What is Edward Lynam's strike rate?

Edward Lynam has won 401 of 3,669 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Edward Lynam do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 9 wins from 51 runners (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Edward Lynam?

W J Lee, with 340 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (8.2%).

Is Edward Lynam in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Edward Lynam's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 3,664 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Edward Lynam

3,669 runners in the lifetime window · 372 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

401–3,669

Wins / Runs

10.9%

Strike rate

n=3,669

1,175 (32%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=3,664 · 0.84 incl. margin

−825.23

£1 level stake

n=3,668 at SP · −22.5%

£9.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). In Group and Graded company the record reads 15% (304 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,669 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 27.3% when favourite W J Lee: 8.2% from 340 Group/Graded: 15.1% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

It is weakest at Listowel (0% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 15.1% (n=304, Fair A/E 1.29), but debutants struggle at 3.4% (n=321, Fair A/E 0.65). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −139.75 to a £1 stake over 214 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. W J Lee rides 9% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.2% vs 10.9%, A/E 0.83). 50 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2014, £297,728). The stable star of the record: Sole Power (GB) — 11 wins from 47 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.8%−2.1

n=591 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −241.52

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%−3.8

n=28 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −21.25

Debutants · first career start

3.4%−7.5

n=321 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −110.60

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.2%−6.7

n=214 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −139.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.3%−4.6

n=158 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −58.25

When favourite

27.3%

n=428 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −41.51

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.5%−0.4

n=926 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −257.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.1%+4.2

n=304 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +26.28

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 3.4% vs 10.9% · n=321

With Fran Berry 20.3% vs 10.9% · n=79

At Listowel 0% vs 10.9% · n=32

With first-time headgear 4.2% vs 10.9% · n=214

With Johnny Murtagh 18% vs 10.9% · n=128

With Pat Smullen 17.7% vs 10.9% · n=147

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,668 401 10.9% −824.23

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,312 169 12.9% −196.08

Soft 769 66 8.6% −269.19

Good 716 77 10.8% −177.44

Good to Firm 380 51 13.4% +34.90

Heavy 258 13 5% −161.87

Good to Soft 220 23 10.5% −64.65

Firm 14 2 14.3% +9.10

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 1,289 164 12.7% −200.20

Curragh 613 51 8.3% −136.54

Naas 288 34 11.8% −38.74

Navan 281 30 10.7% −86.52

Leopardstown 254 20 7.9% −131.17

Cork 154 16 10.4% −12.75

Fairyhouse 139 12 8.6% −39.62

Gowran Park 103 8 7.8% −53.80

Tipperary 101 8 7.9% −69.00

Bellewstown 57 6 10.5% −27.97

Down Royal 51 9 17.6% −11.52

Galway 45 3 6.7% −17.00

Limerick 38 4 10.5% −18.50

Roscommon 34 3 8.8% −22.00

Listowel 32 0 0% −32.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 304 46 15.1% +26.28

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 536 140 26.1% 1.10 −34.76

2nd–3rd fav 865 154 17.8% 1.22 −43.97

4th–6th fav 1,081 76 7% 0.90 −259.50

7th+ in betting 1,186 31 2.6% 0.71 −487.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,726 195 11.3% −197.48

1m – 1m1f 848 76 9% −384.46

Under 6f 635 87 13.7% −52.00

1m2f – 1m4f 435 43 9.9% −166.29

1m5f – 2m 23 0 0% −23.00

2m1f – 2m4f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 257 26 10.1% −64.15

2009 219 24 11% −95.83

2010 249 25 10% +28.58

2011 266 28 10.5% −75.69

2012 334 32 9.6% −134.57

2013 240 41 17.1% −4.98

2014 240 35 14.6% −27.07

2015 220 24 10.9% −24.62

2016 184 18 9.8% −82.34

2017 149 16 10.7% −49.40

2018 147 13 8.8% −59.84

2019 135 15 11.1% −26.42

2020 154 15 9.7% +7.08

2021 188 20 10.6% −50.46

2022 184 25 13.6% +30.08

2023 172 19 11% −54.42

2024 137 11 8% −83.13

2025 106 7 6.6% −58.75

2026 88 7 8% +0.70

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,010 218 10.8% −373.07

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,181 126 10.7% −318.00

11-13 runners 866 86 9.9% −187.24

8-10 runners 710 94 13.2% −173.80

17+ runners 585 42 7.2% −105.49

5-7 runners 311 48 15.4% −36.88

2-4 runners 16 5 31.3% −3.82

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Teddy Boy (IRE) 93 5 41 18 May 24

