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Trainer profile

Clare Ellam

342 runners in the lifetime window · 61 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–342
Wins / Runs
2.9%
Strike rate
n=342
39 (11%)
Placed
0.74
Fair A/E
n=340 · 0.64 incl. margin
−140.67
£1 level stake
n=342 at SP · −41.1%
£90,107
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74).

Deterministic profile computed from 342 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Uttoxeter (7.9%, n=38), clear of the yard's 2.9% baseline. The yard also reads well in Chase races (7.9%, n=76).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.9
n=81 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −81.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.9
n=57 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −57.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.9
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.4%−1.5
n=73 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −50.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 7.9% vs 2.9% · n=76
At Uttoxeter 7.9% vs 2.9% · n=38
With David England 7.5% vs 2.9% · n=40
With Brendan Powell 7.1% vs 2.9% · n=42
With new recruits 0% vs 2.9% · n=57
At Wolverhampton (AW) 0% vs 2.9% · n=47
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 25.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 144 1 0.7% −121.00
Hurdle 117 3 2.6% −18.00
Chase 76 6 7.9% +3.33
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 123 6 4.9% +6.33
Standard (AW) 95 1 1.1% −72.00
Soft 43 1 2.3% −26.00
Good to Soft 38 1 2.6% −21.00
Good to Firm 29 0 0% −29.00
Heavy 12 1 8.3% +3.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 47 0 0% −47.00
Uttoxeter 38 3 7.9% +15.00
Bangor-on-Dee 24 1 4.2% −16.00
Southwell (AW) 23 1 4.3% +0.00
Southwell 19 1 5.3% −7.00
Worcester 13 1 7.7% +54.00
Fontwell 11 0 0% −11.00
Kempton (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Sedgefield 10 1 10% +7.00
Market Rasen 10 0 0% −10.00
Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00
Huntingdon 9 1 11.1% +8.00
Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00
Brighton 7 0 0% −7.00
Wetherby 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 156 7 4.5% −2.67
Class 6 95 1 1.1% −72.00
Class 4 71 2 2.8% −46.00
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 17 1 5.9% 0.35 −12.67
4th–6th fav 77 4 5.2% 0.84 −25.00
7th+ in betting 245 5 2% 0.95 −100.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Archie Stevens (GB)from David Evans 28 1 8 21 Feb 19
Eightytwo Team (IRE)from Paul John Gilligan 27 3 9 18 Aug 25
Detour Ahead (GB)from Warren Greatrex 18 1 1 10 Jul 17
Friends Don't Ask (GB)from Martin Smith 16 1 6 5 Jul 26
Amber Flush (GB)from Martin Smith 16 1 2 23 Sep 18
Wellforth (IRE)from William Kinsey 13 1 4 10 Feb 17
Rock Up In Style (GB)from Mark Johnston 12 0 0 28 May 21
Ballinalacken (IRE)from Anthony Middleton 12 1 2 5 May 16
Barnay (GB)from Marcus Tregoning · then Jennie Candlish 10 0 0 14 May 19
Hard To Handel (GB)from David O'Meara 10 0 2 2 May 17
Mac's Xpress (IRE)from Paul John Gilligan 9 0 0 19 Jan 26
Captain Connor (FR)from Mark Walford 8 0 2 1 Nov 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 61 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 55 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Martin Smith (6) and Paul John Gilligan (6); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Dan Skelton (3) and Shaun Lycett (3); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000901000037
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBrendan Powell
12% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 1.07
RiderRWSR£1
Brendan Powell 42 3 7.1% −4.67
David England 40 3 7.5% +9.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
10
Archived wins
£90,107
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
Detour Ahead (GB) — Derek Burridge Golf And Racing Novices' Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · May 2016 · Class 4
£5,198
Eightytwo Team (IRE) — Logicor Chandler Handicap Chase Warwick · May 2025 · Class 5
£4,113
Ballinalacken (IRE) — Racing Fx Online Handicap Hurdle Huntingdon · Dec 2015 · Class 4
£3,574
Notable horses
Eightytwo Team (IRE) Archie Stevens (GB) Detour Ahead (GB) Friends Don't Ask (GB) Amber Flush (GB) Wellforth (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Mahler (GB) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,888 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Needwood Blade (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 7.9% of 2,746 runs since 2008 (187 horses).
Champs Elysees (GB) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,128 runs since 2013 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Sir Harry Lewis (USA) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.
Mount Nelson (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,282 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 342 · newest first

The latest 50 of 342 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 July 2015 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 26 Fontwell Eyeeye (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Weddings At Fontwell Park Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 12/1
01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Captain Connor (FR)J: Ben Jones Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
27 Oct 26 Catterick Lion City (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Bet At racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 40/1
24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell William Hill Extra Places Every Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 5th 80/1
13 Oct 26 Southwell Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Golf And Gallop Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/2
13 Oct 26 Southwell Eyeeye (GB)J: Brendan Powell Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 66/1
04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Chloe Mediumship Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 28/1
01 Oct 26 Southwell Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell 'smooth Radio - Always The Best Music' Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 20/1
20 Sep 26 Plumpton Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 20/1
07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 18/1
04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Eyeeye (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 100/1
25 Aug 26 Stratford Captain Connor (FR)J: Brendan Powell Stratford Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 33/1
20 Aug 26 Stratford Eyeeye (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 66/1
12 Jul 26 Perth Noble Birth (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Saints In The Community Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 8th 100/1
05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Wild West Beer Fest Saturday 26th September Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/1
26 Jun 26 Bangor-on-Dee Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Brendan Powell Wrexham Evening Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 15/2
09 Jun 26 Southwell Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Brendan Powell Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 10/1
24 May 26 Fontwell Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 7/2
16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Ryan Mania Classic Additions Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 33/1
06 May 26 Fontwell Friends Don't Ask (GB)J: Tom Cannon KSR Lighting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Clare Ellam's strike rate?
Clare Ellam has won 10 of 342 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Clare Ellam do best at?
Uttoxeter by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 runners (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Clare Ellam in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Clare Ellam's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 340 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).