7:55 Roscommon
A 19-runner 3-year-old handicap over 1m4f17y at Roscommon on good ground looks a competitive and open affair at this level. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top end with no standout standout, the top five all rated between 49 and 59, underlining the modest nature of the whole field. Most runners remain limited on what they have shown to date and several are stepping up or down in trip while trying new headgear or unproven ground.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner the pace shape is expected to be muddling and tactical, which should play to those ridden close to the pace rather than those at the back of the field. The majority of the field are held-up types who produce their effort late, so the race is likely to be decided by which of these can time their run best off a steady gallop. The key question will be whether any horse can get into a workable position early enough without using up too much energy in what could become a sprint for the line in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Wipeawayyourtears KTB Selection59/100
Wipeawayyourtears is the KTB Selection and rates the most solid of a modest bunch. This limited horse has shown fair placed form here and over this trip, including a third on his only previous visit to Roscommon. He steps up in distance again today having won once from two starts at 1m4f while the good ground has produced a win from four runs on it. Michael Butler holds a solid 11% strike-rate at Roscommon from 35 runs and Gavin Ryan has an 8% record from 62 rides at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the muddling, tactical pace shape.
-
2Nathema52/100
Nathema is the second highest rated on KTB Fit and has shown some consistency lately, finishing second over this trip last time out. This limited performer has a placed effort at the distance from three attempts but remains modest on overall form. Andrew Slattery has a solid 12% strike rate at Roscommon from a big sample of 155 runs while the jockey is operating at 9% from 77 rides here. Usually held up and producing effort late, he should be suited by the tactical pace. He remains unproven on good ground, which adds an element of uncertainty.
-
3Tintinabulla51/100
Tintinabulla is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date. He steps up in trip again today with first-time headgear applied while connections remain in reasonable form at this track with an 11% strike rate for the trainer from 63 runs. The jockey has a 13% strike rate at Roscommon from eight rides. He has one run on good ground with no win or place and it remains too early to judge how he handles the surface. Usually held up, he will need the muddling pace to unfold in his favour.
-
4Priorstown50/100
Priorstown is a limited performer on his four starts to date and the recent form figures offer little encouragement. He steps up markedly in trip today while wearing first-time headgear, both unknowns that could improve him but equally may not. J P Murtagh and Ben Coen both have solid records at Roscommon, the trainer at 14% from 124 runs and the jockey at 15% from 134 rides. He remains unproven on good ground. Usually held up, he will be hoping the tactical nature of the race plays to his strengths from a wide draw.
-
5Glen Echo49/100
Glen Echo is a limited performer who has shown little in five of his six starts but did manage two placed efforts at this trip on his last two outings. Gavin Cromwell has a solid 12% strike rate at Roscommon from a large sample of 192 runs while Gary Carroll matches that figure from 258 rides here. He has three runs on good ground without a win or place and has no course form on record. Usually held up with high confidence in that run-style, he should be suited by the muddling pace shape though overall ability remains modest.
-
6Augusta Rock48/100
Augusta Rock is a limited performer who has shown minor promise on a couple of recent starts but remains winless after six runs. He drops back in trip to 1m4f today which asks a fresh question. Joseph Patrick O'Brien has a solid 20% strike rate at Roscommon while Declan McDonogh is operating at 13%.
-
7Flagstone Lady46/100
Flagstone Lady has shown very little in five runs to date and looks limited on the figures. The yard has a solid 15% strike rate at Roscommon from 46 runs yet the 3 lb claimer is operating on a poor 4% strike rate from 27 rides here. Stepping up to an untried 1m4f poses a fresh question while the going remains unknown from such a light career.
-
8Captain Con45/100
Captain Con is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in six starts to date and was well held when sixth on his only previous visit to this track. He steps up in trip again today having failed to show much over 1m3f last time, while first-time headgear is now applied. Noel Meade and Colin Keane both have solid records at Roscommon.
-
9Ravens Can Fly45/100
Ravens Can Fly is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date and looks up against it from a wide draw. He has failed to make an impact in three runs at this trip and first-time headgear is now reached for. The trainer continues in solid form at this track but the 7 lb claimer has barely any course experience.
-
10Nosmokewithoutfire44/100
Nosmokewithoutfire is a limited performer who has shown very little in five starts to date and makes little appeal from a wide draw. The step up to 1m4f is an unknown at this stage though he was beaten a long way when tried over the trip previously. The trainer has a modest 4% strike rate here while the jockey fares better with a 13% record from 63 rides.
