −30.54

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton 1,479 167 11.3% −493.63
Lingfield 1,338 158 11.8% −469.96
Wolverhampton (AW) 917 143 15.6% −133.02
Chelmsford (AW) 638 96 15% −146.86
Southwell (AW) 412 69 16.7% −8.86
Newmarket 404 58 14.4% −33.09
Newmarket 373 35 9.4% −134.95
Yarmouth 364 52 14.3% −41.88
Windsor 328 36 11% −98.96
Doncaster 259 44 17% −18.97
Newbury 245 20 8.2% −107.75
Sandown 240 21 8.8% −110.61
Newcastle (AW) 236 64 27.1% −49.60
Nottingham 230 31 13.5% −72.77
Ascot 225 19 8.4% −86.84

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 3,479 505 14.5% −1,090.17
Class 6 2,150 218 10.1% −445.09
Class 4 1,981 275 13.9% −541.45
Class 3 635 94 14.8% −169.17
Class 2 591 82 13.9% −52.68
Class 1 556 67 12.1% −112.59
Class 7 63 2 3.2% −25.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1,433 545 38% 1.07 −105.30
2nd–3rd fav 2,405 413 17.2% 0.99 −431.75
4th–6th fav 2,853 224 7.9% 0.98 −626.80
7th+ in betting 2,768 62 2.2% 0.68 −1,263.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hereford Boy (GB) 29 3 9 19 Jul 12
Buxton (GB) 29 4 9 4 Mar 11
Bravo Echo (GB) 28 2 9 26 Feb 16
Maison Brillet (IRE) 27 3 9 24 Jan 18
Storm Melody (GB) 25 4 7 31 Dec 23
Sweet William (IRE) 24 7 21 18 Jun 26
Where's Susie (GB) 24 1 7 28 Nov 13
Ask The Guru (GB) 23 1 5 27 Aug 20
Doctor Hilary (GB) 23 3 7 12 Feb 15
Audience (GB) 21 5 11 25 Sep 26
Burnt Cream (GB) 21 2 7 8 Jan 16
Maggie Kate (GB) 20 2 8 15 Feb 10
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 4,502 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady
2 from 15 13.3% · +0.1pts vs baseline
Last 14 days13.3%
Lifetime base13.2%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
141214151112141313141216
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn Gosden
22% of all rides
22.5% SR · A/E 1.08
TrainerRWSR£1
John Gosden 2,101 473 22.5% −223.48
John & Thady Gosden 1,119 242 21.6% −144.49
Michael Attwater 413 27 6.5% −201.58
Ed Dunlop 295 30 10.2% −71.17
Hughie Morrison 242 29 12% +13.92
S Woods 234 37 15.8% −11.10
Roger Ingram 231 12 5.2% −135.13
Amanda Perrett 218 21 9.6% −88.87
Dean Ivory 181 18 9.9% −69.87
Simon Crisford 153 26 17% −28.82
Peter Chapple-Hyam 139 15 10.8% −49.33
Mark Usher 98 10 10.2% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
1,365
Archived wins
70
Pattern / graded wins
£18.5m
Prize money
2018
Best season · 126 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Commissioning (GB) — bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1) Newmarket · Oct 2022 · Group 1
£299,854
Audience (GB) — Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Str) Newbury · May 2024 · Group 1
£226,840
Audience (GB) — HKJC World Pool Lennox Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2024 · Group 2
£102,078

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dubawi (IRE) 22.5% · 59–262
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,996 runs since 2009 (1,531 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Oasis Dream (GB) 11.8% · 26–221
Progeny have won 11.7% of 18,052 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Frankel (GB) 26.3% · 57–217
Progeny have won 18% of 7,548 runs since 2016 (883 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 271.
Kingman (GB) 23.7% · 47–198
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,535 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 8.9% from 123.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 24.1% · 46–191
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,992 runs since 2013 (1,119 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 460. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 10.3% · 18–175
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 11,064 · newest first

The latest 50 of 11,064 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 7 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 8 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 9 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Robert Havlin's strike rate?
Robert Havlin has won 1,244 of 9,459 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Havlin do best at?
Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 64 wins from 236 rides (27.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robert Havlin ride most for?
John Gosden, with 2,101 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 473 (22.5%).
Is Robert Havlin in form?
In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 13.2% since 2008.
What is Robert Havlin's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 9,405 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).