Alfie Redman
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08).
The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (15.4%, n=39) and in Class 6 (12.5%, n=80). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.4% over 71 rides, 7.5pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 179 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 179 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2024 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1) · to 4 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Alfie Redman's strike rate?
- Alfie Redman has won 16 of 179 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Is Alfie Redman in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Alfie Redman's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 178 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.