3:01 Thurles
This 17-runner Boyle Sports Handicap (Division II) over 1m69y at Thurles on good ground looks a competitive but modest affair. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Miss Glenville just heading the ratings on 55, followed closely by Covert Legend (53), Glamazon (52), Chou Chou (51) and Grey Intentions (48). Most of the field carries limited ability according to the KTB assessments, and with the race lacking an obvious leader it shapes as a steadily-run, tactical contest where positioning and timing will be key.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a lack of any confirmed front-runner, pointing to a steadily-run affair in which being handy or timing a late run effectively will pay. With the vast majority of runners, including all five principals, sharing a held-up run-style, the race is likely to develop into a tactical sprint for the line in the straight. The key question is whether any horse can produce a telling effort off a steady gallop from the rear, or whether one of the more prominently-placed runners can steal an advantage in a race that may not truly test stamina.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Miss Glenville KTB Selection55/100
Miss Glenville is the KTB Selection. She is a limited performer who has shown little in five runs and was well beaten on her most recent start. She drops back in trip today having been unsuccessful in her only previous try at this distance. The Paul Power yard has a solid 13% strike rate at Thurles from 15 runs with an A/E of 2.18. She is held up, usually producing her effort late, and is unproven on good ground with no course form on record. She went off at SP in a field of 14 last time.
-
2Covert Legend53/100
Covert Legend is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last five starts and showed little spark when last seen. He steps up in trip today having won once over this distance from 14 attempts, though his record on good ground is modest with no wins or places from six runs. The Aidan Melia yard has no recorded runs at Thurles while the jockey is also making a first appearance here. He is held up, usually producing his effort late, and went off at SP in a field of 14 on his latest start. The combination of the trainer-jockey partnership has produced a 3/10 record with an A/E of 2.30 and +£9.00 LSP.
-
3Glamazon52/100
Glamazon is a modest performer with a very mixed record this year and only one placing from her last six starts. She drops back to 1m having been placed at the trip earlier without winning, while she has shown some competitiveness on good ground with two placings from six runs. The Paul W Flynn yard has a 7% strike rate from 55 runs at Thurles with an A/E of 0.99, and the jockey has a 0% strike rate from 13 rides here. She is held up, usually producing her effort late, and this is her first run at the track. The trainer-jockey partnership shows a 7/76 record with an A/E of 1.67 and +£74.00 LSP.
-
4Chou Chou51/100
Chou Chou is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last three starts and showed little at this track on his only previous visit. He drops back to 1m having been placed once at the trip without winning, while first-time headgear is now tried. The Eamonn O'Connell yard has an 8% strike rate from 25 runs at Thurles with an A/E of 1.34, and the jockey has a 13% strike rate from 16 rides here. He has placed three times from 14 starts on good ground and is held up, usually producing his effort late. He went off at SP in a field of 14 last time.
-
5Grey Intentions48/100
Grey Intentions is a limited performer who has shown very little in six starts and was well beaten when last seen. He drops back from 1m5f to 1m today which looks a more suitable distance on paper though he has already been tried twice at this trip without success. The Eddie & Patrick Harty yard has a 20% strike rate at Thurles from a small sample of five runs with an A/E of 0.95, and the jockey has a 10% strike rate from 69 rides here. He is held up, usually producing his effort late, and has had one run on good ground without winning or placing. The trainer-jockey partnership shows a 3/46 record with an A/E of 0.74 and -£32.17 LSP.
-
6Desert Swing48/100
Desert Swing is a modest performer who has shown very little in three starts to date, finishing no better than ninth. He drops back in trip today having been well held over 1m2f last time, though he has already tried this distance without success. First-time headgear is now fitted but the yard has only had two runners at Thurles so far with a 0% strike rate and A/E of 0. He is held up and is unproven on good ground with no course form.
-
7Queen Aethelflaed47/100
Queen Aethelflaed is a modest performer with a solid recent record at this track, having won her only start here. She drops back to a trip she has won twice from six attempts though she was well held over slightly further last time. The yard has a modest 5% strike rate from 179 runs at Thurles with an A/E of 0.62, and the jockey is 0-2 here. She is held up and is 0-4 on good ground.
