What is David Dennis's strike rate?

David Dennis has won 199 of 2,070 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Dennis do best at?

Market Rasen by strike rate: 14 wins from 82 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Dennis?

Aidan Coleman, with 237 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8%).

Is David Dennis in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Dennis's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 2,067 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Dennis

2,070 runners in the lifetime window · 181 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

199–2,070

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=2,070

561 (27%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=2,067 · 0.80 incl. margin

−435.17

£1 level stake

n=2,070 at SP · −21.0%

£1.76m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (337 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,070 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 27.1% when favourite Aidan Coleman: 8% from 237 Claiming riders: 13.1% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newbury (21.9%, n=32), clear of the yard's 9.6% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 13.1% (n=337, Fair A/E 1.21), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 2% strike, Fair A/E 0.36 and −41.00 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Aidan Coleman rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 0.67). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23%, n=87). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 38 runners, 9.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Flying Verse (GB) — 10 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.9%−4.7

n=326 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −208.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.7%−3.9

n=87 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −55.50

Debutants · first career start

2%−7.6

n=101 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −41.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.4%−3.2

n=94 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −28.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.4%−2.2

n=68 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −10.50

When favourite

27.1%

n=155 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −46.33

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.1%+3.5

n=337 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +3.37

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.6

n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 23% vs 9.6% · n=87

On last-time-out winners 19.1% vs 9.6% · n=199

At Newbury 21.9% vs 9.6% · n=32

With David Bass 20% vs 9.6% · n=40

With debutants 2% vs 9.6% · n=101

In Class 1 0% vs 9.6% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 951 90 9.5% −111.86

Chase 559 71 12.7% −121.44

Flat 449 32 7.1% −137.37

NH Flat 111 6 5.4% −64.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 790 83 10.5% −49.30

Good to Soft 378 34 9% −162.64

Soft 374 39 10.4% −90.87

Standard (AW) 224 14 6.3% −86.00

Good to Firm 159 14 8.8% −12.87

Heavy 131 14 10.7% −45.49

Firm 14 1 7.1% +12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 132 9 6.8% −85.75

Warwick 107 7 6.5% −71.62

Stratford 100 15 15% +63.25

Huntingdon 99 15 15.2% +195.45

Uttoxeter 89 7 7.9% −55.85

Chepstow 86 4 4.7% +4.50

Market Rasen 82 14 17.1% −10.46

Southwell 81 8 9.9% −23.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 80 5 6.3% −42.50

Wincanton 72 9 12.5% −21.75

Ludlow 71 6 8.5% −37.52

Exeter 69 4 5.8% −49.25

Kempton (AW) 67 2 3% −37.00

Taunton 65 7 10.8% −25.75

Hereford 57 4 7% −34.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 782 82 10.5% −99.48

Class 5 653 58 8.9% −144.38

Class 3 286 30 10.5% −87.10

Class 6 227 21 9.3% −48.62

Class 2 82 8 9.8% −15.59

Class 1 38 0 0% −38.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 190 53 27.9% 0.95 −32.58

2nd–3rd fav 464 70 15.1% 0.88 −110.42

4th–6th fav 707 55 7.8% 0.95 −228.17

7th+ in betting 709 21 3% 0.90 −64.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 527 48 9.1% −57.25

2m1f – 2m4f 501 52 10.4% −81.37

2m5f – 3m 446 49 11% −108.81

6f – 7f 205 14 6.8% −46.75

Over 3m 172 19 11% −64.37

1m2f – 1m4f 110 11 10% −25.62

1m – 1m1f 89 6 6.7% −31.00

Under 6f 20 0 0% −20.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2013 43 5 11.6% −23.27

2014 237 22 9.3% −83.00

2015 346 51 14.7% +18.71

2016 358 22 6.1% −188.30

2017 252 24 9.5% −97.26

2018 205 17 8.3% −84.25

2019 165 11 6.7% −37.25

2020 44 3 6.8% −17.00

2021 33 5 15.2% −5.67

2022 97 10 10.3% −51.63

2023 98 10 10.2% +7.87

2024 96 7 7.3% +153.00

2025 47 7 14.9% −7.87

2026 49 5 10.2% −19.25

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,508 152 10.1% −390.05

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 703 60 8.5% −247.38

11-13 runners 533 38 7.1% +56.38

5-7 runners 495 75 15.2% −125.82

14-16 runners 205 9 4.4% −40.50

17+ runners 72 3 4.2% −56.00

2-4 runners 62 14 22.6% −21.85

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.6% completed · 1,510 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 559 79.1% 23 8 86 0 0

Hurdle 951 87.8% 18 8 88 2 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Cyclop (IRE)from Patrice Quinton 55 6 19 11 Mar 24

Flying Verse (GB) 53 10 20 9 May 23

Norse Light (GB)from Ralph Beckett 51 5 15 19 Jan 19

Roman Flight (IRE)from David O'Meara 48 8 17 10 Oct 18

Innisfree Lad (IRE)from James Ewart 46 4 11 12 Nov 24

Danecase (GB)then Tom Symonds 41 5 11 30 Oct 19

My Mo (FR)then Tristan Davidson 39 5 17 3 Aug 17

Deauville Dancer (IRE)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt · then Olly Murphy 38 8 13 27 Dec 19

Angus Glens (GB)from Ali Stronge · then Grace Harris 37 3 9 15 Oct 16

Marju's Quest (IRE)from David Simcock · then Adrian Wintle 34 6 12 28 Jul 16

Swissal (IRE)then John O'Shea 33 4 9 6 Mar 20

Un Anjou (FR)from F-M Cottin 33 3 12 13 Mar 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 181 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ali Stronge (2) and David O'Meara (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

30 have since run for another yard, most often for Tom Symonds (5) and Adrian Wintle (3); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7911101213106771210

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAidan Coleman

11% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 0.67

RiderRWSR£1

Aidan Coleman 237 19 8% −118.12

Noel Fehily 163 24 14.7% −22.43

Sam Twiston-Davies 158 17 10.8% +2.75

Brian Hughes 124 14 11.3% −40.06

Tom Bellamy 118 4 3.4% −90.50

Martin Lane 78 9 11.5% −4.25

Gavin Sheehan 70 8 11.4% −31.75

Jamie Bargary 67 5 7.5% +6.50

Fergus Sweeney 65 5 7.7% +2.50

David Bass 40 8 20% +14.75

Dougie Costello 37 5 13.5% +33.50

Trevor Whelan 35 4 11.4% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

199

Archived wins

£1.76m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 51 wins

Roman Flight (IRE) — Bet365 Open Handicap Chase Newbury · Nov 2016 · Class 2

£31,280

Cyclop (IRE) — Bet In-Running On Racing At BetVictor Veterans' Handicap Chase Newbury · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£18,211

Roman Flight (IRE) — Totequadpot Four Places In Four Races Handicap Chase Stratford · Oct 2016 · Class 2

£15,825

Notable horses

Flying Verse (GB) Roman Flight (IRE) Deauville Dancer (IRE) Steel Summit (IRE) Final Nudge (IRE) Cyclop (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Yeats (IRE) 13.7% · 16–117

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,835 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 819.

Getaway (GER) 7% · 6–86

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,971 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

King's Theatre (IRE) 10.7% · 9–84

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Showcasing (GB) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,637 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Ask (GB) 13.6% · 8–59

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,218 runs since 2014 (283 horses).

Norse Dancer (IRE) 9.8% · 5–51

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,800 runs since 2010 (157 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 278. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 207.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,070 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,070 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 September 2013 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Copybet Bog Now For Racing Tomorrow Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran UR 28/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Kally Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Sean Bowen Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran PU 7/2F

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Gasmani (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 14/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Maxiani (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 250/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Todd BETTING.BET Free Bets Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 100/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Kally Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Jonathan Burke CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 100/30

12 Oct 26 Worcester Ballynaheer (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran CopyBet For Champions League Profit Boosts Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 4th 8/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Gasmani (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 20/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Market Rasen Racecourse Conference & Events Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 33/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Georgemani (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Fbc Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 150/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Kally Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Jonathan Burke CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 7/1

22 Sep 26 Fontwell Ballynaheer (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 11/1

04 Sep 26 Worcester Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Todd John Burke Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 200/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Georgie's Lady (IRE)J: Charlie Todd QuinnBet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 9th 40/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester Military Saint (IRE)J: Tom Bellamy Colin Jones Memorial Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div I)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 80/1

05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Military Saint (IRE)J: Tom Bellamy Malton Marquees Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 28/1

30 May 26 Stratford Ballynaheer (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran Farmers Fresh Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 27.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 10/1

22 May 26 Worcester Gasmani (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 8th 12/1

05 May 26 Hereford Kally Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Charlie Maggs Wye Valley Skips Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran F 3/1

04 May 26 Warwick Maxiani (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Moore & Tibbits Family Fun Day Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran PU 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Dennis's strike rate?: David Dennis has won 199 of 2,070 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Dennis do best at?: Market Rasen by strike rate: 14 wins from 82 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Dennis?: Aidan Coleman, with 237 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8%).
Is David Dennis in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Dennis's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 2,067 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.