Collective Power (IRE) 80 9 38 4 Nov 26

Punk Poet (IRE) 77 9 20 1 Apr 26

Iron Major (IRE) 74 9 25 6 Nov 15

Sole Power (GB) 47 11 20 1 Oct 16

Denny Crane (GB) 47 5 16 5 Dec 14

Jon Riggens (IRE)from Sean P Hennessy 45 5 15 15 Oct 26

Duff (IRE) 44 7 16 26 Oct 12

Tide Of Time (GB) 42 8 18 3 Sep 22

Linus Larrabee (IRE) 41 4 10 17 Feb 23

Akasaka (IRE)then Emmet Michael Butterly 38 7 17 5 Nov 14

Captain Henry (IRE) 38 4 7 24 Feb 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 372 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

13146119121213912129

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderW J Lee

9% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.83

RiderRWSR£1

W J Lee 340 28 8.2% −172.90

Chris Hayes 322 36 11.2% −26.24

W. M. Lordan 316 42 13.3% +43.48

Declan McDonogh 256 23 9% −113.12

Robbie Downey 238 30 12.6% −41.39

Oisin Orr 211 21 10% −72.96

Shane Foley 151 16 10.6% −24.52

Pat Smullen 147 26 17.7% +16.80

Ben Coen 144 15 10.4% −64.25

Johnny Murtagh 128 23 18% −19.89

James Ryan 115 11 9.6% −30.92

Fran Berry 79 16 20.3% +37.85

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

445

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£10.3m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 41 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Slade Power (IRE) — Diamond Jubilee Stakes (British Champions Series & Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2014 · Group 1

£297,728

Slade Power (IRE) — Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Newmarket · Jul 2014 · Group 1

£289,221

Sole Power (GB) — King's Stand Stakes (British Champions Series & Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2014 · Group 1

£212,663

Notable horses

Sole Power (GB) Slade Power (IRE) Collective Power (IRE) Punk Poet (IRE) Iron Major (IRE) Duff (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Slade Power (IRE) 10.6% · 26–245

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,942 runs since 2018 (208 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 127.

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.5% · 15–158

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,978 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kyllachy (GB) 16.2% · 23–142

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Captain Rio (GB) 13.4% · 15–112

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 13.5% · 13–96

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Dark Angel (IRE) 14.1% · 13–92

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,214 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,214 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Collective Power (IRE)J: Ben Coen Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/2

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Creature Of Habit (GB)J: Chris Hayes Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 33/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cultural Change (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 150/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Leannespour (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 4/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Iff In Doubt (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Halloween Mid-Term Racing Next Week Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 5/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Beach Barbie (IRE)J: James Ryan Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Fillies Optional Claiming Race7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 20/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Astute Power (IRE)J: James Ryan Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 8th 14/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Cultural Change (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding · 10 ran 8th 40/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Raven's Call (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 19th 50/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Headmaster (GB)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 7/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Jon Riggens (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 13th 12/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Keke (GB)J: Shane Foley DNG Nationwide Handicap6f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 9/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Bounty (IRE)J: James Ryan Naas Farm Machinery Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 22/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Keke (GB)J: Shane Foley Naas Farm Machinery Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Iff In Doubt (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 14/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Beach Barbie (IRE)J: James Ryan Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 14th 33/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Astute Power (IRE)J: James Ryan Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 4th 80/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Blimey (IRE)J: W. M. Lordan Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 21st 66/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Jon Riggens (IRE)J: James Ryan Business Plus Handicap6f · Soft · 22 ran 11th 18/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Upper West Side (IRE)J: James Ryan Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden6f · Heavy · 11 ran 11th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · to 15 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Edward Lynam's strike rate?: Edward Lynam has won 401 of 3,669 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Edward Lynam do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 9 wins from 51 runners (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Edward Lynam?: W J Lee, with 340 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (8.2%).
Is Edward Lynam in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Edward Lynam's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 3,664 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.