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Jockey profile

Alfie Redman

179 rides in the last 5 seasons · 117 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
16–179
Wins / Runs
8.9%
Strike rate
n=179
41 (23%)
Placed
1.08
n=178 · 0.93 incl. margin
−29.67
£1 level stake
n=179 at SP · −16.6%
£160k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 179 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 9.1%
The read

The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (15.4%, n=39) and in Class 6 (12.5%, n=80). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.4% over 71 rides, 7.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.8%−2.1
n=117 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −25.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+5.4
n=21 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −8.17
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−8.9
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +0.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.1%+0.2
n=165 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −27.67
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−8.9
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 1.4% vs 8.9% · n=71
Over 1m – 1m1f 15.4% vs 8.9% · n=39
In Class 6 12.5% vs 8.9% · n=80
On Good going 12.9% vs 8.9% · n=31
Off a 15-30-day break 11.2% vs 8.9% · n=89
On first rides for the horse 6.8% vs 8.9% · n=117
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 91 8 8.8% −10.25
Good to Firm 33 3 9.1% +0.75
Good 31 4 12.9% −8.17
Good to Soft 21 1 4.8% −9.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00
Kempton (AW) 19 5 26.3% +28.25
Wolverhampton (AW) 17 1 5.9% −6.00
Newcastle (AW) 16 1 6.3% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Salisbury 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Newmarket (July) 5 1 20% +2.50
Musselburgh 5 1 20% +0.50
Bath 5 2 40% +21.25
Chepstow 5 1 20% +7.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Haydock 4 0 0% −4.00
Ayr 4 0 0% −4.00
Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 80 10 12.5% −8.17
Class 5 66 5 7.6% +6.00
Class 4 20 0 0% −20.00
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 1.83 +5.08
2nd–3rd fav 37 4 10.8% 0.64 −18.25
4th–6th fav 69 6 8.7% 1.25 −0.50
7th+ in betting 66 3 4.5% 1.40 −16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Francisco (GB) 11 1 5 20 Aug 26
Snooker Mccrew (GB) 6 4 4 4 Nov 26
Little Miss Magic (IRE) 5 1 1 6 Jun 25
Aim For The Bull (IRE) 4 0 0 21 Sep 26
Amathus (IRE) 4 0 0 13 Aug 26
Scarriff (IRE) 4 1 2 13 Sep 25
Alright Sunshine (IRE) 4 0 1 1 Apr 25
Penfolds Grange (GB) 3 0 1 9 Sep 26
Express Train (IRE) 3 0 1 1 Sep 26
Storm Star (GB) 3 0 1 14 Aug 26
Chalk Mountain (GB) 3 0 1 12 Aug 26
Further Measure (USA) 3 1 1 10 Jun 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 117 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
014025401115913910
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
18% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 0.92
TrainerRWSR£1
Andrew Balding 32 3 9.4% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
16
Archived wins
£160k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 11 wins
Ruby Wedding (GB) — British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Salisbury · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£23,193
Tilani (IRE) — Starlight Friends: Don't Bet The Ranch Charity Apprentice Handicap (Str) Newbury · May 2026 · Class 5
£5,757
Stormy Music (GB) — Knight Frank East Anglia Apprentice Handicap Stakes Newmarket (July) · Aug 2026 · Class 5
£5,234

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Zoustar (AUS) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,772 runs since 2022 (316 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 331. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.6% from 194.
Dandy Man (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Calyx (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 13.5% of 1,524 runs since 2023 (175 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.3% from 172. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 111.
Masar (IRE) 66.7% · 4–6
Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,250 runs since 2023 (177 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.6% from 167. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8% from 138. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8% from 224.
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,122 runs since 2019 (564 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 161.
Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,050 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 179 · newest first

The latest 50 of 179 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2024 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alfie Redman's strike rate?
Alfie Redman has won 16 of 179 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Alfie Redman in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alfie Redman's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 178 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).