-
8Duchess Anne47/100
Duchess Anne is a limited performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning. She has been competitive on good ground with three placings from six runs and is dropping back to a trip where she has already placed once. The trainer has a modest 9% strike rate at Thurles from 43 runs with an A/E of 0.82. She is held up.
-
9Elusive In Mayo45/100
Elusive In Mayo is a limited performer who has shown very little in three starts to date. Dropping back from 1m4f to an untried 1m poses a fresh question while the wide draw is no help. The trainer has a modest 5% strike rate from 19 runs at Thurles with an A/E of 0.95. He is held up and has had one run on good ground without winning or placing.
-
10Prada's World44/100
Prada's World is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts this year after a modest 3yo campaign. He steps up markedly in trip from a recent 5f run having failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts at this distance. The trainer holds a 10% strike rate at Thurles from 30 runs with an A/E of 1.21. He is held up and has had one run on good ground without winning or placing.
-
11Tariff43/100
Tariff is a limited horse who has shown little spark in nine starts this year and finished no closer than sixth on his last two outings. He steps up in trip today having failed to make the frame in three previous tries at this distance while his yard has a 0% strike rate from five runs at Thurles with an A/E of 0. He has been competitive on good ground once from four starts and is held up.
-
12Princess Chloe43/100
Princess Chloe is a limited performer who has shown just flashes of ability, most recently finishing fifth in a handicap at Down Royal. She has placed once at this trip and on good ground but lacks a win in either sphere and her overall record is modest. The trainer has a 6% strike rate at Thurles from 66 runs with an A/E of 0.73. She is held up and this is her first run at the track.
-
13Master Garvey40/100
Master Garvey is a limited performer who has been on the go a long time and shown only modest form this year. He has placed twice from eight runs on good ground and won once over today's trip, though the strike-rate at the distance is low. This is his first run at Thurles and the trainer has no recorded runners here. He is held up.
-
14Ramair40/100
Ramair is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and finished well beaten on his only previous run on good ground. He has placed once at this trip but has otherwise struggled to make an impact. The trainer has only four runs at Thurles so far which is too small a sample to judge with a 0% strike rate. He is held up.
-
15Aghadrum Boy34/100
Aghadrum Boy is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts so far. He has failed to trouble the judge in three runs at this trip and the yard is currently 0-8 at Thurles with an A/E of 0. Going suitability remains unknown with such a light record on good ground. He is held up.
-
16Saith Seren33/100
Saith Seren is a limited performer who has been consistent enough without winning in recent starts. He steps up in trip today having been placed twice at this distance earlier in his career though he has failed to place in four runs on good ground. The trainer has a modest 5% strike-rate at Thurles from 63 runs with an A/E of 0.62. He is held up.
-
17La Campanella32/100
La Campanella is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in 12 starts and arrives here in ordinary form. She steps up in trip for the first time in first-time headgear while the trainer has a modest 2% strike-rate at Thurles from 90 runs with an A/E of 0.3. Ground looks suitable enough on the small sample available on good. She is held up.
KTB verdict
Miss Glenville is the KTB Selection in a race where the majority of runners are rated as limited or modest performers. She heads the KTB Fit Scores and represents a yard with a strong record at Thurles, even if her own form is modest and she remains unproven on good ground. The selection will need to improve on recent efforts but the steadily-run nature of the race could suit her held-up style if she can produce her effort at the right time. The main dangers are likely to come from Covert Legend, who steps up in trip, and Glamazon, who has shown some competitiveness on good ground, along with Chou Chou in first-time headgear.
KTB Selection Miss Glenville
This is the narrative read of the 3:01 Thurles. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Thurles racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Thurles results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Miss Glenville the KTB Selection despite limited form and being unproven on good ground?
She tops the KTB Fit Scores on 55 and the trainer has a solid 13% strike rate at Thurles from 15 runs with an A/E of 2.18.
How is the race expected to be run given the pace shape and run-styles?
Lacks a leader with medium confidence so it is likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays; almost all runners including the principals are held up.
Which horses are trying headgear for the first time?
Chou Chou, Desert Swing and La Campanella are all in first-time headgear.
Which runner has previous winning form at Thurles?
Queen Aethelflaed has won her only start at the track.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Thurles among those with runners?
The Eddie & Patrick Harty yard has a 20% strike rate at Thurles from five runs with an A/E of 0.95.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies