What is Denis Coakley's strike rate?

Denis Coakley has won 151 of 1,728 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Denis Coakley do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 23 wins from 184 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Denis Coakley?

George Bass, with 186 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (10.2%).

Is Denis Coakley in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Denis Coakley's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 1,724 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Denis Coakley

1,728 runners in the lifetime window · 148 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

151–1,728

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=1,728

491 (28%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=1,724 · 0.75 incl. margin

−514.04

£1 level stake

n=1,728 at SP · −29.7%

£1.45m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,728 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 25.9% when favourite George Bass: 10.2% from 186 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.6% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.43). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −81.25 to a £1 stake over 312 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. George Bass rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.2%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (17.7%, n=62). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 4% over 99 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the 7.5 Million Totescoop6 Victoria Cup Heritage Handicap at Ascot (May 2014, £62,250). The stable star of the record: Party Island (IRE) — 11 wins from 63 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.1%−1.6

n=312 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −81.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

10%+1.3

n=10 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +9.00

Debutants · first career start

5.4%−3.3

n=130 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −39.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−5.1

n=56 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −50.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.7%−1.0

n=13 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −7.50

When favourite

25.9%

n=135 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −32.70

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.4%−0.3

n=309 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −90.71

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.3%−3.4

n=38 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 17.7% vs 8.7% · n=62

With Hollie Doyle 16.7% vs 8.7% · n=36

With Shane Kelly 2.9% vs 8.7% · n=69

With Charles Bishop 3.7% vs 8.7% · n=108

On Soft going 4% vs 8.7% · n=99

With Oisin Murphy 13% vs 8.7% · n=138

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,663 147 8.8% −478.04

Hurdle 44 4 9.1% −15.00

NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 700 64 9.1% −202.58

Good to Firm 366 24 6.6% −115.87

Good 339 38 11.2% −35.54

Good to Soft 133 8 6% −65.40

Soft 99 4 4% −65.75

Firm 62 11 17.7% −6.00

Heavy 29 2 6.9% −22.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 271 16 5.9% −131.04

Lingfield (AW) 255 28 11% −70.42

Bath 184 23 12.5% −6.75

Windsor 128 10 7.8% −31.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 114 14 12.3% +15.13

Newbury 96 11 11.5% +3.10

Salisbury 96 10 10.4% +4.35

Lingfield 60 4 6.7% −41.00

Brighton 51 3 5.9% −35.62

Chelmsford (AW) 50 4 8% −11.50

Leicester 47 2 4.3% −36.75

Goodwood 44 4 9.1% −1.00

Sandown 44 2 4.5% −29.00

Ascot 35 2 5.7% −16.50

Newmarket 34 2 5.9% −24.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 639 55 8.6% −145.74

Class 6 541 56 10.4% −116.21

Class 4 347 26 7.5% −155.77

Class 3 84 6 7.1% −39.65

Class 2 75 6 8% −33.67

Class 1 38 2 5.3% −19.00

Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 169 39 23.1% 0.87 −47.95

2nd–3rd fav 398 55 13.8% 0.87 −108.09

4th–6th fav 552 33 6% 0.77 −210.00

7th+ in betting 609 24 3.9% 1.17 −148.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 563 65 11.5% −147.09

6f – 7f 479 30 6.3% −154.65

1m – 1m1f 431 33 7.7% −153.92

1m5f – 2m 121 8 6.6% −45.00

Under 6f 111 14 12.6% +2.62

2m1f – 2m4f 20 0 0% −20.00

2m5f – 3m 3 1 33.3% +4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 75 6 8% −6.88

2009 62 8 12.9% +62.13

2010 102 7 6.9% −54.59

2011 83 12 14.5% −20.12

2012 90 10 11.1% −22.00

2013 87 6 6.9% −57.25

2014 89 8 9% −48.45

2015 82 10 12.2% +16.38

2016 80 3 3.8% −53.50

2017 89 8 9% −5.50

2018 119 6 5% −74.25

2019 112 7 6.3% −52.00

2020 92 6 6.5% −38.40

2021 111 16 14.4% +12.43

2022 79 7 8.9% −19.75

2023 87 6 6.9% −41.62

2024 93 9 9.7% −44.00

2025 101 7 6.9% −72.17

2026 95 9 9.5% +5.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,190 114 9.6% −286.66

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 616 54 8.8% −257.62

11-13 runners 601 48 8% −110.34

5-7 runners 250 26 10.4% −127.08

14-16 runners 193 19 9.8% +21.00

17+ runners 41 1 2.4% −28.00

2-4 runners 27 3 11.1% −12.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Party Island (IRE) 63 11 23 12 May 26

Rebecca Romero (GB) 47 5 18 21 Oct 14

King Calypso (GB) 43 5 16 15 Nov 18

My Ambition (IRE) 39 5 10 3 Aug 26

Rockfella (GB) 37 6 12 4 Sep 15

Saumur (GB) 36 4 15 28 Aug 19

Power Home (IRE) 34 5 13 31 May 21

Sonnetina (GB) 29 1 11 13 Oct 22

Kastini (GB) 29 4 13 24 Oct 15

Phoenix Moon (IRE) 28 5 11 4 Nov 26

Gabriel's Lad (IRE) 28 4 13 8 Dec 16

Golden Phase (GB) 27 4 12 23 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 148 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Wintle (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

146209169886844

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGeorge Bass

11% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.14

RiderRWSR£1

George Bass 186 19 10.2% −35.67

Oisin Murphy 138 18 13% −20.91

Charles Bishop 108 4 3.7% −71.50

Eddie Ahern 97 12 12.4% −17.25

Tadhg O'Shea 91 10 11% −3.25

Tom Queally 89 8 9% −8.25

Shane Kelly 69 2 2.9% −54.00

Pat Cosgrave 49 4 8.2% −30.25

Cam Hardie 43 4 9.3% −29.45

Cathy Gannon 42 2 4.8% +12.00

Hollie Doyle 36 6 16.7% −16.05

Rob Hornby 36 4 11.1% +45.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

182

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.72m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 16 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Gabriel's Lad (IRE) — 7.5 Million Totescoop6 Victoria Cup Heritage Handicap Ascot · May 2014 · Class 2

£62,250

Miss Marjurie (IRE) — 888sport Pinnacle Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Haydock · May 2015 · Group 3

£35,727

Steppe Dancer (IRE) — totepool September Stakes (Group 3) Kempton (AW) · Sep 2007 · Group 3

£26,687

Notable horses

Party Island (IRE) Rockfella (GB) Sirce (IRE) Rebecca Romero (GB) King Calypso (GB) My Ambition (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 11.4% · 8–70

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).

Tagula (IRE) 17.5% · 11–63

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,561 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 10.6% · 5–47

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.7% · 4–46

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,953 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Sir Percy (GB) 15.2% · 7–46

Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,154 runs since 2011 (473 horses).

Adaay (IRE) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,968 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,961 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,961 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Thriving Miss Lacy (IRE)J: George Bass Make The Move To Midnite Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 33/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Phoenix Moon (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 2nd 12/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dijon Gone (GB)J: Olivia Tubb Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 22/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Connie Moon (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Set Your Limits With Unibet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 8th 16/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Starlight Sami (IRE)J: George Bass Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 22/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Blue Odyssey (IRE)J: Jack Callan Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 100/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Connie Moon (IRE)J: George Bass bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 10th 10/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Chelio (GB)J: George Bass Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 12/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Phoenix Moon (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 22/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury Barry's Boy (IRE)J: George Bass Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 25/1

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dijon Gone (GB)J: George Bass Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 9/1

27 Sep 26 Epsom Our Guy (IRE)J: George Bass Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 100/1

23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Golden Phase (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier)Class 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 14th 40/1

13 Sep 26 Bath Chelio (GB)J: Rose Dawes Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 7/1

10 Sep 26 Epsom Dijon Gone (GB)J: George Bass Under Starters Orders For Fit Show 2027 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 7/1

08 Sep 26 Goodwood Connie Moon (IRE)J: George Bass Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 11/1

07 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Terranoble (GB)J: Rob Hornby Cavani Signature Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1

01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Phoenix Moon (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Racing Partnership Celebrating 10 Years Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 6/1

31 Aug 26 Epsom Uniter (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Geoff Lewis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 14/1

29 Aug 26 Windsor Dijon Gone (GB)J: George Bass Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At Matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Denis Coakley's strike rate?: Denis Coakley has won 151 of 1,728 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Denis Coakley do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 23 wins from 184 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Denis Coakley?: George Bass, with 186 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (10.2%).
Is Denis Coakley in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Denis Coakley's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 1,724 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.