-
11Oh I Do Declare44/100
Oh I Do Declare is a limited performer who has shown very little in three starts to date. He steps up in trip for the first time today which asks a fresh question. The trainer holds a solid 11% strike rate here while the jockey is still seeking a first course winner from 38 rides.
-
12Sir Trancealot44/100
Sir Trancealot is a limited performer who has shown little spark in six starts and looks up against it from stall 16. He steps up in trip again today having been placed once at this distance without winning. The trainer has a solid 14% strike rate here from 124 runs while the jockey sits on a modest 4% from 426 rides.
-
13Ellens Bay43/100
Ellens Bay is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts and was well beaten on her only visit to this track. The drop back in trip is an unknown that could help or hinder. The trainer and jockey both operate at a 6% strike rate here from decent-sized samples.
-
14Canon Law41/100
Canon Law is a limited performer who has shown very little in nine starts and was well beaten on his only previous run here. He drops back in trip today having failed to make any impression over longer distances and has achieved nothing on good ground in two attempts. The trainer and jockey both have poor records at Roscommon.
-
15Princess Rosie41/100
Princess Rosie has shown very little in five runs to date and is rated a limited performer on the balance of her form. She steps up in trip today having never tried this far which poses a fresh question. The yard has a modest 3% strike rate from 65 runs at Roscommon.
-
16Minella Buoy40/100
Minella Buoy is a limited horse who has shown little in seven starts and was well held again when last seen over 2m1f. He drops back in trip to 1m4f today which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a 15% strike rate from 27 runs at Roscommon while the jockey is 11% from 326 rides here.
-
17Premier Princess38/100
Premier Princess is a limited filly who has shown very little in four starts to date and now steps up markedly in trip with first-time headgear. The yard and jockey both operate at a 5% strike rate here at Roscommon. It is too early to judge how she handles the ground.
-
18Curious Jane37/100
Curious Jane has struggled since finishing second on debut and now sits on a string of five beaten efforts. The drop back from 1m5½f to 1m4f poses a fresh question while the limited ability shown so far matches her overall profile. The trainer operates at a 6% strike rate from 53 runs at Roscommon.
-
19Elzaam Express37/100
Elzaam Express is a limited performer who has shown little in four starts and was well held in both runs here. He drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried. The trainer has a 12% strike rate from 192 runs at the track.
KTB verdict
Wipeawayyourtears is the KTB Selection and sets a fair standard among a field of largely limited performers. He has shown fair placed form here and over this trip, steps up in distance off the back of a win at 1m4f, and acts on good ground. The trainer and jockey both have respectable records at Roscommon and his held-up run-style should be favoured by the muddling tactical pace. His main dangers are Nathema, who has shown consistency with a recent second over the trip, and Glen Echo, who has produced two placed efforts at this distance lately despite modest overall form.
KTB Selection Wipeawayyourtears
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:21 UTC, 31 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Wipeawayyourtears | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Nathema | 9/1 | BresBet |
| Tintinabulla | 80/1 | Bet365 |
| Priorstown | 4/1 | BresBet |
| Glen Echo | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Augusta Rock | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Flagstone Lady | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Captain Con | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Ravens Can Fly | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Nosmokewithoutfire | 80/1 | Bet365 |
| Oh I Do Declare | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Sir Trancealot | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Ellens Bay | 12/1 | Bet Victor |
| Canon Law | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Princess Rosie | 60/1 | BresBet |
| Minella Buoy | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Premier Princess | 25/1 | Bet365 |
| Curious Jane | 25/1 | BresBet |
| Elzaam Express | 33/1 | BresBet |
This is the narrative read of the 7:55 Roscommon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Roscommon racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Roscommon results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course form at Roscommon?
Wipeawayyourtears has one run here, finishing third with no win, Captain Con has one run here finishing sixth with no win or place, Ellens Bay has one run here finishing tenth with no win or place, Canon Law has one run here finishing twelfth with no win or place, and Elzaam Express has two runs here finishing tenth and fifth with no win or place.
Which runners are having their first run in headgear?
Tintinabulla, Priorstown, Captain Con, Ravens Can Fly and Premier Princess are all wearing first-time headgear.
Which horses are unproven on good ground?
Nathema, Priorstown, Oh I Do Declare, Premier Princess and Curious Jane have no runs on good ground.
Who are the trainers with the strongest strike rates at Roscommon in this race?
Joseph Patrick O'Brien has a 20% strike rate at Roscommon, Noel Meade has 18%, M D O'Callaghan has 15%, John J Nallen has 15%, and J P Murtagh has 14%.
Which horses have winning form at 1m4f?
Wipeawayyourtears has won once from two starts at 1m4f.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies