5:02 Downpatrick

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Western Model65/100

   Form 5-8314 · Andrew Kinirons · Conor Smithers(7)

   Western Model arrives with a KTB Fit of 65 and is a useful performer boasting solid recent form that includes a win and a fourth last time out. The Andrew Kinirons yard posts a 38% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 2.96 from 16 runs, though the 1/8 record with Conor Smithers is more modest. He has placed on his only visit to the track and acts well on good ground with one win and three places from five starts. The trip is ideal, as he has two wins from four attempts at this distance. Usually held up, he will be produced late in a race where the uncontested lead may make life tough for closers.

2. 2Mickey Cohen KTB Selection65/100

   Form 312-45 · Noel Meade · Donagh Meyler

   Mickey Cohen is rated 65 on KTB Fit and is the selection. A smart performer, he has already won over this course and stays the longer trip well enough to have been placed at it. Recent form is a shade patchy yet the underlying ratings still stack up, while Noel Meade's 23% strike rate at Downpatrick from 405 runs adds confidence. Donagh Meyler operates with a 17% strike rate here and an A/E of 1.25 from 82 rides, above the course average. He has been placed twice from nine starts on good ground and boasts a record of one win from two course visits. Usually held up, his ability to produce a late effort will be tested by the lone leader's uncontested advantage.

3. 3Anodandawink64/100

   Form 3-9211 · Ciaran Murphy · Peter Smithers(5)

   Anodandawink carries a KTB Fit of 64 and is a smart performer who has won his last two starts and therefore arrives in form. He has already placed over this trip and on this ground, though he could only finish second when tried here once before. The Ciaran Murphy stable has a modest 3% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.38 from 34 runs, a clear negative, while Peter Smithers rides with an 11% strike rate and A/E of 1.23 from nine rides. With two wins from three starts on good ground he handles the surface, and his held-up style means he will be relying on the leaders coming back to him in a race with an uncontested front-runner.

4. 4Jackson Lamb63/100

   Form -P7525 · John McConnell · Eoghan Finegan(5)

   Jackson Lamb is rated 63 on KTB Fit and is a smart performer with solid course knowledge after winning here from just two starts. He has been placed on good ground with three wins from 11 starts and his recent form suggests he remains competitive at this level. John McConnell has a 12% strike rate at Downpatrick from 312 runs, but the combination with Eoghan Finegan shows a modest 4% strike rate and A/E of 0.38 from 27 rides for the jockey. The step up in trip is an unknown and his held-up run style will need to overcome the clear advantage held by the expected lone leader.

5. 5Littlebiggie63/100

   Form 7P-480 · Ray Hackett · Liam Quinlan

   Littlebiggie is another on 63 KTB Fit and is a smart performer on the balance of his ratings and race history. He steps up in trip today having won at this distance in the past though his most recent efforts have been modest. Ray Hackett brings a solid 14% strike rate at Downpatrick from 14 runs, yet the 8% record with Liam Quinlan from 142 runs is more ordinary. He has been placed four times from eight starts on good ground without winning and has no course form on record. Usually held up with high confidence, he will be coming from the rear in a contest shaped by an uncontested lead.

6. 6Tell Nobody Nothin61/100

   Form 461-P8 · Noel Meade · Sam Ewing

   Tell Nobody Nothin is a useful performer who has won over this track and placed when tried at today's trip. Recent form has been patchy but Noel Meade's strong record here and Sam Ewing's solid strike-rate at Downpatrick add encouragement, while the ground looks fine on the balance of his career figures.

7. 7Driveonwill60/100

   Form -U1U01 · Ross O'Sullivan · Keith Donoghue

   Driveonwill is a smart performer with solid course connections having won twice from four runs here. Recent form has been in and out with two wins and two unseats in his last four starts while he steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge on his only previous attempt at this distance. Both trainer and jockey have established if modest records at Downpatrick.

8. 8Howdoyalikeherhome59/100

   Form 48F044 · John McConnell · Alex Harvey

   Howdoyalikeherhome is a smart performer who has been largely consistent this year without winning. He steps up in trip having been placed once in three runs at this distance and has a solid record on good ground. John McConnell holds a 12% strike rate here from 312 runs while Alex Harvey is operating at 10% from 77 rides.

9. 9Ringdufferin58/100

   Form 4-8260 · A L T Moore · Ricky Doyle

   Ringdufferin is a smart performer who has won over this trip and landed a race here. He drops back from 3m1½f having shown some spark when second at this track in May. Both trainer and jockey have modest strike rates at Downpatrick.

10. 10Gorthill52/100

    Form P-5P20 · Stephen Carlin · J J Slevin

    Gorthill is a useful performer who has won over this trip and scored once from seven starts at Downpatrick. Recent form has been patchy with two pulled-ups in his last three runs and he steps up markedly in distance today. The trainer remains winless from five runs at the track while the jockey operates at a solid 10% strike-rate here.

11. 11Wild Mandate51/100

    Form 0-51P9 · Mark Michael McNiff · Phillip Enright

    Wild Mandate is a useful performer who has shown some spark on his better days but has been out of form for a while and failed to complete last time. He has only modest course form here with a fifth on his sole visit and first-time headgear is now reached for. The trainer has a solid 13% strike rate at Downpatrick while the jockey operates at 9%.

12. 12Malton Groove49/100

    Form -7236F · Dermot A McLoughlin

    Malton Groove is a fair handicapper who has placed without winning at this trip and on this ground. He showed his only visit to Downpatrick with a solid second and has been competitive in recent runs when avoiding falls. The trainer holds a 9% strike rate here from a large sample.

13. 13Shantou Show47/100

    Form P-73P5 · Noel C. Kelly · Ms E Dunseath(7)

    Shantou Show is a useful performer who has won over this trip and at this track. He drops back from three miles having shown some spark when third here last time, though his overall profile is patchy with two pulled-ups in his last five starts. The trainer's modest 7% strike-rate at Downpatrick is worth noting while the claiming jockey has had too few rides here to judge.

14. 14Walkmethroughit46/100

    Form 77PP-7 · Kieran Callaghan

    Walkmethroughit is a fair performer who has struggled since early promise, with recent form reading 77PP-7. He steps up in trip today having failed to make the frame in two previous tries at this distance, while two runs on good ground have also failed to produce a win or place. The trainer has no recorded runs at Downpatrick.

15. 15Following Orders46/100

    Form -09PF0 · P J Rothwell · Shane O'Callaghan(3)

    Following Orders is a useful performer who has been out of form lately with a string of poor efforts including a fall and a pulled-up run. He has only a modest course record here with a fifth on his one visit and steps up in trip today having shown little at 2m3f last time. Both trainer and jockey have established but below-average records at Downpatrick.

16. 16Schiehallion45/100

    Form 2-P5P0 · Dermot A McLoughlin · Alix Balfe(7)

    Schiehallion is a fair performer who has shown some ability around here without ever winning. He has been out of form for most of this season and his record on good ground is poor. First-time headgear is tried as he drops back in trip today.

17. 17Jimli's Cave43/100

    Form P0-559 · R K Watson

    Jimli's Cave is a fair handicapper who knows this track, having won here from 11 runs. He has placed three times at today's trip without winning and has been competitive on good ground without scoring. The yard's modest 3% strike rate at Downpatrick is a negative.

18. 18Dearg Mor41/100

    Form 08-444 · Aidan Anthony Howard · Simon Torrens

    Dearg Mor is a fair performer who has shown consistent form of late with three placed efforts from his last four starts. He steps up in trip today having been well held in his only previous try at this distance, while the yard's modest record at Downpatrick adds a negative. The jockey has a low strike rate here from a large sample of rides.